World Politics · resolved market
Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfae2e410e5781457b636e1c49d64cc0e1de6ec36689f723df6667743452fef02
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $793,502
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $724,673
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $793,502 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 212 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes | 0c | 30,150$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.45 | 89 | 2.2%2 W · 87 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -80.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a2…1c9bbacked Yes | 5c | 26,202$1,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,365.23 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcaa…5c0dbacked Yes | 3c | 25,183$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.06 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 2c | 13,449$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.26 | 134 | 4.5%6 W · 128 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3473…8916backed Yes | 7c | 12,623$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c5…f14ebacked Yes | 4c | 12,284$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.44 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06be…8615backed Yes | 4c | 7,650$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.75 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c4…26bfbacked Yes | 3c | 7,521$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85e9…3cb1backed Yes | 10c | 7,250$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 3c | 6,196$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.22 | 88 | 21.6%19 W · 69 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 4c | 5,587$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.32 | 51 | 17.6%9 W · 42 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd57e…ecf2backed Yes | 2c | 4,959$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.98 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -52%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…0047backed Yes | 2c | 4,513$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd502…c111backed Yes | 3c | 4,045$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.63 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d8…66a7backed Yes | 3c | 4,000$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6251…95d7backed Yes | 8c | 3,917$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc59…154dbacked Yes | 4c | 3,505$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x081b…e6fcbacked Yes | 8c | 3,343$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa39b…3318backed Yes | 4c | 3,257$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.81 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Yes | 4c | 3,038$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.62 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8162…387dbacked Yes | 8c | 3,018$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc1…9452backed Yes | 10c | 2,977$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35d0…2ddabacked Yes | 3c | 2,968$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.08 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec4…9202backed Yes | 8c | 2,903$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc314…7bc6backed Yes | 8c | 2,867$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8895…29a5backed Yes | 10c | 2,825$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 2,811$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.68 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44fa…76d5backed Yes | 9c | 2,810$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…80d9backed Yes | 2c | 2,800$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.34 | 135 | 8.1%11 W · 124 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -28%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a1…3379backed Yes | 8c | 2,693$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.21 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b63…ac28backed Yes | 8c | 2,658$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f87…0901backed Yes | 8c | 2,588$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.86 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…c6cfbacked Yes | 7c | 2,587$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b6…2c67backed Yes | 7c | 2,582$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a33…105fbacked Yes | 17c | 2,571$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b07…6a8abacked Yes | 8c | 2,532$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.1 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x309b…8f73backed Yes | 8c | 2,508$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d33…088abacked Yes | 7c | 2,481$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x331c…31bebacked Yes | 8c | 2,480$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…58dcbacked Yes | 9c | 2,438$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10eb…848bbacked Yes | 8c | 2,336$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.71 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1237…0bc5backed Yes | 7c | 2,325$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd768…f352backed Yes | 6c | 2,298$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd14…0bb1backed Yes | 9c | 2,232$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bb…594dbacked Yes | 7c | 2,193$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd558…0eacbacked Yes | 9c | 2,187$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb7…15a9backed Yes | 7c | 2,157$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf875…cb21backed Yes | 8c | 2,156$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…b5f5backed Yes | 9c | 2,130$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 5c | 2,123$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.55 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ff…6632backed Yes | 3c | 2,119$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.79 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 1c | 2,113$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.58 | 444 | 0.7%3 W · 441 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -87.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dab…7227backed Yes | 8c | 2,110$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x654d…39edbacked Yes | 5c | 2,079$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…08b9backed Yes | 8c | 2,075$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6b…8b3fbacked Yes | 8c | 2,063$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb2…f0cbbacked Yes | 7c | 1,986$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa238…1f31backed Yes | 9c | 1,933$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9695…30f3backed Yes | 8c | 1,930$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e7…af86backed Yes | 3c | 1,922$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aff…3ebdbacked Yes | 8c | 1,921$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 3c | 1,920$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.24 | 234 | 4.3%10 W · 224 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…f369backed Yes | 8c | 1,915$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe178…f6debacked Yes | 9c | 1,892$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 4c | 1,863$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.46 | 254 | 3.5%9 W · 245 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…bfd4backed Yes | 9c | 1,858$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39ca…6926backed Yes | 9c | 1,830$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c5d…6e92backed Yes | 8c | 1,806$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd909…f7ecbacked Yes | 7c | 1,741$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.12 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadd4…0d4abacked Yes | 9c | 1,728$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.61 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4cd…258ebacked Yes | 7c | 1,718$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.13 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf0…457abacked Yes | 9c | 1,686$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc07…d2f4backed Yes | 10c | 1,686$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x954a…b92abacked Yes | 9c | 1,670$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9027…287abacked Yes | 19c | 1,628$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.33 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb205…d31ebacked Yes | 7c | 1,587$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 3c | 1,576$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.96 | 169 | 1.8%3 W · 166 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c3b…2509backed Yes | 9c | 1,564$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdf…94b7backed Yes | 7c | 1,549$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba4b…71b2backed Yes | 7c | 1,523$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58ec…4cd4backed Yes | 7c | 1,523$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6539…c379backed Yes | 3c | 1,520$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc6…3442backed Yes | 8c | 1,519$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9706…1d75backed Yes | 7c | 1,518$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.33 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8051…cbcebacked Yes | 9c | 1,510$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0342…3e9dbacked Yes | 7c | 1,463$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc6…ffc7backed Yes | 8c | 1,459$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c4…0addbacked Yes | 7c | 1,415$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba6…0169backed Yes | 7c | 1,411$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.97 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a40…1393backed Yes | 7c | 1,374$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.68 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4401…7ae2backed Yes | 9c | 1,367$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d9b…9248backed Yes | 5c | 1,339$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.54 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33fd…c3a0backed Yes | 6c | 1,318$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad2…0704backed Yes | 7c | 1,318$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d9…8665backed Yes | 10c | 1,307$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd7…b803backed Yes | 7c | 1,306$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7a…53b9backed Yes | 7c | 1,290$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb76…0ef4backed Yes | 7c | 1,284$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7db9…d025backed Yes | 7c | 1,269$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff5…ce12backed Yes | 8c | 1,268$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?this page
- Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 0-3%?No won
- Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 3-6%?No won
- Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 6-9%?No won
- Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 0-3%?No won
- Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 3-6%?No won
- Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 6-9%?No won
- Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?Yes won
- Will another outcome occur in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.