Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Tulane Green Wave vs. Charlotte 49ers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd98084a063ff65ccba5a225cb3a82bcca2711634d0ea8a9469c5fb8a614c873b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Charlotte 49ersof Tulane Green Wave, Charlotte 49ers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,118
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,118 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Charlotte 49ers | 52c | 21,304$11,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,270.4 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Tulane Green Wave | 48c | 9,542$4,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,580.16 | 177 | 42.9%76 W · 101 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Tulane Green Wave | 50c | 9,026$4,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,502.55 | 189 | 54.5%103 W · 86 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Tulane Green Wave | 49c | 5,004$2,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,452.2 | 394 | 54.6%215 W · 179 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Tulane Green Wave | 49c | 4,597$2,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,252.47 | 160 | 53.8%86 W · 74 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Charlotte 49ers | 51c | 3,333$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,633.17 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Charlotte 49ers | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,409.99 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Tulane Green Wave | 36c | 2,970$1,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,061.37 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Charlotte 49ers | 75c | 2,811$2,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.38 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Tulane Green Wave | 8c | 2,730$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.44 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Charlotte 49ers | 39c | 2,498$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,522.11 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Tulane Green Wave | 28c | 2,001$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.52 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked Charlotte 49ers | 51c | 1,935$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$943.33 | 572 | 48.1%275 W · 297 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Tulane Green Wave | 31c | 1,927$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.12 | 185 | 48.6%90 W · 95 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Charlotte 49ers | 52c | 1,667$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.16 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Tulane Green Wave | 58c | 1,611$934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.05 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3817…7d10backed Tulane Green Wave | 48c | 1,464$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.67 | 298 | 45.3%135 W · 163 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Tulane Green Wave | 59c | 1,211$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.18 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Charlotte 49ers | 52c | 1,124$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.16 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Tulane Green Wave | 38c | 1,089$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.21 | 94 | 48.9%46 W · 48 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe278…b608backed Tulane Green Wave | 48c | 983.04$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.86 | 215 | 49.3%106 W · 109 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Charlotte 49ers | 42c | 801.58$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.12 | 536 | 35.6%191 W · 345 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Charlotte 49ers | 51c | 541.34$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.2 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…e73abacked Tulane Green Wave | 47c | 530.34$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.24 | 267 | 49.1%131 W · 136 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…e413backed Tulane Green Wave | 49c | 398.48$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.26 | 372 | 46.2%172 W · 200 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Tulane Green Wave | 44c | 385.19$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.39 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe622…ea5ebacked Tulane Green Wave | 50c | 356.85$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.43 | 371 | 42.6%158 W · 213 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Charlotte 49ers | 44c | 348.05$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.35 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Charlotte 49ers | 40c | 347.04$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.52 | 258 | 29.5%76 W · 182 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Tulane Green Wave | 31c | 311.46$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.55 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Tulane Green Wave | 49c | 310.07$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.9 | 353 | 38.5%136 W · 217 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Charlotte 49ers | 51c | 255.63$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.26 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Charlotte 49ers | 39c | 254.28$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.11 | 66 | 30.3%20 W · 46 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed Tulane Green Wave | 20c | 250.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.72 | 114 | 39.5%45 W · 69 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Charlotte 49ers | 41c | 216.15$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.53 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Charlotte 49ers | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 574 | 48.3%277 W · 297 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x740d…f9f3backed Tulane Green Wave | 50c | 198.25$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c5…4d7abacked Tulane Green Wave | 50c | 197.41$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Charlotte 49ers | 51c | 193.64$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.21 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Charlotte 49ers | 43c | 186.65$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.49 | 493 | 45.4%224 W · 269 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Tulane Green Wave | 53c | 175.66$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.67 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Tulane Green Wave | 47c | 159.88$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.15 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e87…4891backed Tulane Green Wave | 49c | 151.62$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.34 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Charlotte 49ers | 47c | 139.16$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.06 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Tulane Green Wave | 49c | 120$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.2 | 334 | 45.8%153 W · 181 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc90d…e7d6backed Tulane Green Wave | 47c | 105.68$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d90…d3dbbacked Tulane Green Wave | 55c | 100.94$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.51 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf43c…d7c3backed Tulane Green Wave | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 491 | 57.2%281 W · 210 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked Tulane Green Wave | 30c | 99.26$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.27 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Tulane Green Wave | 47c | 99.13$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.59 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Charlotte 49ers | 74c | 99.01$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.46 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…e4bebacked Tulane Green Wave | 50c | 98.69$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83ea…c2efbacked Charlotte 49ers | 52c | 95.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.75 | 230 | 54.3%125 W · 105 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Charlotte 49ers | 50c | 92.98$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.49 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7baf…4acabacked Charlotte 49ers | 54c | 91.9$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.34 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd418…d11fbacked Charlotte 49ers | 76c | 87.04$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.63 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Tulane Green Wave | 49c | 77.28$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.87 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc62e…108dbacked Charlotte 49ers | 74c | 72.21$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.87 | 106 | 38.7%41 W · 65 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Tulane Green Wave | 34c | 71.47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.39 | 576 | 55%317 W · 259 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Tulane Green Wave | 47c | 71.31$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.52 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Tulane Green Wave | 20c | 62.57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 646 | 47.5%307 W · 339 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…08bbbacked Tulane Green Wave | 49c | 60.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.76 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Tulane Green Wave | 57c | 58.18$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.91 | 605 | 51.4%311 W · 294 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Tulane Green Wave | 49c | 57.31$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.08 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd12…a7b8backed Charlotte 49ers | 51c | 49.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1e…63bbbacked Tulane Green Wave | 61c | 49.58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.25 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Charlotte 49ers | 40c | 49.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.75 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x584c…0da9backed Tulane Green Wave | 49c | 48.57$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Charlotte 49ers | 52c | 39.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.78 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1736…32f1backed Charlotte 49ers | 54c | 36.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.96 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe6d…9d6abacked Charlotte 49ers | 40c | 32.95$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…b89fbacked Tulane Green Wave | 57c | 32.74$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Charlotte 49ers | 51c | 29.97$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.69 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe647…c9aabacked Charlotte 49ers | 49c | 29.38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.88 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0922…d5dcbacked Tulane Green Wave | 49c | 26.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf58…711fbacked Charlotte 49ers | 51c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tulane Green Wave vs. Charlotte 49ersthis page
- Spread: Charlotte 49ers (-1.5)Charlotte 49ers won
- Spread: Tulane Green Wave (-1.5)Charlotte 49ers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.