TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc90d…e7d6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
132
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: MLB, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 55 out of 100; worst Tennis at 37.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT4351.2%22 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blues vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Oilers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$41.54
Capitals vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Senators vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Lightning vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Lightning vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$65
Flyers vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$34.07
Jets vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Blue Jackets vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$70.94
Penguins vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Oilers vs. Sharksbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$70.94
Predators vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Oilers vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$30.18
Capitals vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$72.86
Ducks vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$96.08
Canadiens vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Stars vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Wild vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$54.17
Devils vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Stars vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$33.83
Blue Jackets vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$92.31
Oilers vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Kings vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$33.14
Capitals vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$86.47
Golden Knights vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$46.96
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT3231.3%10 W · 22 L-6.5wins-0.20per pick52cpaid-37.9%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
Tennis — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wuning: Fajing Sun vs Justin Boulaisbacked Justin Boulais · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.44
Wuning: Li Tu vs Alastair Graybacked Li Tu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$80.68
Mexico City: Beibit Zhukayev vs Corentin Denollybacked Beibit Zhukayev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$22.05
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Alejandro Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.41
Wuning: Fajing Sun vs Philip Sekulicbacked Philip Sekulic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.62
Wuning: Justin Boulais vs Kaichi Uchidabacked Kaichi Uchida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.41
Morelia: Juan Pablo Ficovich vs Luka Pavlovicbacked Luka Pavlovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Sao Paulo: Juan Carlos Prado vs Gonzalo Buenobacked Gonzalo Bueno · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Bucaramanga: Cannon Kingsley vs Adria Soriano Barrerabacked Adria Soriano Barrera · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Miami Open: Ugo Humbert vs Francisco Cerundolobacked Francisco Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+100%+$40
Miami Open: Caty McNally vs Rebeka Masarovabacked Rebeka Masarova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Miami Open: Raphael Collignon vs Grigor Dimitrovbacked Grigor Dimitrov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Miami Open: Ann Li vs Kimberly Birrellbacked Kimberly Birrell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Miami Open: Ethan Quinn vs Hubert Hurkaczbacked Hubert Hurkacz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Miami Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Mariano Navonebacked Mariano Navone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+100%+$70
Morelos: Taro Daniel vs Andres Andradebacked Andres Andrade · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Morelos: Rodrigo Pacheco vs Alexis Galarneaubacked Alexis Galarneau · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Miami Open: Katerina Siniakova vs Camila Osoriobacked Camila Osorio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$72.86
Antalya 3: Veronika Erjavec vs Tamara Zidansekbacked Tamara Zidansek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$54.17
Cap Cana: Alexander Blockx vs Coleman Wongbacked Coleman Wong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Austin: Lanlana Tararudee vs Kimberly Birrellbacked Kimberly Birrell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Cap Cana: Nicolas Mejia vs Shintaro Mochizukibacked Nicolas Mejia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Santiago: Genaro Alberto Olivieri vs Andrea Collarinibacked Genaro Alberto Olivieri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$54.17
Hersonissos 2: Paul Jubb vs Harry Wendelkenbacked Harry Wendelken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Santiago: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Daniel Galanbacked Daniel Galan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT1662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+20.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$36.5
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$44.71
Tulane Green Wave vs. Charlotte 49ersbacked Tulane Green Wave · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.56
Northwestern State Demons vs. Nicholls Colonelsbacked Nicholls Colonels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$42.22
Northeastern Huskies vs. North Carolina A&T Aggiesbacked North Carolina A&T Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$39.65
Stanford Cardinal vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irishbacked Stanford Cardinal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+91.1%+$72.22
UAB Blazers vs. Charlotte 49ersbacked UAB Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+85.2%+$42.22
Old Dominion Monarchs vs. Georgia State Panthersbacked Georgia State Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$49.56
Siena Saints vs. Fairfield Stagsbacked Fairfield Stags · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+108.3%+$53.69
South Dakota Coyotes vs. Oral Roberts Golden Eaglesbacked South Dakota Coyotes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Saint Peter's Peacocks vs. Iona Gaelsbacked Iona Gaels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+88.7%+$26.6
Lafayette Leopards vs. Holy Cross Crusadersbacked Holy Cross Crusaders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$60
TCU Horned Frogs vs. UCF Knightsbacked UCF Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+85.2%+$42.59
Tulsa Golden Hurricane vs. Wichita State Shockersbacked Tulsa Golden Hurricane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$12
NJIT Highlanders vs. New Hampshire Wildcatsbacked NJIT Highlanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+104.1%+$20.82
Milwaukee Panthers vs. IU Indy Jaguarsbacked Milwaukee Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+85.2%+$46.85
All 16 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT1650%8 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Suns vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$36.9
Clippers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$71.72
Hawks vs. Cavaliersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.86
Lakers vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$52.48
Knicks vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$42.59
Timberwolves vs. Clippersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Raptors vs. Pelicansbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Bulls vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+113.2%+$45.29
Pistons vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+108.8%+$65.26
Hawks vs. Bucksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+108.3%+$54.17
Thunder vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Magic vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$75
Hawks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Pistons vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Wizards vs. Netsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$48
Knicks vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+104.1%+$57.24
All 16 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+27.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Yankees vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.27
Texas Rangers vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$43.09
New York Yankees vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$51.26
San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.1
Boston Red Sox vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$82.02
Athletics vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$30.96
Texas Rangers vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.4
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$24.18
New York Yankees vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Cincinnati Reds vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$44.34
Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+91.9%+$45.96
Los Angeles Angels vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$28.82
All 12 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-26.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.