TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x362a…f541

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
43
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: South American Leagues, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category South American Leagues at 53 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT1330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.19per pick50cpaid-44.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Denmark win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.7
Will Türkiye win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+104.9%+$12.41
Kosovo vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.33
Will Sweden win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$31.35
Kosovo vs. Türkiye: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.14
Kosovo vs. Türkiye: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.22
Will Hungary win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.85
Will Switzerland win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.82
Will Canada win on 2026-03-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.61
Scotland vs. Japan: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
Will Senegal win on 2026-03-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$294Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+53%+$155.9
Will England win on 2026-03-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$162.76
Will Türkiye win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+46.1%+$37.85
All 13 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cavaliers vs. Lakers: O/U 236.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$13.06
Trail Blazers vs. Clippers: O/U 227.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.38
Rockets vs. Pelicansbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+45%+$27.95
Kings vs. Netsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$210.44
Celtics vs. Hornetsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$416Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+92.5%+$384.35
Rockets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 226.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+86%+$148.48
Clippers vs. Pacersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+26.7%+$51.91
Clippers vs. Pacers: O/U 237.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.7
Knicks vs. Hornetsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.79
Spread: Thunder (-2.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.8
Lakers vs. Pacers: O/U 238.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+104.8%+$28.15
All 11 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+57.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Red Wings (-1.5)backed Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.99
Spread: Stars (-1.5)backed Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.57
Stars vs. Flyersbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$279Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$278.98
All 3 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.57
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$20.46
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-18%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
O/U 3.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$242Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$154.52
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kocaelispor win on 2026-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.38
Will Rio Ave FC vs. FC Alverca end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.77
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$24.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chicago Fire FC vs. Nashville SC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.72
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SSC Napoli vs. AC Milan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskies: O/U 134.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.95
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.