TailMyPicks
Market

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskies

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Connecticut Huskiesof Michigan State Spartans, Connecticut Huskies
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$7,654,730
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$8,116,549

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,654,730 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb6d6…be17backed Connecticut Huskies55c901,216$495,669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405,547.161369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+16.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Connecticut Huskies71c335,175$237,113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98,061.417742.9%76 W · 101 L+0.8wins0.00per pick42cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b9c…7e44backed Michigan State Spartans44c307,057$134,994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134,993.586149.2%30 W · 31 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xacae…6798backed Connecticut Huskies54c247,827$133,826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114,000.1910749.5%53 W · 54 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e2c…b7f8backed Connecticut Huskies54c247,827$133,826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114,000.192330.4%7 W · 16 L-3.2wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-39%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x07b8…8e25backed Connecticut Huskies56c165,813$92,855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72,957.854334.9%15 W · 28 L-0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-18.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Connecticut Huskies75c165,105$123,791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41,313.2425145.8%115 W · 136 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Michigan State Spartans44c164,930$72,447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72,446.811,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa974…ef79backed Michigan State Spartans46c150,000$69,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69,0002040%8 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd38a…8d26backed Michigan State Spartans44c148,706$65,431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65,430.821172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.24per pick48cpaid+50.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa4f5…1079backed Connecticut Huskies73c123,801$90,812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,988.96752.2%35 W · 32 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Michigan State Spartans26c121,183$31,346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,3467245.8%33 W · 39 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe734…8f6abacked Michigan State Spartans45c117,317$52,855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52,854.87650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Michigan State Spartans45c110,149$49,567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49,566.882445.8%11 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd38b…5029backed Connecticut Huskies57c89,228$50,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,368.011258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Michigan State Spartans43c75,953$32,292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,292.3646246.5%215 W · 247 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Michigan State Spartans22c64,818$14,429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,429.1134943.3%151 W · 198 L-15.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-28.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3522…188fbacked Connecticut Huskies55c58,964$32,247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,717.453100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+128.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Connecticut Huskies55c56,257$30,941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,315.683842.1%16 W · 22 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc807…c12bbacked Michigan State Spartans44c55,723$24,518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,518.013455.9%19 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7bf9…b6d3backed Michigan State Spartans45c55,074$24,783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,783.44366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x938f…f13fbacked Michigan State Spartans45c54,887$24,804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,803.7520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-71.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Michigan State Spartans44c51,025$22,451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,451.0617643.8%77 W · 99 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb91…b665backed Michigan State Spartans46c50,715$23,329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,328.922123.8%5 W · 16 L-4.3wins-0.20per pick44cpaid-59.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x05ab…8145backed Connecticut Huskies75c44,189$33,142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,047.35650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-21.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b88…5d08backed Michigan State Spartans46c43,100$19,826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,826.122917.2%5 W · 24 L-8.1wins-0.28per pick45cpaid-67.9%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x6368…6dc8backed Connecticut Huskies57c42,970$24,493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,477.226056.7%34 W · 26 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x073a…91e7backed Michigan State Spartans45c41,835$18,884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,884.291947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Michigan State Spartans47c40,643$19,102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,101.9941752.5%219 W · 198 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Michigan State Spartans10c37,051$3,551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,551.0144146.5%205 W · 236 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf40…87debacked Michigan State Spartans47c31,721$14,909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,908.873850%19 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Connecticut Huskies54c30,000$16,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,799.9914854.1%80 W · 68 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Connecticut Huskies54c29,739$16,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,680.021,39752.7%736 W · 661 L+26.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Michigan State Spartans13c26,598$3,458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,457.721926.3%5 W · 14 L-3.7wins-0.19per pick46cpaid-44.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Michigan State Spartans43c26,343$11,349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,349.412,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa62b…0f85backed Michigan State Spartans35c24,466$8,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,449.91757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick33cpaid+36.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Michigan State Spartans22c24,205$5,335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,335.1349345.4%224 W · 269 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-15.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x50a7…e06fbacked Michigan State Spartans46c23,716$10,909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,909.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Michigan State Spartans45c22,922$10,315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,314.915541.8%23 W · 32 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8461…0df3backed Michigan State Spartans45c22,202$9,991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,99110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe558…dcd2backed Michigan State Spartans23c21,791$5,096 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,095.631353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+41.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e50…1765backed Michigan State Spartans45c21,711$9,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,77010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe2d…b852backed Michigan State Spartans45c21,649$9,742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,74210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x559c…a4d3backed Michigan State Spartans45c21,538$9,692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,69210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6e4…593bbacked Michigan State Spartans45c21,411$9,635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,63510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd604…cb5fbacked Michigan State Spartans45c20,000$9,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,999.982917.2%5 W · 24 L-5.5wins-0.19per pick36cpaid-69.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3846…9742backed Michigan State Spartans46c20,000$9,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,199.953956.4%22 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x646c…4392backed Connecticut Huskies53c19,874$10,582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,292.34475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick43cpaid+86.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2bc9…fcb9backed Connecticut Huskies55c18,643$10,254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,389.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2cd0…8e55backed Michigan State Spartans45c18,540$8,343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,343250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Connecticut Huskies56c18,363$10,210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,152.941,15248.9%563 W · 589 L+3.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60f8…d699backed Michigan State Spartans24c17,805$4,347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,347.471435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf732…7c06backed Michigan State Spartans45c17,790$8,081 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,080.771127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.22per pick49cpaid-64.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xfc03…1548backed Michigan State Spartans46c17,500$8,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,0501258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+19.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Connecticut Huskies56c16,029$8,922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,106.9135147.6%167 W · 184 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x12ec…41aebacked Michigan State Spartans39c15,968$6,227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,227.341850%9 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd58…b1c3backed Connecticut Huskies63c15,735$9,913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,821.831100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d42…2eeebacked Michigan State Spartans45c15,690$7,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,060.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Connecticut Huskies54c15,630$8,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,189.6184147.4%399 W · 442 L-13.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16bb…8492backed Connecticut Huskies55c15,465$8,506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,959.19650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked Michigan State Spartans44c15,138$6,736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,736.314548.9%22 W · 23 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Michigan State Spartans46c15,000$6,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,899.8612364.2%79 W · 44 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed Michigan State Spartans31c14,483$4,489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,489.493262.5%20 W · 12 L+5.6wins+0.17per pick45cpaid+37.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xedc8…cca9backed Michigan State Spartans46c14,422$6,634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,633.93540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-39.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Connecticut Huskies54c14,000$7,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,4402729.6%8 W · 19 L-5.6wins-0.21per pick50cpaid-40.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x622e…07abbacked Michigan State Spartans44c13,154$5,788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,787.654040%16 W · 24 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Michigan State Spartans46c13,000$5,974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,973.819839.8%39 W · 59 L+0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-18.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Michigan State Spartans20c12,500$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,499.992231.8%7 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-38.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Michigan State Spartans20c12,474$2,495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,494.8530139.2%118 W · 183 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Connecticut Huskies77c12,314$9,432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,882.013,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbca6…73e3backed Michigan State Spartans45c11,748$5,287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,286.788946.1%41 W · 48 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x699c…5dc1backed Connecticut Huskies68c11,074$7,548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,526.642065%13 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick64cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc33a…3da3backed Michigan State Spartans46c10,775$4,957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,956.538432.1%27 W · 57 L-6.8wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-11.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5ecd…0787backed Michigan State Spartans45c10,769$4,846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,846.272213.6%3 W · 19 L-4.1wins-0.18per pick32cpaid-65.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xaf9e…a250backed Michigan State Spartans46c10,723$4,933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,932.62955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-16.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5f6…a659backed Connecticut Huskies56c10,173$5,697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,476.291526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-43.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Connecticut Huskies75c10,000$7,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5001136.4%4 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick26cpaid-14.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x201c…58bfbacked Michigan State Spartans46c10,000$4,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,6005843.1%25 W · 33 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe9b8…4335backed Michigan State Spartans46c9,918$4,562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,562.2910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1a2…14b8backed Michigan State Spartans46c9,913$4,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,560.012445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30a3…1943backed Connecticut Huskies54c9,913$5,353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,560.015740.4%23 W · 34 L-7.2wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-29.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xae0f…f647backed Connecticut Huskies75c9,881$7,411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,470.314746.8%22 W · 25 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Michigan State Spartans20c9,438$1,845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,845.2831646.8%148 W · 168 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Michigan State Spartans10c9,190$948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$947.720548.8%100 W · 105 L+13.1wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+35.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8cb3…8ed1backed Connecticut Huskies54c9,177$4,956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,221.38683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.27per pick56cpaid+50.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x71e1…45f0backed Michigan State Spartans44c8,963$3,974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,974.465437%20 W · 34 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcea3…ba07backed Michigan State Spartans46c8,724$4,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,013.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x02b2…814cbacked Michigan State Spartans46c8,591$3,952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,951.87650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+14%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d8f…9cd1backed Michigan State Spartans46c8,200$3,772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,772633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-37.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1e6…1dc1backed Michigan State Spartans46c8,119$3,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,699.865341.5%22 W · 31 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xceec…4ad9backed Michigan State Spartans40c8,027$3,223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,222.67520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-56.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Connecticut Huskies54c7,924$4,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,684.142729.6%8 W · 19 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-52.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7c8a…8723backed Connecticut Huskies69c7,556$5,202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,353.81163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick56cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8210…aa2cbacked Michigan State Spartans45c7,400$3,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,330837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0c6…47debacked Michigan State Spartans46c7,374$3,392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,391.822927.6%8 W · 21 L-4.1wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-45.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Michigan State Spartans21c7,284$1,561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,561.0342934.3%147 W · 282 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2e77…2757backed Connecticut Huskies72c7,248$5,234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,013.972450%12 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ad8…075abacked Michigan State Spartans46c7,131$3,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,280.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d83…62edbacked Michigan State Spartans46c7,043$3,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,240333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick60cpaid-53.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Michigan State Spartans19c7,012$1,322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,321.9628539.6%113 W · 172 L-14.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.