TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Natus Vincere vs Team Vitality - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Vitalityof Natus Vincere, Team Vitality
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$204,460
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$235,242

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $204,460 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 243 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6eb0…a15cbacked Natus Vincere0c23,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80853.5%3 W · 82 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-87.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe015…6ffdbacked Natus Vincere46c10,000$4,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,599.9896048.8%468 W · 492 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Team Vitality73c7,956$5,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,176.1459952.8%316 W · 283 L-3.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-12.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x66d2…4186backed Natus Vincere36c7,843$2,812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,811.936440.6%26 W · 38 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd604…ee57backed Natus Vincere26c7,663$2,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,013.881127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-32.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x000e…f7e9backed Natus Vincere45c6,418$2,901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,901.4789943.4%390 W · 509 L+22.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7e2…826cbacked Natus Vincere28c5,944$1,671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,670.846549.2%32 W · 33 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3186…e9cabacked Team Vitality74c5,316$3,925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,390.981,53662.6%961 W · 575 L+157.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+8.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6260…fccbbacked Natus Vincere2c4,300$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$686297%44 W · 585 L-2.2wins0.00per pick7cpaid-33.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed Team Vitality57c4,225$2,408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,816.8164155.7%357 W · 284 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed Team Vitality74c4,161$3,094 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,066.941,46361.4%899 W · 564 L-19.5wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Natus Vincere47c4,155$1,934 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,934.41,25838.6%485 W · 773 L-61.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Team Vitality53c3,320$1,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,560.6231153.4%166 W · 145 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3d2…fe85backed Team Vitality78c3,174$2,475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$698.1815543.9%68 W · 87 L+0.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Team Vitality56c3,040$1,703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,337.711,06747%502 W · 565 L+3.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x024c…5fa1backed Natus Vincere47c3,000$1,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4101,20835.8%432 W · 776 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6204…0b06backed Natus Vincere13c2,991$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.7332440.4%131 W · 193 L+11.9wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked Team Vitality54c2,918$1,583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,334.342,00458.2%1,166 W · 838 L+86.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Team Vitality53c2,915$1,545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,370.2485746.3%397 W · 460 L+17.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Team Vitality53c2,754$1,453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,301.2370456.4%397 W · 307 L+39.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Team Vitality54c2,713$1,478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,234.51,30555.9%729 W · 576 L+44.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Natus Vincere14c2,602$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.392,36232%755 W · 1,607 L+42.0wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed4d…6a0bbacked Natus Vincere46c2,499$1,161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,161.489637.5%36 W · 60 L-8.9wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-27.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Team Vitality54c2,366$1,278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,088.551,59253.7%855 W · 737 L+57.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Team Vitality57c2,021$1,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$869.0376953.4%411 W · 358 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed Team Vitality55c2,015$1,108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$906.771,43557.4%824 W · 611 L+36.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c15…2a2dbacked Team Vitality54c1,997$1,079 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$918.7612458.1%72 W · 52 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Natus Vincere37c1,968$725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$725.0521740.1%87 W · 130 L-12.7wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-20.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4f8c…0e0cbacked Natus Vincere46c1,903$871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$870.7812653.2%67 W · 59 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe308…25cdbacked Team Vitality53c1,834$972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$861.7866437.2%247 W · 417 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2586…f071backed Natus Vincere27c1,826$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.5125952.9%137 W · 122 L+10.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Team Vitality72c1,815$1,306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508.851,67157.9%968 W · 703 L+70.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x13c7…11d9backed Team Vitality56c1,752$981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$771.0971249.2%350 W · 362 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a35…9015backed Team Vitality79c1,725$1,371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.8436943.9%162 W · 207 L-16.5wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb616…b9a1backed Natus Vincere5c1,663$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.2527638.4%106 W · 170 L+10.4wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c96…763fbacked Natus Vincere5c1,436$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.014914.3%7 W · 42 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick21cpaid-66%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x55d9…832cbacked Natus Vincere47c1,400$658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65830945.3%140 W · 169 L+1.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf272…7289backed Natus Vincere2c1,363$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.72333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick26cpaid-50.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0969…b289backed Natus Vincere42c1,358$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$570.3639750.1%199 W · 198 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked Natus Vincere23c1,234$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.5575942%319 W · 440 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe207…56c7backed Natus Vincere24c1,196$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.153727%10 W · 27 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-31.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x045d…185dbacked Team Vitality63c1,178$741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.563458.4%370 W · 264 L+9.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe625…94c0backed Natus Vincere23c1,145$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.2574344%327 W · 416 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04b1…d224backed Natus Vincere32c1,126$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.7440651.7%210 W · 196 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed Natus Vincere47c1,118$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.331,15649.1%568 W · 588 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xce08…510bbacked Team Vitality55c1,088$596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.071,21254.5%660 W · 552 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Natus Vincere36c1,087$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.623,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x135f…528cbacked Natus Vincere39c1,071$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.7117228.5%49 W · 123 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9adf…55e8backed Natus Vincere40c1,068$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.242840.2%172 W · 256 L-32.1wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe843…0699backed Natus Vincere30c1,044$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.0715632.7%51 W · 105 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+19.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa941…ec2ebacked Team Vitality55c1,021$561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46051160.3%308 W · 203 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Team Vitality57c1,000$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4301,02952.3%538 W · 491 L+27.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x04bd…39a0backed Team Vitality57c999.4$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.741,22945.1%554 W · 675 L+48.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x183f…85e3backed Team Vitality58c998.73$579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.471,09153.8%587 W · 504 L+38.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e32…ab65backed Team Vitality53c983.08$521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.052,15653.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb635…bef0backed Natus Vincere43c965.8$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.2985836.2%311 W · 547 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8542…9405backed Natus Vincere2c949.99$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.518910.1%19 W · 170 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick12cpaid+6.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed Natus Vincere7c913.04$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.791,5173.3%50 W · 1,467 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick7cpaid-74.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa469…0782backed Team Vitality54c900.37$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.171,32253.2%703 W · 619 L+36.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5454…ceadbacked Team Vitality77c897.3$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.995757.9%33 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5ea…d07fbacked Team Vitality53c887.13$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.9595951.3%492 W · 467 L+42.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x59aa…3376backed Team Vitality56c841.45$471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.241,13143.1%487 W · 644 L+0.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f84…202ebacked Team Vitality54c788.8$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.8595847.6%456 W · 502 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Natus Vincere15c779.05$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.63,13133.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L-150.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Team Vitality69c720.08$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.5185442.7%365 W · 489 L-14.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fbc…62a3backed Team Vitality54c710.91$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.6463161.2%386 W · 245 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x71c0…13b5backed Team Vitality57c702.69$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.1621954.3%119 W · 100 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Natus Vincere28c687.19$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.3480832.9%266 W · 542 L-43.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8ced…0feebacked Natus Vincere44c658.91$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.9276955%423 W · 346 L-13.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0960…5adcbacked Natus Vincere31c618.45$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.7212642.1%53 W · 73 L-7.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x307d…9163backed Natus Vincere29c618$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.771,18352%615 W · 568 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e0e…bf45backed Team Vitality57c599.99$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2584238.1%16 W · 26 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-19.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Natus Vincere23c595.85$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.051,80639.1%707 W · 1,099 L-30.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4283…fbd4backed Team Vitality62c580.35$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.5845041.1%185 W · 265 L-25.4wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x509d…0a6bbacked Team Vitality53c569.23$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.3767056.9%381 W · 289 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7829…cfd3backed Natus Vincere43c534.27$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.3928734.1%98 W · 189 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Natus Vincere27c522.55$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.352,90538.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L-118.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-27.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed Team Vitality70c508.1$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.5276142%320 W · 441 L-23.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcad2…c9e4backed Team Vitality58c504.21$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.7727248.9%133 W · 139 L-14.2wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Natus Vincere21c502$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.261,02539.6%406 W · 619 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2775…3652backed Natus Vincere20c478.06$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.1976639.6%303 W · 463 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a3b…b968backed Team Vitality64c457.89$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.8541060.5%248 W · 162 L-12.7wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Natus Vincere21c453.11$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.091,72829.5%509 W · 1,219 L-123.2wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-39.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7553…65cabacked Team Vitality55c441.27$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.4367250.9%342 W · 330 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Natus Vincere14c437$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.1899338.6%383 W · 610 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe6d…9d6abacked Natus Vincere42c425.1$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.54650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-26.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79df…31d6backed Natus Vincere26c421.66$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.568942.5%293 W · 396 L+16.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb003…d962backed Team Vitality58c418.08$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.3479151.8%410 W · 381 L+15.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7cba…3ec4backed Natus Vincere47c412$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.641,54543.7%675 W · 870 L-18.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24d4…4e1dbacked Natus Vincere48c403.1$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.7727142.4%115 W · 156 L-15.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd3d1…f540backed Natus Vincere44c398.59$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.3821147.9%101 W · 110 L+8.4wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b12…5f8fbacked Team Vitality57c393.06$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.0230856.5%174 W · 134 L+12.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xebc7…4003backed Natus Vincere43c384.54$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.3528361.5%174 W · 109 L+18.0wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd459…4757backed Team Vitality54c384.1$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.6957754.9%317 W · 260 L+24.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2aad…88d4backed Natus Vincere45c368.95$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.0328827.4%79 W · 209 L-30.6wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-33.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Natus Vincere44c363.09$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.241,00342.5%426 W · 577 L-24.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed Natus Vincere27c354.15$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.621,11435%390 W · 724 L+14.3wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa900…5acebacked Natus Vincere21c350$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7314032.1%45 W · 95 L-7.9wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-32.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdf87…2974backed Natus Vincere5c337.08$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.675113.7%7 W · 44 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d83…272cbacked Natus Vincere29c330.14$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.7459241.9%248 W · 344 L-16.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.