Fifa International · resolved market
Kosovo vs. Türkiye: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaf7d5d87bd32eab50bc57d04442364221e65f393cf8fb775f626b069e6b630fd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,945
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,603
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,945 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 74c | 4,077$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,076.35 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…3653backed Over | 27c | 1,771$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.1 | 227 | 49.3%112 W · 115 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Over | 27c | 1,481$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.99 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Over | 21c | 1,095$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.19 | 115 | 20%23 W · 92 L | -8.8wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d5c…1768backed Under | 73c | 999.96$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.99 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 28c | 895.29$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.68 | 454 | 28%127 W · 327 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd411…7a18backed Over | 27c | 600$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 25c | 439.62$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.88 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 72c | 411.49$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.06 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed26…6282backed Under | 77c | 362.93$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.75 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over | 27c | 299.96$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.99 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1030…dd7abacked Under | 74c | 266.1$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.22 | 109 | 58.7%64 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 75c | 260.47$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.96 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 79c | 256.26$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.21 | 831 | 53.3%443 W · 388 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 26c | 250$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47f9…4731backed Over | 9c | 224.75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.05 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd243…56e5backed Over | 26c | 210$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0efb…016cbacked Under | 74c | 203.9$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.01 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 25c | 199.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1f…f549backed Under | 73c | 186.92$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.47 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 26c | 168.29$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.33 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x430a…a940backed Over | 18c | 165.17$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8193…8c82backed Over | 31c | 154.61$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.93 | 108 | 41.7%45 W · 63 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf1…5776backed Under | 74c | 133.03$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.59 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 16c | 120.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.51 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0f…c18cbacked Under | 80c | 118.89$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.78 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a42…2a7ebacked Over | 29c | 115.55$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.51 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2841…8e0dbacked Over | 29c | 115.55$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 77c | 111.42$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.72 | 508 | 50%254 W · 254 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…236ebacked Over | 29c | 110.5$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.59 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under | 73c | 107.39$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.48 | 171 | 58.5%100 W · 71 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89b8…4710backed Over | 28c | 102.51$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 29c | 100.74$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.71 | 308 | 36%111 W · 197 L | -17.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1af3…fbe3backed Over | 28c | 99.74$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.93 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -30%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1151…c27abacked Over | 29c | 99.04$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.72 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 29c | 99.04$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.72 | 823 | 40.9%337 W · 486 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 73c | 94.85$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.51 | 864 | 55.3%478 W · 386 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Over | 12c | 88.45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 51 | 21.6%11 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e6…d96bbacked Over | 16c | 73.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Over | 26c | 72.53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34f1…5fd6backed Over | 27c | 67.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.17 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x362a…f541backed Over | 27c | 66.94$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.22 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x810d…6080backed Over | 29c | 65.48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 175 | 53.7%94 W · 81 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 26c | 63.81$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.59 | 371 | 44.5%165 W · 206 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 73c | 58.21$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.62 | 246 | 53.3%131 W · 115 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Under | 74c | 57.51$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.99 | 237 | 49.8%118 W · 119 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 72c | 53.98$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.18 | 436 | 53.7%234 W · 202 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 72c | 53.21$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 74c | 53.14$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa43a…8b10backed Under | 73c | 52.36$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.14 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd22f…d0eebacked Over | 28c | 51.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Under | 73c | 49.23$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.27 | 255 | 54.5%139 W · 116 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…31c3backed Under | 74c | 48.54$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.65 | 154 | 48.1%74 W · 80 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce5…af2ebacked Under | 73c | 43.28$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9c…1700backed Under | 73c | 41.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 93 | 51.6%48 W · 45 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Under | 76c | 40.47$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.57 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under | 74c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 26c | 39.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 363 | 29.8%108 W · 255 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b14…5301backed Under | 75c | 39.14$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…fab9backed Under | 75c | 38.32$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.7 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc351…b804backed Over | 27c | 38.13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…f691backed Over | 27c | 38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 75c | 37.71$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.53 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45b5…5b12backed Under | 75c | 32.83$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa478…2779backed Under | 73c | 26.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.21 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc80…77b4backed Under | 75c | 26.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef92…f133backed Under | 73c | 25.16$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.86 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 77c | 24.66$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.57 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Under | 73c | 23.72$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.41 | 101 | 53.5%54 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Under | 73c | 20.93$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.65 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5676…7da7backed Under | 74c | 20.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.34 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae02…7ed0backed Under | 73c | 16.79$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.53 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99be…3622backed Under | 78c | 14.52$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.2 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kosovo vs. Türkiye: O/U 3.5this page
- Kosovo vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Kosovo vs. Türkiye: O/U 1.5Under won
- Kosovo vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5Under won
- Kosovo vs. Türkiye: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.