Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: Navi (-1.5) vs Team Vitality (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf37b0b3c3cdf39cd69691ace99e00267b7583fb3948effe29085fccc7399817a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Vitalityof Natus Vincere, Team Vitality
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,699
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,463
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,699 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x509d…0a6bbacked Team Vitality | 78c | 10,482$8,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,314.09 | 670 | 56.9%381 W · 289 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed Natus Vincere | 23c | 6,243$1,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,411 | 644 | 43%277 W · 367 L | -27.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bdd…1b11backed Natus Vincere | 21c | 2,381$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 169 | 35.5%60 W · 109 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Natus Vincere | 22c | 1,888$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.11 | 1,521 | 50.6%769 W · 752 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Team Vitality | 78c | 1,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Natus Vincere | 23c | 777$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.71 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Natus Vincere | 18c | 418.54$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad2a…99a3backed Natus Vincere | 21c | 316.26$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.42 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Team Vitality | 77c | 202$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.54 | 1,794 | 51.1%917 W · 877 L | +50.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Natus Vincere | 22c | 190.64$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.94 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Natus Vincere | 13c | 176.32$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.92 | 331 | 24.2%80 W · 251 L | -33.2wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xef20…8f64backed Natus Vincere | 22c | 128.68$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.31 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Natus Vincere | 23c | 104.18$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 1,606 | 17.5%281 W · 1,325 L | -245.0wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Team Vitality | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 415 | 44.6%185 W · 230 L | +16.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadf8…1e82backed Natus Vincere | 21c | 83.83$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…aec3backed Natus Vincere | 21c | 57.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 147 | 32%47 W · 100 L | -13.0wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Natus Vincere | 22c | 47.58$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Team Vitality | 70c | 33.33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1,225 | 49.6%607 W · 618 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e8…ef2bbacked Team Vitality | 76c | 32.54$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.91 | 645 | 56.6%365 W · 280 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa427…f87fbacked Team Vitality | 78c | 32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45db…08f3backed Team Vitality | 78c | 32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Team Vitality | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 416 | 51.2%213 W · 203 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Team Vitality | 78c | 29.13$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.41 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd35e…a1e8backed Team Vitality | 79c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.94 | 127 | 63%80 W · 47 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked Team Vitality | 78c | 13.59$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.04 | 357 | 55.7%199 W · 158 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d42…cde0backed Team Vitality | 79c | 12.66$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.66 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: Navi (-1.5) vs Team Vitality (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Natus Vincere vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonTeam Vitality won
- LoL: Natus Vincere vs Team Vitality - Game 1 WinnerTeam Vitality won
- LoL: Natus Vincere vs Team Vitality - Game 2 WinnerTeam Vitality won
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 1?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.