CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: magic vs K27 - Map 4 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc229b6f273be7de1b0f5b81fbdd128c0dfef0cd66179cf60acfdb9994f0a4477
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- magicof magic, K27
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,199
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,493
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,199 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7756…d00abacked magic | 34c | 899.93$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.94 | 121 | 48.8%59 W · 62 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c59…3887backed K27 | 52c | 490.33$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.88 | 219 | 41.1%90 W · 129 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a4…bf13backed K27 | 77c | 360.98$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.95 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3a…a7b3backed magic | 32c | 340.4$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.03 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed K27 | 70c | 319.88$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.16 | 260 | 75%195 W · 65 L | +23.6wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x757d…1496backed magic | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 246 | 49.6%122 W · 124 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked magic | 38c | 127.28$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.19 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8c…2359backed K27 | 60c | 117.48$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.49 | 93 | 51.6%48 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54ac…47e6backed magic | 40c | 107.1$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.08 | 673 | 72.2%486 W · 187 L | +119.1wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed K27 | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.49 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…42f2backed magic | 54c | 97.24$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.73 | 635 | 41.1%261 W · 374 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed magic | 49c | 94.61$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.99 | 493 | 76.1%375 W · 118 L | +96.8wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked magic | 33c | 90.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.03 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed K27 | 68c | 90.31$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.31 | 623 | 50.9%317 W · 306 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed magic | 54c | 66.41$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.42 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd067…9b9abacked K27 | 69c | 56.95$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.28 | 456 | 63.6%290 W · 166 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc3…ee0bbacked K27 | 57c | 44.76$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.51 | 139 | 58.3%81 W · 58 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked K27 | 73c | 43.6$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.75 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed K27 | 63c | 29.33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4092…f145backed K27 | 50c | 29.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…526dbacked K27 | 51c | 28.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 224 | 44.6%100 W · 124 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked K27 | 63c | 16.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: magic vs K27 - Map 4 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: magic vs K27 (BO5) - PGL Astana: European Closed Qualifier Playoffsmagic won
- Counter-Strike: magic vs K27 - Map 1 WinnerK27 won
- Counter-Strike: magic vs K27 - Map 2 WinnerK27 won
- Counter-Strike: magic vs K27 - Map 3 Winnermagic won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.