TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskies: O/U 134.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$248,120
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$238,457

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $248,120 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 182 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe248…f293backed Over52c52,847$27,491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,491.0978155.6%434 W · 347 L+38.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Over53c18,101$9,593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,593.344348.8%21 W · 22 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe74a…f1bfbacked Under48c17,500$8,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,1002544%11 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under47c15,526$7,361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,164.732,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over54c11,426$6,172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,172.261,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0c6…47debacked Under48c10,082$4,839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,242.512927.6%8 W · 21 L-4.1wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-45.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6a7e…1cc7backed Under48c10,000$4,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,2004628.3%13 W · 33 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-44.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed Under48c9,835$4,721 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,113.994738.3%18 W · 29 L-5.0wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-19.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xacae…6798backed Under47c9,270$4,357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,913.2610749.5%53 W · 54 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xae0f…f647backed Over54c8,775$4,709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,709.454746.8%22 W · 25 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbca6…73e3backed Under46c7,746$3,563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,182.68946.1%41 W · 48 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbbd…d6f0backed Under47c7,603$3,574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,029.772661.5%16 W · 10 L+4.9wins+0.19per pick43cpaid+33.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb5a4…5780backed Over53c6,363$3,372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,372.16742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4a2…6fc8backed Under48c5,720$2,731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,989.515060%30 W · 20 L+5.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+19.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Under46c5,704$2,603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,101.311926.3%5 W · 14 L-3.7wins-0.19per pick46cpaid-44.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3464…8112backed Under48c5,230$2,496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,734.64656.5%26 W · 20 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+11.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x67d3…96cbbacked Under48c5,125$2,447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,678.254360.5%26 W · 17 L+4.8wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+20.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under45c4,554$2,033 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,521.6792246%424 W · 498 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under46c4,434$2,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,374.43,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb9b4…75a0backed Under47c4,236$1,991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,245.089244.6%41 W · 51 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x71e1…45f0backed Under47c3,924$1,839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,085.015437%20 W · 34 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under45c3,917$1,773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,144.31,15248.9%563 W · 589 L+3.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b10…acabbacked Under52c3,592$1,868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,724.323855.3%21 W · 17 L+5.3wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+41.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under50c3,550$1,765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,785.635,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb142…2a4ebacked Under44c3,256$1,433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,823.23560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa800…bd7abacked Over49c3,160$1,548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,548.34633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Over30c3,108$932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$932.3521636.1%78 W · 138 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under47c3,000$1,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5902,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5669…e058backed Under46c3,000$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6204854.2%26 W · 22 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x38b8…f812backed Under46c3,000$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,620683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.34per pick49cpaid+71.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Over54c2,974$1,606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,605.9222349.3%110 W · 113 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over49c2,767$1,345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,345.446246.5%215 W · 247 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x48e2…2a5fbacked Under47c2,698$1,268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,430.08666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+36.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe864…ce58backed Under47c2,399$1,128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,271.6518048.9%88 W · 92 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under49c2,256$1,106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,150.6544146.5%205 W · 236 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Under48c2,200$1,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,14414447.9%69 W · 75 L+8.4wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x931f…2e44backed Under48c2,068$993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,075.372263.6%14 W · 8 L+4.0wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+36.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over30c2,006$602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601.842,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked Under46c2,000$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0803441.2%14 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked Under47c1,893$890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,003.325759.6%34 W · 23 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+22.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Under45c1,796$806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$990.281,39752.7%736 W · 661 L+26.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa307…8ea3backed Under43c1,784$767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,016.6211243.8%49 W · 63 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under47c1,512$711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801.365,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b44…be1ebacked Under47c1,371$641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$730.575942.4%25 W · 34 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x71af…c057backed Under48c1,369$657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$711.81771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick51cpaid+41.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x058e…a2acbacked Under48c1,248$595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$653.111353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+17.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf796…3ac5backed Under44c1,239$545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$693.96955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.16per pick40cpaid+22%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under49c1,063$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545.7925145.8%115 W · 136 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f1…2d5fbacked Under47c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5303154.8%17 W · 14 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc104…f24fbacked Under46c1,000$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5401100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed Under46c1,000$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54018556.8%105 W · 80 L+14.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2ced…da99backed Under47c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5302100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Over54c999.14$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538.665743.9%25 W · 32 L+0.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8cc…015bbacked Under47c986.22$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.78254.9%45 W · 37 L+6.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xaaa2…c75fbacked Under47c975.03$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.771952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over52c914.55$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.4769350.4%349 W · 344 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe65b…271bbacked Over50c899.13$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.541947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Under48c896.4$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.1313356.4%75 W · 58 L+10.8wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+18.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Under46c805.6$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.026336.5%23 W · 40 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-23.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked Under47c704.4$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.337938%30 W · 49 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Under47c699.99$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.9916147.2%76 W · 85 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Under47c638.28$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.2912054.2%65 W · 55 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Under49c606.89$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.5124847.6%118 W · 130 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x00ce…3f01backed Under52c569.98$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.593053.3%16 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Under48c519.8$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.8916650%83 W · 83 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe33f…e413backed Under44c500.49$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.2437246.2%172 W · 200 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c2b…2575backed Over51c431.42$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.0260949.8%303 W · 306 L-9.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f05…a9b9backed Under49c412.69$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.471850%9 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a96…0d7cbacked Under44c402.23$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.255149%25 W · 26 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under47c388.09$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.9619958.3%116 W · 83 L+15.7wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Under48c359.83$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.1126254.2%142 W · 120 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x701d…57f9backed Over63c341.19$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.07560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7381…e0efbacked Under44c337.97$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.261376.9%10 W · 3 L+3.0wins+0.23per pick54cpaid+45.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Under46c325.14$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.5710443.3%45 W · 59 L-6.1wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under46c316.26$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.773,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53cd…11b3backed Under48c309.77$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.082330.4%7 W · 16 L-3.5wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-35%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1489…9924backed Under48c290.44$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.033860.5%23 W · 15 L+4.6wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+27.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Under47c281.44$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.7827650.7%140 W · 136 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x782c…2445backed Under48c268.47$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.63655.6%20 W · 16 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+19.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x622b…5a4abacked Under48c247.82$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.8616546.7%77 W · 88 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x55e5…df30backed Under46c215.5$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.371070%7 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+30.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over46c211.21$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.141,23444.8%553 W · 681 L-32.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d24…9c89backed Under47c210.91$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.787354.8%40 W · 33 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Under48c206.51$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.391,25150.6%633 W · 618 L+12.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ceb…b516backed Under48c206.51$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.3912655.6%70 W · 56 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Under48c206.51$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.3983350.2%418 W · 415 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Under51c204.18$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.056251.6%32 W · 30 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cb5…6be6backed Over53c199.25$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.614546.9%68 W · 77 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x40d2…312fbacked Under48c198.25$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.0912254.1%66 W · 56 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9386…cfe5backed Under48c198.25$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.094050%20 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x006a…14edbacked Under52c190.63$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.53372.7%24 W · 9 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7248…8cb4backed Under51c179.9$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.1516341.7%68 W · 95 L-9.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x51bb…a919backed Under48c179.67$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.438555.3%47 W · 38 L+7.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+26.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under44c175.63$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.3518744.9%84 W · 103 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Under55c171.74$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.719254.3%50 W · 42 L-0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Over54c168.52$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9121850.5%110 W · 108 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x362a…f541backed Over57c163.24$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Under47c154.19$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.656459.4%38 W · 26 L+6.4wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+16.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Under47c151.43$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.817749.4%38 W · 39 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb7d…7862backed Under48c150.75$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.397460.8%45 W · 29 L+6.8wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+17.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.