TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 5.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$6,456
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$6,428

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,456 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x73e8…cd6fbacked No58c2,651$1,534 inWon+$1,117.1339265.1%255 W · 137 L+31.0wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes44c2,541$1,118 inLost-$1,118.322036.8%81 W · 139 L+0.9wins0.00per pick36cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf841…b2ebbacked No49c1,142$557 inWon+$585.3614049.3%69 W · 71 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e85…788bbacked No53c671.45$353 inWon+$318.4315651.9%81 W · 75 L+14.8wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+22.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9ef5…8898backed Yes44c540.75$240 inLost-$239.583852.6%20 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7efd…caedbacked No48c295.65$142 inWon+$153.239975.8%75 W · 24 L+16.3wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+28%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xe86d…ada3backed No59c251.85$149 inWon+$102.7615362.1%95 W · 58 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick61cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc58c…8b7fbacked Yes49c197.84$97 inLost-$96.944738.3%18 W · 29 L-4.2wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-23.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Yes43c185.85$80 inLost-$79.63,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked No47c151$71 inWon+$80.0320741.1%85 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No49c145$71 inWon+$73.854,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fa1…b959backed Yes46c104.37$48 inLost-$48.392751.9%14 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed No48c102.54$49 inWon+$53.321,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x79b4…c59fbacked No55c43.61$24 inWon+$19.487569.3%52 W · 23 L+8.4wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+17.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6477…4243backed Yes59c41.3$24 inLost-$24.393033.3%10 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x556c…93cebacked Yes52c38.85$20 inLost-$20.224949%122 W · 127 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7200…9299backed Yes49c37.81$19 inLost-$18.5336954.7%202 W · 167 L+28.0wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+18.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfb9d…a4cdbacked Yes49c33.45$16 inLost-$16.3920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked No48c30$14 inWon+$15.660049.8%299 W · 301 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe14a…7bafbacked Yes55c28.13$15 inLost-$15.4710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x741b…4a79backed Yes56c26.77$15 inLost-$14.991040%4 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-31.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4066…e3c3backed Yes48c24.41$12 inLost-$11.629031.1%28 W · 62 L-8.7wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-21.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x8390…3773backed Yes50c24.05$12 inLost-$12.024553.3%24 W · 21 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2654…b45fbacked No54c21.69$12 inWon+$9.9616867.3%113 W · 55 L+13.8wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+9.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2e3d…b56cbacked Yes49c20.48$10 inLost-$10.0337344.2%165 W · 208 L-19.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-8.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.