TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x87ff…6632

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
136
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: Middle East, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 56 out of 100; worst World Politics at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT3925.6%10 W · 29 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick17cpaid-6.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$239Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$238.65
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$303Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$247.5
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.33
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.9
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+116.1%+$18.87
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+1,495.4%+$2,671.33
US forces enter Iran by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+39.5%+$42.5
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.33
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$195
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$263Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+508.1%+$1,336.89
US x Iran ceasefire by April 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$404Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$404.23
Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+47.9%+$56.64
US strikes Yemen by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+32.2%+$11.77
US/Israel strike Yemen by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+77.4%+$193.56
S&P 500 breaks its losing streak this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$177
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$409Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$409.05
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.61
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$745Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+56.8%+$423.1
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$720Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$719.62
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$37
Will the US next strike Iran on February 23, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$29.38
Will the US next strike Iran on February 22, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$43.38
Will the US next strike Iran on February 21, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$119.98
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT170%0 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$807Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$806.93
Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.3
Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will Kevin Hassett be confirmed as Fed Chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$140.19
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.39
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$22.55
Will Trump nominate Larry Kudlow as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$140
Will Trump nominate Bill Pulte as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$12.5
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$151.26
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$263Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$262.56
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$8,281Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$8,280.97
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$2,644Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$2,643.71
All 17 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT130%0 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.98
Will a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.6
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$500.1
Will Tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$533Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$532.62
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$934Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$934.23
Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 0-3%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.76
Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 6-9%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.57
Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.79
Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 3-6%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.04
Will Fidesz-KDNP win 44-48% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.93
Will Fidesz-KDNP win 48%+ of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.28
Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 110 seats?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
All 13 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1118.2%2 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick11cpaid+23.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cristiano Ronaldo win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.6
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$157
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$1,999Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,998.77
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$1,060Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,060.3
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$266Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$266
Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$105.59
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$108
Spread: Mexico (-1.5)backed Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$267.11
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$599.96
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$768Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$767.53
All 11 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+21.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pelicans vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$680
Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 20.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$172.66
Timberwolves vs. 76ersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$293Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$292.5
Spurs vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$378Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$378
Spread: Knicks (-14.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$98
Celtics vs. Heatbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$180
Hawks vs. Magicbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$252Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$198
Cavaliers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,368Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+64.4%+$881.5
Cavaliers vs. Lakers: O/U 234.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$225.12
Cavaliers vs. Lakers: O/U 236.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$619.87
All 10 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Wildcard (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked Wildcard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.18
Counter-Strike: NRG vs Voca (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked Voca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$279Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$279
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked Inner Circle Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Heroic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$424Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+229.9%+$975.54
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs NIP (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Playoffsbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$637Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$663
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs NIP (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Playoffsbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.7
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Monte (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffsbacked Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$143.41
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs 9INE (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Playoffsbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$29.75
Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs Alliance (+1.5)backed Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$301Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$301.48
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+119.4%+$256.3
All 10 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-50.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.39per pick11cpaid+232.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+14.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Kraken (-1.5)backed Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,662Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,661.6
Flames vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$96
Capitals vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$306Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$294
All 3 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-40.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$240
Spread: Auburn Tigers (-6.5)backed Auburn Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+77.2%+$147.03
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Houston Cougarsbacked Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,454Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,453.5
All 3 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+94.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Pcific Esports vs GIANTX (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omegabacked Pcific Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$448Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+288.9%+$1,293.26
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+22%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
San Diego Padres vs. Boston Red Soxbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$120.95
Miami Marlins vs. New York Yankeesbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$470Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$470.25
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tiger Woods play in the 2026 Masters Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.52
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump out as President by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$176.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$254Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$254.19
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$187.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Inter Miami CF (-1.5)backed Inter Miami CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$304Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$304
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$630Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$630
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$438Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$438.26
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.