Fifa International · resolved market
Scotland vs. Japan: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6a858e2020cbfdf39edce32718bd720d8b569f07c9990f848869acdcf56fe8e0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $149,097
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $145,712
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $149,097 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 195 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9ba8…cdb3backed Under | 53c | 94,050$50,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,936.11 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +37%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 45c | 19,144$8,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,593.44 | 368 | 50.3%185 W · 183 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 47c | 13,707$6,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,442.29 | 105 | 58.1%61 W · 44 L | +7.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f09…9312backed Over | 41c | 5,873$2,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,407.48 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Over | 35c | 5,640$1,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,973.99 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +119.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 46c | 5,400$2,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,472 | 214 | 44.9%96 W · 118 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea00…c1f1backed Over | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,880 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46cf…42eabacked Over | 43c | 3,504$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 46c | 3,214$1,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,494.4 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Over | 47c | 2,062$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Over | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 47c | 1,891$889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888.85 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 42c | 1,702$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.64 | 864 | 55.3%478 W · 386 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over | 38c | 1,637$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.9 | 190 | 26.3%50 W · 140 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0632…d1b7backed Over | 32c | 1,406$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 43c | 1,385$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc7…43e5backed Over | 10c | 1,332$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.76 | 138 | 30.4%42 W · 96 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over | 47c | 1,200$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564 | 423 | 52%220 W · 203 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a39…a189backed Over | 47c | 1,200$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe500…4b37backed Over | 42c | 1,189$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.56 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 47c | 1,111$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.17 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd243…56e5backed Over | 16c | 999.99$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed Over | 47c | 901.36$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.64 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 45c | 900$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 151 | 41.7%63 W · 88 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Over | 46c | 878.11$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.36 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 44c | 814.6$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.98 | 407 | 36.6%149 W · 258 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 39c | 796.01$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.25 | 508 | 50%254 W · 254 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 68c | 782.29$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.22 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Over | 46c | 700$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322 | 219 | 57.5%126 W · 93 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd162…72aabacked Over | 38c | 655.68$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Over | 47c | 600$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Over | 31c | 550.59$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.48 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb63…f6a4backed Over | 47c | 543.63$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.33 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Over | 47c | 531.49$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.99 | 246 | 53.3%131 W · 115 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Over | 47c | 531.49$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.99 | 237 | 49.8%118 W · 119 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 47c | 522.48$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.89 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dde…2c06backed Over | 33c | 469.8$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.03 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 46c | 456.9$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.89 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over | 47c | 427.05$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f21…3d6ebacked Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 302 | 20.2%61 W · 241 L | -15.6wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc39…1564backed Over | 47c | 400$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over | 47c | 400$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Over | 47c | 400$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab8b…87acbacked Over | 35c | 400$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 47c | 372$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.84 | 597 | 52.1%311 W · 286 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 16c | 368.75$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 308 | 36%111 W · 197 L | -17.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed Over | 47c | 350$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.5 | 264 | 54.5%144 W · 120 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 26c | 325.13$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 112 | 21.4%24 W · 88 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 31c | 323.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 87 | 34.5%30 W · 57 L | -8.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -32%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed Over | 47c | 319.15$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9cb…bdcdbacked Over | 51c | 312.61$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.93 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fb…ec4fbacked Over | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 87 | 26.4%23 W · 64 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 29c | 275.76$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.08 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…d361backed Over | 28c | 249.97$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.99 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 64c | 238.53$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.36 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed Over | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 237 | 36.3%86 W · 151 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 48c | 236.7$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.62 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 43c | 233$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.19 | 107 | 40.2%43 W · 64 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 15c | 223.03$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.56 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ccc…dbcdbacked Over | 7c | 221.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 75 | 32%24 W · 51 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…f15cbacked Over | 47c | 212.43$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.84 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over | 47c | 212.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 171 | 58.5%100 W · 71 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Over | 46c | 201.38$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.58 | 101 | 53.5%54 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Over | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 464 | 53.2%247 W · 217 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9691…c6e7backed Over | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.1 | 363 | 29.8%108 W · 255 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 397 | 49.9%198 W · 199 L | -16.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x247f…a926backed Under | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over | 47c | 160$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.2 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Over | 47c | 159.83$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.12 | 167 | 58.7%98 W · 69 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24de…da7fbacked Over | 48c | 154.67$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 53c | 150$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x3248…8ba9backed Over | 33c | 148.48$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6394…9749backed Over | 32c | 146.88$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 46c | 142$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.84 | 465 | 36.1%168 W · 297 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Over | 47c | 140$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.8 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Over | 47c | 140$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.8 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Over | 47c | 120$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.4 | 202 | 45.5%92 W · 110 L | -13.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb7…a3f7backed Over | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Over | 47c | 112$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.64 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Over | 47c | 110.94$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.14 | 110 | 60%66 W · 44 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Over | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Under | 55c | 108.47$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.06 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…5403backed Over | 47c | 106.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.09 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab7…0409backed Over | 45c | 106.06$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.73 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | -4.9wins | -0.15per pick | 30cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 159 | 45.3%72 W · 87 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…13dbbacked Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 459 | 49.5%227 W · 232 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 504 | 50.2%253 W · 251 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Over | 11c | 99.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 53c | 99.99$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.49 | 200 | 50%100 W · 100 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 53c | 99.99$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.1 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b0b…94d1backed Over | 47c | 98.46$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.28 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked Over | 47c | 96$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.12 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Over | 47c | 96$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.12 | 109 | 44%48 W · 61 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 47c | 96$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.12 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Over | 15c | 94.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.17 | 83 | 38.6%32 W · 51 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Scotland vs. Japan: O/U 2.5this page
- Scotland vs. Japan: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Scotland vs. Japan: O/U 1.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Japan: O/U 3.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Japan: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Japan (-1.5)Scotland won
- Spread: Scotland (-1.5)Japan won
- Spread: Scotland (-2.5)Japan won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.