NBA · resolved market

Cavaliers vs. Lakers: O/U 234.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x94d11a890ae3abb4ef3ef3f82b3df320f04e7a9b7bdc0c346a8bbf49ec788633

Rebuilt 24 minutes ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Apr 1, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $44,456
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $49,944

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,456 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x6ade…f5b0backed Over	51c	17,996$9,184 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,811.43	1,556	52.8%822 W · 734 L	+40.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under	49c	10,444$5,113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,113.39	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xca40…83f6backed Under	47c	4,000$1,880 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,879.99	129	45.7%59 W · 70 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under	49c	3,494$1,711 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,710.61	2,346	48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L	-14.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Under	49c	2,424$1,188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,187.52	461	45.6%210 W · 251 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5ac…2a18backed Over	53c	2,225$1,179 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,045.78	178	50%89 W · 89 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under	48c	1,988$953 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$952.65	2,507	48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L	+19.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7879…3653backed Over	52c	1,862$971 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$890.69	159	52.8%84 W · 75 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7333…ca16backed Under	1c	1,500$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	55	1.8%1 W · 54 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	1cpaid	+81.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7ca5…73bcbacked Over	53c	1,280$678 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$601.53	404	51.5%208 W · 196 L	-7.4wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Under	26c	1,250$324 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$323.7	207	41.1%85 W · 122 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under	49c	958.74$470 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$469.78	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Over	52c	933.85$486 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$448.25	604	44.2%267 W · 337 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…30d5backed Over	52c	920.52$483 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$437.26	40	67.5%27 W · 13 L	+3.9wins	+0.10per pick	58cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over	51c	900$459 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$441	1,901	48.7%925 W · 976 L	+6.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under	48c	749.46$360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$359.74	1,282	43.4%557 W · 725 L	-51.2wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under	49c	748.21$364 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$364.25	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed Under	44c	736.31$324 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$323.98	286	43%123 W · 163 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under	46c	625.47$288 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$287.94	1,399	46.4%649 W · 750 L	-13.5wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Under	48c	624.98$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$299.99	813	49.4%402 W · 411 L	+5.5wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	32c	558.49$176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$176.35	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Under	25c	512.91$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.81	1,036	47.6%493 W · 543 L	+6.7wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5e4…d4b6backed Over	76c	507.58$385 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$122.27	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+0.8wins	+0.28per pick	72cpaid	+39.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0dad…4855backed Over	52c	493.23$256 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$236.75	89	51.7%46 W · 43 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87ff…6632backed Over	52c	469$244 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$225.12	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+1.2wins	+0.12per pick	48cpaid	+21.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Under	47c	393.5$183 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$183.01	155	43.9%68 W · 87 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0204…0e31backed Over	55c	352.29$195 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$157.66	289	49.1%142 W · 147 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Under	47c	349.99$164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$164.49	447	40.7%182 W · 265 L	-27.5wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under	23c	346.99$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.19	522	30.3%158 W · 364 L	+20.4wins	+0.04per pick	26cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under	48c	330.98$158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$157.63	1,277	47.2%603 W · 674 L	-3.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd8c6…9211backed Over	77c	326.51$251 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.05	148	47.3%70 W · 78 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x406d…5298backed Over	56c	261.65$146 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$115.62	12	50%6 W · 6 L	-1.2wins	-0.10per pick	60cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Under	47c	200$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93	686	45.5%312 W · 374 L	-22.9wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ca4…aa92backed Over	52c	199.99$104 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96	111	57.7%64 W · 47 L	+5.2wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfc23…8283backed Over	53c	183.36$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$86.18	295	54.6%161 W · 134 L	-4.0wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x764f…6b8abacked Over	53c	181.92$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84.72	85	40%34 W · 51 L	-16.2wins	-0.19per pick	59cpaid	-35.4%equal weight	34-0.15 edge/pick
0x1489…9924backed Under	48c	160.82$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.19	193	48.2%93 W · 100 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0c7…4459backed Over	78c	126.51$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.83	117	53.8%63 W · 54 L	-8.1wins	-0.07per pick	61cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd68e…8048backed Over	76c	112.72$86 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.05	107	64.5%69 W · 38 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	65cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x8fb4…d080backed Under	47c	112.43$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.84	162	42.6%69 W · 93 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb89b…a39dbacked Under	49c	101.79$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.88	114	53.5%61 W · 53 L	+4.2wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c13…99b7backed Under	48c	100.92$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.44	477	38.2%182 W · 295 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x051d…1992backed Under	30c	100$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	143	30.8%44 W · 99 L	+6.5wins	+0.05per pick	26cpaid	-10%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4dbe…2d13backed Over	54c	90.04$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.42	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-63%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x41e0…a8e0backed Over	53c	89.82$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.22	40	50%20 W · 20 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26e8…1c01backed Over	53c	80.99$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.07	74	51.4%38 W · 36 L	-6.8wins	-0.09per pick	61cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x28ad…9805backed Under	48c	80$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.4	229	42.8%98 W · 131 L	-9.4wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Under	44c	78.41$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.5	1,141	48%548 W · 593 L	+9.0wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a41…f2e3backed Over	52c	77.25$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.86	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Under	48c	76.77$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.85	609	45.8%279 W · 330 L	-17.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x05e0…e2cbbacked Under	49c	73.99$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.26	71	53.5%38 W · 33 L	+3.8wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x276d…ea8fbacked Over	55c	70.76$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.84	41	56.1%23 W · 18 L	-5.5wins	-0.14per pick	70cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3543…b9bcbacked Under	46c	69.41$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.93	24	50%12 W · 12 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Over	52c	64.44$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.93	1,573	53.4%840 W · 733 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1150…abe0backed Over	53c	64.18$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.16	35	60%21 W · 14 L	+1.9wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae1c…3678backed Under	49c	57.21$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.03	238	40.8%97 W · 141 L	-16.0wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0da3…1b45backed Over	52c	56.03$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.89	222	49.5%110 W · 112 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4b81…68bebacked Over	52c	55.47$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.63	26	46.2%12 W · 14 L	-1.3wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc61d…3933backed Over	53c	55.01$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.85	170	47.6%81 W · 89 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56c2…abcbbacked Over	72c	54.62$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.29	18	61.1%11 W · 7 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	64cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf962…5cb1backed Under	53c	54.19$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.74	14	64.3%9 W · 5 L	+0.7wins	+0.05per pick	59cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Over	52c	49.53$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.77	498	52.6%262 W · 236 L	+15.9wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac27…18e7backed Over	55c	48.97$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.04	415	56.9%236 W · 179 L	-7.7wins	-0.02per pick	59cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafcb…feadbacked Over	61c	48.84$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.06	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-18%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc798…a8e9backed Under	47c	47.18$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.18	248	41.9%104 W · 144 L	-9.7wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0044…cb2cbacked Under	31c	46.45$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.62	122	27%33 W · 89 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x08fb…8b8bbacked Over	53c	43.73$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.55	67	46.3%31 W · 36 L	-4.6wins	-0.07per pick	53cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe1e6…757abacked Over	68c	43.35$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.93	81	48.1%39 W · 42 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under	43c	42.95$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.31	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	53c	42.17$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.82	844	43%363 W · 481 L	-40.5wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9a31…f1c6backed Under	49c	40.52$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.86	37	21.6%8 W · 29 L	-7.2wins	-0.19per pick	41cpaid	-51.9%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0x5a33…9a46backed Over	54c	40$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.5	139	53.2%74 W · 65 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under	47c	39.27$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.33	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under	49c	36.84$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.05	1,634	48.1%786 W · 848 L	+5.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x03f5…3047backed Over	53c	36.67$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.24	126	61.1%77 W · 49 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	61cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Under	48c	35.32$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.95	554	44.4%246 W · 308 L	-11.0wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x788c…4a44backed Under	49c	33.63$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.48	75	46.7%35 W · 40 L	-2.8wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Over	45c	30.76$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.92	804	40.3%324 W · 480 L	+27.4wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d41…2e0abacked Under	38c	29.72$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.29	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	-1.3wins	-0.08per pick	64cpaid	-11%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x36aa…a683backed Under	49c	29.67$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.54	405	48.6%197 W · 208 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6fbd…b8d3backed Over	52c	28.52$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.65	672	48.8%328 W · 344 L	-10.0wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7cd…e98dbacked Over	52c	27.74$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.31	95	45.3%43 W · 52 L	-5.7wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2654…b45fbacked Over	67c	25.61$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.49	168	67.3%113 W · 55 L	+13.8wins	+0.08per pick	59cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd8ef…f7a1backed Under	48c	24.6$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.81	104	36.5%38 W · 66 L	-9.2wins	-0.09per pick	45cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd25c…fe19backed Under	49c	23.74$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.63	176	52.3%92 W · 84 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6264…7b6bbacked Over	76c	20$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.8	16	50%8 W · 8 L	-1.2wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd49…515dbacked Over	54c	19.7$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.06	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Over	53c	19.44$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.13	329	57.4%189 W · 140 L	+18.5wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Cavaliers vs. Lakers: O/U 234.5this page
1H Spread: Lakers (-0.5)Lakers won
1H Spread: Lakers (-1.5)Lakers won
Cavaliers vs. LakersLakers won
Cavaliers vs. Lakers: 1H MoneylineLakers won
Cavaliers vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 113.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Lakers: O/U 235.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Lakers: O/U 236.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Lakers: O/U 237.5Over won
Deandre Ayton: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 24.5No won
Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
James Harden: Assists O/U 7.5No won
James Harden: Points O/U 20.5No won
Jarrett Allen: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
Jarrett Allen: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
LeBron James: Assists O/U 6.5No won
LeBron James: Points O/U 18.5No won
LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
Luka Dončić: Points O/U 31.5Yes won
Spread: Lakers (-1.5)Lakers won
Spread: Lakers (-2.5)Lakers won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Cavaliers vs. Lakers: O/U 234.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

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