NHL · resolved market
Lightning vs. Canadiens
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8299c4a986395363b1fbf635040df65923e09b399ff7d3baffa1f2a4047b3005
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Canadiensof Lightning, Canadiens
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $509,659
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $539,121
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $509,659 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 528 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Canadiens | 48c | 79,953$38,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,575.44 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f90…4e02backed Lightning | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe56d…2b65backed Lightning | 52c | 35,769$18,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,600 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca1…dd13backed Lightning | 52c | 30,000$15,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,600 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Lightning | 51c | 26,432$13,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,480.41 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Canadiens | 48c | 25,457$12,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,236.92 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Canadiens | 48c | 15,660$7,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,083.76 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Lightning | 53c | 11,584$6,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,126.18 | 207 | 56.5%117 W · 90 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21d4…84bdbacked Canadiens | 48c | 11,304$5,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,878.07 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Lightning | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,199.94 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Lightning | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,199.93 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | +10.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Canadiens | 48c | 9,885$4,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,184.24 | 274 | 48.9%134 W · 140 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Lightning | 27c | 9,538$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600.02 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Lightning | 36c | 8,977$3,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,227.73 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Lightning | 52c | 7,542$3,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,884.32 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7150…0a2bbacked Lightning | 52c | 7,500$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,899.97 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Lightning | 34c | 6,878$2,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,365.39 | 332 | 34.3%114 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Canadiens | 52c | 6,394$3,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,089.29 | 302 | 59.6%180 W · 122 L | +31.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…fec6backed Canadiens | 73c | 6,134$4,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,628.55 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Canadiens | 49c | 6,000$2,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,059.98 | 157 | 49.7%78 W · 79 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Lightning | 52c | 5,977$3,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,078.19 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Lightning | 34c | 5,237$1,798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,798.03 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Lightning | 51c | 5,120$2,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,610.07 | 448 | 48.9%219 W · 229 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Lightning | 36c | 5,060$1,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,829.7 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Lightning | 52c | 4,500$2,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,340 | 278 | 50.4%140 W · 138 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Lightning | 52c | 4,500$2,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,340 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Lightning | 52c | 4,500$2,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,339.99 | 435 | 48.5%211 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Canadiens | 48c | 4,167$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,166.67 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Canadiens | 73c | 4,148$3,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,104.22 | 95 | 62.1%59 W · 36 L | +9.1wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +22%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Lightning | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked Lightning | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Canadiens | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,120 | 305 | 52.5%160 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e4c…28ddbacked Canadiens | 45c | 4,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,199.84 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Canadiens | 47c | 3,929$1,847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,082.46 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…600ebacked Canadiens | 49c | 3,707$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,907.48 | 270 | 44.4%120 W · 150 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x844e…4efdbacked Canadiens | 50c | 3,600$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 52 | 76.9%40 W · 12 L | +11.6wins | +0.22per pick | 55cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Canadiens | 48c | 3,553$1,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,847.48 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea3…f51cbacked Lightning | 53c | 3,400$1,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,802 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +61.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x371b…c366backed Lightning | 53c | 3,158$1,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,673.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd74…888dbacked Canadiens | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e59…beeebacked Lightning | 52c | 2,985$1,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,552 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Canadiens | 70c | 2,868$2,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864.95 | 149 | 46.3%69 W · 80 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Lightning | 51c | 2,734$1,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,394.48 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x024a…58b2backed Canadiens | 48c | 2,558$1,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,330.07 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Canadiens | 64c | 2,554$1,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918.07 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Lightning | 51c | 2,500$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Lightning | 51c | 2,486$1,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,269.48 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Lightning | 52c | 2,455$1,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,276.47 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc510…629abacked Lightning | 51c | 2,357$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.8 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x199a…ef23backed Lightning | 26c | 2,346$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.56 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 39cpaid | -73.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d29…1a00backed Canadiens | 48c | 2,209$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,148.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Canadiens | 48c | 2,176$1,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,142.06 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Lightning | 53c | 2,005$1,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,062.6 | 254 | 47.2%120 W · 134 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Canadiens | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 267 | 50.2%134 W · 133 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Canadiens | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 204 | 50%102 W · 102 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1572…7991backed Canadiens | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff8…8a76backed Canadiens | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Lightning | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.99 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Lightning | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.96 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2b…6813backed Lightning | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x607d…53a1backed Lightning | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 134 | 46.3%62 W · 72 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Lightning | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.98 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a43…da23backed Canadiens | 48c | 1,788$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.76 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +108.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d32…9dfcbacked Lightning | 50c | 1,774$887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886.83 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Lightning | 52c | 1,750$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910 | 275 | 47.6%131 W · 144 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Lightning | 52c | 1,670$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868.4 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Lightning | 52c | 1,667$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.84 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Lightning | 52c | 1,638$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.22 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Canadiens | 55c | 1,583$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.24 | 188 | 53.2%100 W · 88 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Canadiens | 48c | 1,549$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.68 | 260 | 58.8%153 W · 107 L | +17.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Canadiens | 55c | 1,521$843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.77 | 334 | 50.9%170 W · 164 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Canadiens | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Canadiens | 67c | 1,371$921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.19 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Lightning | 51c | 1,301$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.76 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…a992backed Lightning | 31c | 1,297$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 123 | 28.5%35 W · 88 L | -9.2wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Lightning | 48c | 1,155$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.14 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82f4…e161backed Canadiens | 49c | 1,131$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.98 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Canadiens | 49c | 1,111$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.61 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93e7…cc0cbacked Canadiens | 48c | 1,040$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Canadiens | 50c | 1,001$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.08 | 191 | 41.9%80 W · 111 L | -9.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…5554backed Lightning | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 457 | 49.2%225 W · 232 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2288…8f5fbacked Canadiens | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc405…4affbacked Lightning | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d5…8935backed Canadiens | 48c | 1,000$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49a5…b220backed Canadiens | 47c | 999.98$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.99 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86f4…40d5backed Canadiens | 47c | 999.98$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.99 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Lightning | 53c | 969.81$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3d…85abbacked Lightning | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 111 | 51.4%57 W · 54 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c2…58e9backed Lightning | 42c | 948.16$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8401…0fa1backed Lightning | 52c | 937.79$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.65 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47af…799bbacked Lightning | 52c | 930$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.6 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Canadiens | 60c | 900$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.79 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c31…ebdbbacked Lightning | 52c | 894.87$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.77 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Lightning | 28c | 881.98$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.58 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e12…84debacked Lightning | 52c | 880$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed Canadiens | 48c | 855$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.6 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Lightning | 52c | 825.23$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.12 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Lightning | 31c | 812.88$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.55 | 519 | 49.5%257 W · 262 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Canadiens | 58c | 776.2$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.28 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefa5…b417backed Canadiens | 48c | 758$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.16 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lightning vs. Canadiensthis page
- Lightning vs. Canadiens: O/U 4.5Under won
- Lightning vs. Canadiens: O/U 5.5Under won
- Lightning vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5Under won
- Lightning vs. Canadiens: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Canadiens (-1.5)Lightning won
- Spread: Lightning (-1.5)Canadiens won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.