TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Cavaliers vs. Lakers: O/U 235.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$200,314
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$212,888

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $200,314 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 151 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa8e0…ad50backed Under50c33,132$16,566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,565.9643148.7%210 W · 221 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Under52c22,308$11,577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,577.1220744.9%93 W · 114 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under36c10,209$3,723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,722.572,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over50c10,203$5,081 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,122.442,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6557…0999backed Over51c8,385$4,251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,133.8413946.8%65 W · 74 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under37c7,698$2,858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,858.062,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over78c7,288$5,684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,604.028,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x410d…d831backed Over50c6,297$3,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,148.6211335.4%40 W · 73 L-8.0wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1d30…3795backed Over48c5,329$2,578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,751.12366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+29.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc05b…3fa7backed Over48c5,248$2,519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,728.79250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under15c5,144$772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$771.611,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55d1…4c30backed Over48c4,642$2,228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,413.93742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under51c4,346$2,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,209.82,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1a2…14b8backed Over49c4,201$2,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,142.4610949.5%54 W · 55 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over50c4,122$2,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,069.86,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x001a…1fb9backed Over51c3,840$1,951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,889.3231643.4%137 W · 179 L-18.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over49c3,679$1,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,859.012,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under50c3,500$1,762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7621,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Under52c3,324$1,726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,725.7414556.6%82 W · 63 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74b6…9823backed Over50c3,104$1,552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5522065%13 W · 7 L+3.2wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+31.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xaf29…834cbacked Over49c2,984$1,462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,521.8412646%58 W · 68 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f79…1608backed Over50c2,910$1,455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4557447.3%35 W · 39 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-13%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over48c2,872$1,390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,481.684,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4108…9e22backed Over51c2,786$1,413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,372.815036%18 W · 32 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Under51c2,692$1,373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,372.7787750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe558…dcd2backed Under16c2,622$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.69349.5%46 W · 47 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+22.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x91f7…4767backed Over48c2,564$1,231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,333.4210651.9%55 W · 51 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b78…9992backed Over51c2,548$1,295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,252.920051.5%103 W · 97 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x61e8…b283backed Under49c2,160$1,058 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,058.414940.9%61 W · 88 L-11.6wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-16.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under51c2,082$1,064 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,064.124,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8873…da6dbacked Over49c1,992$976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,016.06450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9d0…0a05backed Over48c1,983$952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,031.12616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.35per pick51cpaid-65.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under24c1,941$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.8952230.3%158 W · 364 L+20.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc5ac…2a18backed Over50c1,709$854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$854.4617850%89 W · 89 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under48c1,467$706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$706.332,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5bb…495cbacked Under50c1,300$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6501741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde79…2a1bbacked Over48c1,279$614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$665.1617349.7%86 W · 87 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3242…0e0bbacked Over50c1,135$567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$567.4521247.2%100 W · 112 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Under52c1,043$542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542.3450754.2%275 W · 232 L+13.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e7d…eaa6backed Over48c982.93$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.122356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under50c937$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.556843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b54…dc2bbacked Under21c926.31$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.21714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick36cpaid-73.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x78bb…591fbacked Over49c870.7$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.2830446.7%142 W · 162 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x12b9…6312backed Over50c863.57$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.797236.1%26 W · 46 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-26.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd239…2083backed Under51c815.91$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.1215543.2%67 W · 88 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under51c791$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.411,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef85…43e6backed Over50c636.13$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.061172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.25per pick48cpaid+45.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Over50c582$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29121950.2%110 W · 109 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under47c546.4$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.81,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Over53c506.25$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.9447651.7%246 W · 230 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31c1…7047backed Over60c495.94$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.384264.3%27 W · 15 L+4.4wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+18.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Over51c483.09$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.3487049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Over51c483.05$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.720741.1%85 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69ca…9ef8backed Over63c477.66$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.3528554.7%156 W · 129 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+0.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Over50c469.99$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.9538947.6%185 W · 204 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2123…8d70backed Over50c460.58$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.2917551.4%90 W · 85 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99be…3622backed Under16c446.31$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.418646.5%40 W · 46 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Under49c410.06$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.9368645.5%312 W · 374 L-22.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x443d…017fbacked Over51c397.83$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.9423550.2%118 W · 117 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Under48c393.88$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19184150.3%423 W · 418 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9348…8cfbbacked Under51c392$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9214243%61 W · 81 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfbaa…c8ffbacked Over51c388.24$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.2421653.7%116 W · 100 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Under51c380.63$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.1270246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Under27c368.3$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.341,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Under48c364.62$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.0224650%123 W · 123 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a97…72ebbacked Under26c355.75$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.135048%24 W · 26 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb70d…5925backed Under50c334.15$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.8517643.2%76 W · 100 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Under47c313.21$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.2157950.1%290 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e80…9cebbacked Over52c311.75$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.648248.8%40 W · 42 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+23.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5316…1d07backed Under50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15019435.1%68 W · 126 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Under49c300$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14715543.9%68 W · 87 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4efc…6391backed Over74c300$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785853.4%31 W · 27 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf90…8e17backed Under49c290.49$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.3247436.7%174 W · 300 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under12c271.49$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.8651647.5%245 W · 271 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Over50c265.67$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.9358450.2%293 W · 291 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Under14c260.94$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.4344551.2%228 W · 217 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe9c…1700backed Under9c256.27$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6313346.6%62 W · 71 L+0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over48c247.25$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.575,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Under11c242.66$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.4741449.3%204 W · 210 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Under11c242.66$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.4753348.4%258 W · 275 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b8f…f31bbacked Under11c242.66$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.4714640.4%59 W · 87 L-9.5wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-20.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf421…2e3abacked Under11c242.66$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.477248.6%35 W · 37 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b8c…31c3backed Under11c242.66$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.4713541.5%56 W · 79 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Under14c232.83$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.6156447.9%270 W · 294 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x810d…6080backed Under11c223.87$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6516046.3%74 W · 86 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1030…dd7abacked Under11c214.55$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.413349.6%66 W · 67 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd790…a24ebacked Over53c211.56$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.436963.8%44 W · 25 L+9.5wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+30%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1489…9924backed Over49c201.64$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.8319348.2%93 W · 100 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30fb…4856backed Over51c200.91$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.4524151%123 W · 118 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2630…e941backed Over54c197.99$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.0842845.1%193 W · 235 L-15.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x85a7…d9f3backed Over50c194$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9713345.9%61 W · 72 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc0b…4db0backed Over51c190.31$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.2518459.2%109 W · 75 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Under10c185.72$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5757051.9%296 W · 274 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under48c152.44$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.483,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under50c142.62$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.311,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Under51c141.08$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.9549249.8%245 W · 247 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae02…7ed0backed Under10c140.95$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.14360.5%26 W · 17 L+5.8wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+15%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Over50c139.68$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.8482440.4%333 W · 491 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed Over62c139.5$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.0118844.7%84 W · 104 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d87…4e0dbacked Under49c125.05$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.2834247.7%163 W · 179 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.