TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Scotland vs. Japan: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$122,898
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$97,037

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $122,898 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 178 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under57c23,909$13,732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,177.614,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6d0…9b55backed Over57c15,292$8,672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,671.795952.5%31 W · 28 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over18c10,649$1,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,950.043,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18c4…f6dcbacked Over17c10,000$1,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,679.991376.9%10 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick63cpaid+18.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under50c8,448$4,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,217.829343%126 W · 167 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5a4…5780backed Over52c4,407$2,292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,291.71250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over69c3,254$2,259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,258.936850.3%185 W · 183 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Over6c3,125$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.521314.1%30 W · 183 L+14.3wins+0.07per pick7cpaid+135.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2d46…98e9backed Over69c3,097$2,137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,136.94650%3 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-26.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x00a0…bf76backed Over41c2,940$1,205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,205.47823.1%18 W · 60 L-6.5wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-27.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6b09…2c43backed Over24c2,281$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$546.295050%25 W · 25 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+15.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under27c2,185$598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,586.541,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc482…b505backed Under54c1,841$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$842.474967.3%33 W · 16 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+5.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1cc7…43e5backed Over20c1,820$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.8413830.4%42 W · 96 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…d4bfbacked Over64c1,562$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.674266.7%28 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7333…ca16backed Over1c1,300$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19250%0 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe02…dababacked Under42c1,184$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$683.722441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over32c1,127$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.951,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked Over2c1,000$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16100%0 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2dc…b624backed Over32c999.99$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3201526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under46c970.17$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.7376048.7%370 W · 390 L-2.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Over2c900$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15646.3%4 W · 60 L-0.2wins0.00per pick7cpaid+14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under31c874$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603.0610558.1%61 W · 44 L+7.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc02a…b43fbacked Over72c832.96$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.731553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid+8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fef…5946backed Over75c800$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6002744.4%12 W · 15 L-4.1wins-0.15per pick60cpaid-31.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf439…bf9cbacked Over44c800$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3522646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8bc2…4c80backed Over63c754.74$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4752661.5%16 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under39c741.64$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453.934,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa396…0019backed Over22c721.61$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1601533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick28cpaid+14.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Under35c694.73$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.1124653.3%131 W · 115 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1462…ef6bbacked Over74c673.78$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001181.8%9 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick73cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3790…5e8bbacked Over69c600.13$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.094623.9%11 W · 35 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick21cpaid+53.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbaca…49e6backed Over58c560.79$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.757350.7%37 W · 36 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12f1…3cd3backed Over60c500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3007250%36 W · 36 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5886…fe3bbacked Over5c500$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25180%0 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x458c…ee3ebacked Over76c460.53$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3501877.8%14 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick74cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under26c459.93$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.063,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x07ea…f3a4backed Over74c442.16$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.28330.1%25 W · 58 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick31cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over43c426.52$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.1711221.4%24 W · 88 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-18.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2605…2b17backed Over73c410.96$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003974.4%29 W · 10 L+3.6wins+0.09per pick65cpaid+18.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc3bf…762dbacked Over39c399.99$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1543056.7%17 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x57a4…f0c0backed Over52c384.62$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004852.1%25 W · 23 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under37c378.21$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.421953.4%117 W · 102 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdee3…bca7backed Over41c365.85$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab8b…87acbacked Under32c350$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2382441.7%10 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+39.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over68c350$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2383,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over12c341.31$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.9819026.3%50 W · 140 L-10.1wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-32.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under27c338.05$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.971,68854.4%918 W · 770 L+31.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over22c329.72$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.171,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x08f0…2000backed Over41c325.73$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.552045%9 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-22.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under31c322.11$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.617158.5%100 W · 71 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+18.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under61c306.51$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.9323751.1%121 W · 116 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b6e…d361backed Over59c299.98$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.992425%6 W · 18 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-58.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over39c287.5$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.350450.2%253 W · 251 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd243…56e5backed Over34c280$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.21926.3%5 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9cb…bdcdbacked Under73c273.97$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.97650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-31.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under31c254.61$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.822,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3de5…00ccbacked Under62c251.61$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.61333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-46.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over41c246.34$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10110740.2%43 W · 64 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3d3…bb0abacked Over41c243.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-21.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9817…28bcbacked Over41c236.44$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.943748.6%18 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Under31c232.16$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.4614948.3%72 W · 77 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec15…665fbacked Over21c230.94$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.172152.4%11 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+16.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5c8f…d581backed Over21c228$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.1718926.5%50 W · 139 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick23cpaid-9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa72e…3db9backed Over48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-46.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3dde…2c06backed Over29c206.9$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605042%21 W · 29 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over73c205.48$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15012254.1%66 W · 56 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under63c201.5$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.3286455.3%478 W · 386 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Over20c200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4026047.3%123 W · 137 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec0e…feedbacked Over51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001457.1%8 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7299…31f3backed Over41c195.12$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805935.6%21 W · 38 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaab1…9678backed Over26c188.93$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506070%42 W · 18 L0.0wins0.00per pick70cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over61c180.71$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1115139.2%20 W · 31 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-20.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xac27…18e7backed Over74c180.05$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.126973.9%51 W · 18 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick71cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008734.5%30 W · 57 L-8.6wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-32%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xe105…1b21backed Over35c171.43$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.22per pick35cpaid-71.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc0eb…6d57backed Over62c170$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.44862.5%30 W · 18 L+4.7wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+45.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Over62c167.2$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.6622551.6%116 W · 109 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-3.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0aba…1910backed Over73c164.38$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12010667.9%72 W · 34 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick69cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a02…a48dbacked Over71c163.85$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.18633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-41.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b11…6f75backed Over74c162.16$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1205777.2%44 W · 13 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick71cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ab7…0409backed Under31c160.8$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.953315.2%5 W · 28 L-4.9wins-0.15per pick30cpaid-55.1%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under27c155.99$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.872,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3aed…6e05backed Over65c153.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x077f…ca20backed Over33c150.18$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-53.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ee6…1678backed Over48c150$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.5666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+26%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x49ec…ac1cbacked Over65c147$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.553836.8%14 W · 24 L-3.7wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-41.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3d12…cc43backed Over45c145.57$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.797634.2%26 W · 50 L-7.0wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-24.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x01ee…6ab0backed Over61c139.34$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8512763.8%81 W · 46 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb6c5…20d0backed Under30c122.77$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.457857.7%45 W · 33 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa359…4387backed Over41c121.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-41.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5cd9…51d0backed Over42c119.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011027.3%30 W · 80 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x700a…58a5backed Over11c112$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.764623.9%11 W · 35 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefc8…4676backed Over63c111.11$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701560%9 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b90…cd54backed Over73c109.58$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801181.8%9 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick73cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Over17c105.84$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.155451.9%28 W · 26 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-9.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8138…f52cbacked Over48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7baf…99a7backed Over10c101.01$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101414.3%2 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick22cpaid-60.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1edf…2392backed Over51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-39%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over72c100$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7215945.3%72 W · 87 L-0.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.