MLB · resolved market
Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x003ebee75ec0bd900f0e16e45231c3150496de9015fb85e71d73301a459737a3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Colorado Rockiesof Colorado Rockies, Arizona Diamondbacks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,177
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,177 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Colorado Rockies | 48c | 1,107$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.45 | 321 | 52%167 W · 154 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe278…b608backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 52c | 999.99$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Colorado Rockies | 51c | 671.88$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.94 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 650$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.5 | 840 | 49.4%415 W · 425 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Colorado Rockies | 50c | 501$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.41 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 54c | 415.02$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.73 | 408 | 46.1%188 W · 220 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 50c | 249$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.79 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 226$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.74 | 310 | 38.4%119 W · 191 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Colorado Rockies | 46c | 209$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.25 | 134 | 42.5%57 W · 77 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Colorado Rockies | 49c | 206$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.06 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 68c | 198.04$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.47 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 51c | 180.1$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.62 | 465 | 47.1%219 W · 246 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13d6…926ebacked Colorado Rockies | 32c | 150$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 71 | 28.2%20 W · 51 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 55c | 146.28$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 665 | 51.1%340 W · 325 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 54c | 121$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.84 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1243…2a64backed Colorado Rockies | 47c | 105.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.44 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Colorado Rockies | 51c | 101.99$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.98 | 722 | 47.6%344 W · 378 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 352 | 45.5%160 W · 192 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7baf…4acabacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc90d…e7d6backed Colorado Rockies | 52c | 95.96$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.96 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Colorado Rockies | 34c | 94$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 103 | 53.4%55 W · 48 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 62c | 85.23$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.69 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Colorado Rockies | 48c | 84.96$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.25 | 447 | 45.6%204 W · 243 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 40c | 81.91$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.72 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Colorado Rockies | 48c | 79.5$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.34 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3437…1e5ebacked Colorado Rockies | 47c | 74.47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.47 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 50c | 70.9$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.45 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 52c | 66.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.58 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Colorado Rockies | 41c | 64.39$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.1 | 230 | 36.1%83 W · 147 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Colorado Rockies | 46c | 60.6$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.72 | 509 | 49.5%252 W · 257 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Colorado Rockies | 33c | 60$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.99 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Colorado Rockies | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Colorado Rockies | 50c | 58.12$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.92 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Colorado Rockies | 46c | 51.53$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 50.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.98 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda4f…77e9backed Colorado Rockies | 46c | 47.9$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc0…8f18backed Colorado Rockies | 46c | 44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.97 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…08bbbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 58c | 43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 387 | 68.5%265 W · 122 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a2…23a0backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 73c | 42.69$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.01 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -3.3wins | -0.24per pick | 67cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Colorado Rockies | 46c | 40.04$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.62 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbaa…dd4fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed Colorado Rockies | 35c | 38.8$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.03 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Colorado Rockies | 33c | 36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.08 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Colorado Rockies | 47c | 27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.31 | 352 | 40.3%142 W · 210 L | -23.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed Colorado Rockies | 47c | 24.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.08 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 53c | 23.51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf60…79c5backed Colorado Rockies | 50c | 21.03$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.52 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.