TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Scotland vs. Japan: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$149,097
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$145,712

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $149,097 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 195 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9ba8…cdb3backed Under53c94,050$50,114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43,936.115655.4%31 W · 25 L+5.2wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+37%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over45c19,144$8,593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,593.4436850.3%185 W · 183 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over47c13,707$6,442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,442.2910558.1%61 W · 44 L+7.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f09…9312backed Over41c5,873$2,407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,407.48955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x683a…274ebacked Over35c5,640$1,974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,973.994427.3%12 W · 32 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid+119.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over46c5,400$2,472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,47221444.9%96 W · 118 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed Over47c4,000$1,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8802454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46cf…42eabacked Over43c3,504$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5003855.3%21 W · 17 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+23.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over46c3,214$1,494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,494.41,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Over47c2,062$969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9695242.3%22 W · 30 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Over47c2,000$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9407045.7%32 W · 38 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over47c1,891$889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$888.8576048.7%370 W · 390 L-2.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over42c1,702$716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$715.6486455.3%478 W · 386 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over38c1,637$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$619.919026.3%50 W · 140 L-10.1wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-32.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0632…d1b7backed Over32c1,406$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4502450%12 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49ca…5944backed Over43c1,385$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6007954.4%43 W · 36 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cc7…43e5backed Over10c1,332$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.7613830.4%42 W · 96 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over47c1,200$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56442352%220 W · 203 L-1.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a39…a189backed Over47c1,200$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5642454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe500…4b37backed Over42c1,189$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.562250%11 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Over47c1,111$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.171145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd243…56e5backed Over16c999.99$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1601926.3%5 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed Over47c901.36$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.6418850%94 W · 94 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Over45c900$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40515141.7%63 W · 88 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+31.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Over46c878.11$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.3614948.3%72 W · 77 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over44c814.6$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.9840736.6%149 W · 258 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over39c796.01$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.2550850%254 W · 254 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under68c782.29$531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.223,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Over46c700$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32221957.5%126 W · 93 L+14.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+15.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd162…72aabacked Over38c655.68$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501450%7 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-24.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Over47c600$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2822352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Over31c550.59$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.484528.9%13 W · 32 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb63…f6a4backed Over47c543.63$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.335334%18 W · 35 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-31.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Over47c531.49$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.9924653.3%131 W · 115 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Over47c531.49$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.9923749.8%118 W · 119 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over47c522.48$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.891,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over47c500$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2353,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dde…2c06backed Over33c469.8$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.035042%21 W · 29 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over46c456.9$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.892,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over47c427.05$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20112254.1%66 W · 56 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f21…3d6ebacked Over50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20030220.2%61 W · 241 L-15.6wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcc39…1564backed Over47c400$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1882254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over47c400$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18811646.6%54 W · 62 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Over47c400$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1886051.7%31 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab8b…87acbacked Over35c400$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1402441.7%10 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+39.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over47c372$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.8459752.1%311 W · 286 L-2.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over16c368.75$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5930836%111 W · 197 L-17.3wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-20.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed Over47c350$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.526454.5%144 W · 120 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over26c325.13$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8511221.4%24 W · 88 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-18.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over31c323.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008734.5%30 W · 57 L-8.6wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-32%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xbd38…99d4backed Over47c319.15$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1506762.7%42 W · 25 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9cb…bdcdbacked Over51c312.61$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.93650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-31.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0fb…ec4fbacked Over48c300$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1448726.4%23 W · 64 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-29.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over29c275.76$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.081,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b6e…d361backed Over28c249.97$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.992425%6 W · 18 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-58.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under64c238.53$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.364,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe283…7190backed Over42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10023736.3%86 W · 151 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over48c236.7$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.622,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over43c233$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.1910740.2%43 W · 64 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over15c223.03$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.564,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ccc…dbcdbacked Over7c221.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.437532%24 W · 51 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe44c…f15cbacked Over47c212.43$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.843652.8%19 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over47c212.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9917158.5%100 W · 71 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+18.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Over46c201.38$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.5810153.5%54 W · 47 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Over47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9446453.2%247 W · 217 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9691…c6e7backed Over16c200$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324035%14 W · 26 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick27cpaid+22.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over42c200$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.136329.8%108 W · 255 L-17.4wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9439749.9%198 W · 199 L-16.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x247f…a926backed Under58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.411050%5 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+33.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over47c160$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.211748.7%57 W · 60 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked Over47c159.83$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.1216758.7%98 W · 69 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24de…da7fbacked Over48c154.67$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under53c150$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.52,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x3248…8ba9backed Over33c148.48$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6394…9749backed Over32c146.88$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+18.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Over46c142$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.8446536.1%168 W · 297 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Over47c140$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.812350.4%62 W · 61 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Over47c140$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.813050.8%66 W · 64 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Over47c120$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.420245.5%92 W · 110 L-13.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-14.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6bb7…a3f7backed Over42c119.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Over47c112$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.6410442.3%44 W · 60 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Over47c110.94$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.1411060%66 W · 44 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Over46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-47.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb6c5…20d0backed Under55c108.47$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.067857.7%45 W · 33 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e9f…5403backed Over47c106.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.092548%12 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-19.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ab7…0409backed Over45c106.06$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.733315.2%5 W · 28 L-4.9wins-0.15per pick30cpaid-55.1%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Over47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477945.6%36 W · 43 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4715945.3%72 W · 87 L-0.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23cc…13dbbacked Over48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4830%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4745949.5%227 W · 232 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Over47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478055%44 W · 36 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4250450.2%253 W · 251 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3bcf…402abacked Over11c99.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1150%0 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under53c99.99$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.4920050%100 W · 100 L+0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under53c99.99$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.11,68854.4%918 W · 770 L+31.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b0b…94d1backed Over47c98.46$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.281758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+20.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Over47c96$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.125754.4%31 W · 26 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Over47c96$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.1210944%48 W · 61 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over47c96$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.1235848.3%173 W · 185 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9154…8f2dbacked Over15c94.48$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.178338.6%32 W · 51 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.