NBA · resolved market
Cavaliers vs. Lakers: O/U 236.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x76b0957bb600ec30a3bf83578d4aa836e7c203f292b5e2abc6c7bf42e3acaa02
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $477,611
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $493,179
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $477,611 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 303 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Under | 52c | 163,919$85,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85,555.07 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Over | 50c | 82,851$41,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,782.32 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Over | 48c | 78,598$37,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,870.7 | 246 | 50%123 W · 123 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 50c | 72,818$36,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,389.15 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 47c | 33,258$15,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,559.12 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed Under | 53c | 26,486$14,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,037.71 | 197 | 54.3%107 W · 90 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3d…3165backed Over | 47c | 22,705$10,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,016.57 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -6.7wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 53c | 20,118$10,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,434.45 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Under | 52c | 17,424$9,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,060.34 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99e0…5052backed Over | 47c | 15,000$7,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,950 | 88 | 39.8%35 W · 53 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 52c | 13,153$6,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,899.04 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Over | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed Over | 47c | 9,893$4,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,243.12 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33a3…b7f7backed Over | 49c | 9,642$4,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,961.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1196…fe97backed Over | 50c | 8,834$4,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,416.9 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4108…9e22backed Over | 48c | 8,416$4,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,346.06 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 50c | 8,092$4,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,046.19 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Over | 47c | 6,000$2,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,180 | 433 | 48.5%210 W · 223 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Under | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,699.94 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 62c | 4,543$2,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,722.94 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Under | 54c | 3,981$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,159.74 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Under | 26c | 3,878$1,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020.86 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 51c | 3,410$1,753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,753.36 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 46c | 2,850$1,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,533.1 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…4856backed Over | 50c | 2,777$1,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,396.53 | 241 | 51%123 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6557…0999backed Over | 48c | 2,743$1,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,426.19 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 52c | 2,164$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125.28 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed Under | 54c | 2,065$1,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,115.11 | 229 | 48.5%111 W · 118 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Over | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,059.97 | 256 | 41.4%106 W · 150 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Over | 51c | 1,903$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932.54 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Over | 47c | 1,867$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980.51 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Under | 53c | 1,858$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.88 | 870 | 49.3%429 W · 441 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 42c | 1,674$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.19 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 47c | 1,653$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$882.05 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde79…2a1bbacked Over | 50c | 1,554$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.25 | 173 | 49.7%86 W · 87 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Under | 1c | 1,500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 123 | 6.5%8 W · 115 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -89.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7333…ca16backed Under | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 55 | 1.8%1 W · 54 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Over | 51c | 1,403$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.62 | 176 | 37.5%66 W · 110 L | -16.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 62c | 1,385$859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.45 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd9…bfe8backed Under | 54c | 1,200$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642 | 657 | 62.3%409 W · 248 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87ff…6632backed Over | 47c | 1,170$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.87 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbd…b8d3backed Over | 50c | 1,168$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.8 | 672 | 48.8%328 W · 344 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0d…7435backed Over | 48c | 1,084$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.46 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d9…c125backed Over | 49c | 989.18$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.48 | 202 | 47.5%96 W · 106 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 47c | 988.51$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.53 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce0…f955backed Under | 51c | 979.29$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.44 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa36b…242dbacked Over | 50c | 970$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Over | 46c | 967.6$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.5 | 165 | 50.9%84 W · 81 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked Over | 40c | 964$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.4 | 377 | 55.2%208 W · 169 L | +23.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e7d…eaa6backed Over | 45c | 962.99$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.65 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 47c | 941.32$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.59 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Over | 51c | 913.51$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.62 | 288 | 38.2%110 W · 178 L | -17.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0daa…c9dabacked Under | 55c | 882.78$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.53 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…45ffbacked Over | 49c | 827.16$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.85 | 238 | 50%119 W · 119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cb…4088backed Under | 48c | 807.33$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.52 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Over | 49c | 792.46$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.71 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…8cb5backed Under | 39c | 741.08$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.02 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Under | 8c | 705.91$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.65 | 207 | 41.1%85 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Over | 46c | 699.57$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.77 | 140 | 49.3%69 W · 71 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Over | 49c | 643.94$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.23 | 389 | 47.6%185 W · 204 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb307…be4abacked Over | 49c | 599.95$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.98 | 188 | 42.6%80 W · 108 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x927a…f706backed Over | 50c | 582$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291 | 241 | 39%94 W · 147 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18c6…a4dbbacked Over | 48c | 550.11$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.8 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 53c | 546.17$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.47 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993b…ecfbbacked Over | 45c | 527.65$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.25 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked Over | 44c | 499.99$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 442 | 52.3%231 W · 211 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 47c | 492$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.74 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34a9…656dbacked Under | 51c | 485.3$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.5 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -7.6wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Under | 50c | 485$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.5 | 331 | 50.8%168 W · 163 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Under | 55c | 480.31$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.17 | 920 | 58%534 W · 386 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…a556backed Over | 52c | 473.57$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.31 | 229 | 53.7%123 W · 106 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab2…8fdabacked Over | 45c | 455$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.25 | 197 | 45.2%89 W · 108 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 52c | 450$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 51c | 442.83$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.36 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 40c | 405.46$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.2 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…e032backed Over | 48c | 403.67$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.91 | 190 | 45.8%87 W · 103 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b54…dc2bbacked Under | 48c | 403.66$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.76 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 36cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Over | 52c | 399.96$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.98 | 324 | 50.3%163 W · 161 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 52c | 399.54$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.76 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked Over | 47c | 393.5$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.49 | 288 | 52.1%150 W · 138 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb1…8436backed Over | 59c | 391.29$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.8 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +4.7wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcd8c…f75abacked Under | 55c | 353.82$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.6 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c50…2de6backed Over | 49c | 351.89$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.47 | 168 | 45.2%76 W · 92 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb996…038cbacked Over | 49c | 344.14$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.51 | 131 | 48.9%64 W · 67 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb74f…030abacked Over | 47c | 343.71$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.17 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb98d…c479backed Over | 59c | 336.26$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.71 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 45c | 334.25$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.03 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 47c | 330.48$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.15 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef86…5afcbacked Over | 46c | 323.18$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.52 | 133 | 52.6%70 W · 63 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed Over | 46c | 319.31$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.43 | 238 | 50.4%120 W · 118 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 43c | 314.45$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.21 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60c…d2e2backed Over | 47c | 309.82$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.21 | 141 | 45.4%64 W · 77 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee62…bc6abacked Under | 40c | 300$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 267 | 45.3%121 W · 146 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1e…63bbbacked Over | 48c | 290.64$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.13 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf463…4cc1backed Over | 46c | 290.3$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.52 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa900…5acebacked Over | 65c | 288.74$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.7 | 115 | 38.3%44 W · 71 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc699…7961backed Under | 15c | 284.91$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.13 | 208 | 43.8%91 W · 117 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Over | 48c | 277.31$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.2 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 29c | 276.37$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.17 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cavaliers vs. Lakers: O/U 236.5this page
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-0.5)Lakers won
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-1.5)Lakers won
- Cavaliers vs. LakersLakers won
- Cavaliers vs. Lakers: 1H MoneylineLakers won
- Cavaliers vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 113.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Lakers: O/U 234.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Lakers: O/U 235.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Lakers: O/U 237.5Over won
- Deandre Ayton: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 24.5No won
- Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- James Harden: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- James Harden: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Jarrett Allen: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Jarrett Allen: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- LeBron James: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- LeBron James: Points O/U 18.5No won
- LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Luka Dončić: Points O/U 31.5Yes won
- Spread: Lakers (-1.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Lakers (-2.5)Lakers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.