Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskies: O/U 136.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1ae7f3c0003d5a8a52c64cd89163eb093deff8cabcfc57862b30865481364515
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,596
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,377
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,596 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Over | 50c | 13,680$6,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,902.92 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 51c | 9,986$5,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,893.06 | 369 | 44.2%163 W · 206 L | -19.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 49c | 9,186$4,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,650.27 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5919…95acbacked Over | 49c | 8,351$4,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,092.14 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 58c | 3,730$2,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,557.55 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 39c | 2,087$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805.53 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 43c | 1,765$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.56 | 251 | 45.8%115 W · 136 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 43c | 1,047$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.35 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Under | 51c | 1,011$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.31 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd1…4244backed Over | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe864…ce58backed Over | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 180 | 48.9%88 W · 92 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a9…4d64backed Under | 52c | 996.22$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.19 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | -7.6wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 49c | 713.7$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.71 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbd…d6f0backed Under | 49c | 341.88$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.36 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +4.9wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 41c | 331.17$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.78 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 48c | 314$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.72 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc0…1912backed Over | 51c | 294.11$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Under | 52c | 272.6$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.85 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 62c | 217.11$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.41 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Under | 65c | 216.95$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.47 | 605 | 51.4%311 W · 294 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 49c | 174.06$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.29 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Over | 39c | 168.14$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.91 | 528 | 43.6%230 W · 298 L | -19.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over | 41c | 149.71$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.73 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Over | 41c | 148.85$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.37 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under | 72c | 148.12$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.84 | 576 | 55%317 W · 259 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 41c | 127.91$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.47 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 41c | 122.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.43 | 199 | 58.3%116 W · 83 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 67c | 114.75$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.95 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x199f…7e77backed Under | 62c | 96.1$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.6 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ca…7432backed Under | 66c | 75.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 57c | 70.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.37 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…abcbbacked Under | 63c | 62.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.12 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Under | 62c | 58.67$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.54 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Over | 51c | 56.3$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.71 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Under | 60c | 49.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 107 | 55.1%59 W · 48 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x362a…8683backed Over | 49c | 49.56$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.29 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Over | 43c | 48.69$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.94 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…07e5backed Over | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd774…82cdbacked Under | 52c | 41.19$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.77 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Over | 36c | 39.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 646 | 47.5%307 W · 339 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Over | 43c | 37.88$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.29 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Over | 42c | 35.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 49c | 34.16$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 191 | 53.9%103 W · 88 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Over | 42c | 33.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…31c3backed Over | 42c | 32.72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4066…e3c3backed Over | 40c | 32.13$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69b4…f95fbacked Under | 62c | 31.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.16 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Under | 48c | 31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.13 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2502…87e5backed Over | 42c | 30.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 56c | 29.74$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Under | 53c | 26.56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 330 | 58.2%192 W · 138 L | +24.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 43c | 23.79$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2e…7f4ebacked Under | 52c | 21.08$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Under | 59c | 20.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.28 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskies: O/U 136.5this page
- Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut HuskiesConnecticut Huskies won
- Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskies: O/U 128.5Over won
- Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskies: O/U 130.5Under won
- Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskies: O/U 133.5Under won
- Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskies: O/U 134.5Under won
- Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskies: O/U 135.5Under won
- Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskies: O/U 139.5Under won
- Spread: Connecticut Huskies (-1.5)Connecticut Huskies won
- Spread: Connecticut Huskies (-10.5)Michigan State Spartans won
- Spread: Connecticut Huskies (-2.5)Connecticut Huskies won
- Spread: Connecticut Huskies (-3.5)Connecticut Huskies won
- Spread: Connecticut Huskies (-4.5)Michigan State Spartans won
- Spread: Connecticut Huskies (-7.5)Michigan State Spartans won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.