CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: magic vs K27 - Map 3 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x81affb718b2dfb4a78889dda9b113604836f9173d5037191e8498aa6774723aa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- magicof magic, K27
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,233
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,683
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,233 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd20f…2f35backed K27 | 18c | 1,904$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.29 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed magic | 57c | 1,863$1,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$806.86 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked magic | 50c | 1,834$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918.75 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9bf…4bebbacked K27 | 74c | 1,062$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.03 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aff…86b9backed K27 | 2c | 892.49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3a…a7b3backed K27 | 53c | 642.99$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed magic | 35c | 540.3$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.6 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b8…5379backed magic | 63c | 439.12$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.57 | 314 | 52.2%164 W · 150 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked magic | 46c | 424.44$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.71 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9cb…bdcdbacked K27 | 58c | 336.36$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.96 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb87…0335backed magic | 32c | 296.12$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.17 | 365 | 54.8%200 W · 165 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93a4…6bdbbacked K27 | 26c | 221.02$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.33 | 67 | 32.8%22 W · 45 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…aefdbacked K27 | 44c | 197.88$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.72 | 840 | 37.9%318 W · 522 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8d…febfbacked K27 | 52c | 188.61$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.26 | 163 | 44.8%73 W · 90 L | -32.6wins | -0.20per pick | 65cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c2…eef4backed K27 | 52c | 180.4$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.22 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb4…9ed0backed K27 | 79c | 137.45$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.64 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8083…0b28backed magic | 37c | 133.78$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.11 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked K27 | 52c | 133.04$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.18 | 1,157 | 48.2%558 W · 599 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c93…33d5backed magic | 44c | 132.71$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.98 | 484 | 37.6%182 W · 302 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +42%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked K27 | 33c | 130.47$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.88 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54ac…47e6backed magic | 53c | 106.48$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.15 | 673 | 72.2%486 W · 187 L | +119.1wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xd92d…e560backed magic | 26c | 100$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 586 | 51%299 W · 287 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…42f2backed K27 | 26c | 99.54$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.88 | 635 | 41.1%261 W · 374 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed K27 | 51c | 99.23$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.04 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed magic | 50c | 96.67$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.17 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf44…760bbacked K27 | 40c | 95.24$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.98 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99cd…26f0backed magic | 26c | 91.71$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.81 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4820…c613backed K27 | 41c | 90.31$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.03 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed magic | 48c | 63.8$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.99 | 493 | 76.1%375 W · 118 L | +96.8wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed magic | 36c | 59.36$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.94 | 559 | 50.3%281 W · 278 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…526dbacked K27 | 52c | 56.03$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.14 | 224 | 44.6%100 W · 124 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc8…f527backed K27 | 23c | 47.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 488 | 26.2%128 W · 360 L | -44.3wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x11ae…b4ffbacked K27 | 66c | 44.53$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.39 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86bc…efbcbacked K27 | 59c | 34.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed K27 | 46c | 32.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed magic | 35c | 29.35$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.08 | 762 | 48.4%369 W · 393 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed magic | 69c | 23.97$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.43 | 623 | 50.9%317 W · 306 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked magic | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 445 | 63.8%284 W · 161 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: magic vs K27 - Map 3 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: magic vs K27 (BO5) - PGL Astana: European Closed Qualifier Playoffsmagic won
- Counter-Strike: magic vs K27 - Map 1 WinnerK27 won
- Counter-Strike: magic vs K27 - Map 2 WinnerK27 won
- Counter-Strike: magic vs K27 - Map 4 Winnermagic won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.