World Politics · resolved market
Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 6-9%?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfd8ca3538aa1f3035026c28d9b663781d12838e2cf6693bd28775ec7197f2c6f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $665,020
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $580,126
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $665,020 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 205 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes | 0c | 30,650$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.7 | 89 | 2.2%2 W · 87 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -80.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7d…2137backed Yes | 3c | 8,895$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd502…c111backed Yes | 4c | 8,634$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.33 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 3c | 8,594$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.08 | 134 | 4.5%6 W · 128 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 3c | 8,129$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.62 | 88 | 21.6%19 W · 69 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c5…f14ebacked Yes | 4c | 8,126$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d8…3c22backed Yes | 3c | 8,028$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.6 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcaa…5c0dbacked Yes | 3c | 7,774$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.62 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85e9…3cb1backed Yes | 12c | 6,046$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06be…8615backed Yes | 3c | 5,857$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.37 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 3c | 5,443$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.69 | 51 | 17.6%9 W · 42 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d8…66a7backed Yes | 4c | 4,425$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.42 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 2c | 4,300$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.8 | 444 | 0.7%3 W · 441 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -87.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c4…26bfbacked Yes | 5c | 4,170$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd026…16b3backed Yes | 3c | 4,001$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.17 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7664…2e50backed Yes | 3c | 3,795$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.67 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0863…fc3bbacked Yes | 6c | 3,687$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34d3…e1bfbacked Yes | 8c | 3,240$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.76 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…01f1backed Yes | 10c | 3,231$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a81…5843backed Yes | 9c | 3,103$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dfd…17e1backed Yes | 3c | 3,051$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba18…bb1cbacked Yes | 9c | 2,988$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 4c | 2,937$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.75 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef4…2726backed Yes | 7c | 2,910$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadd4…0d4abacked Yes | 8c | 2,850$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d33…088abacked Yes | 6c | 2,822$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x109f…f434backed Yes | 8c | 2,790$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa39b…3318backed Yes | 5c | 2,692$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.7 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf068…dc96backed Yes | 10c | 2,689$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d1…6178backed Yes | 9c | 2,669$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa55e…853bbacked Yes | 10c | 2,467$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6268…6031backed Yes | 3c | 2,456$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.18 | 45 | 11.1%5 W · 40 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe508…a87bbacked Yes | 8c | 2,419$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc01f…cd8ebacked Yes | 5c | 2,415$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 70 | 27.1%19 W · 51 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10f4…e540backed Yes | 9c | 2,410$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8517…15f6backed Yes | 7c | 2,345$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf325…06adbacked Yes | 9c | 2,293$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd909…f7ecbacked Yes | 5c | 2,228$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.48 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b1…0692backed Yes | 10c | 2,197$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd165…7461backed Yes | 8c | 2,196$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed Yes | 4c | 2,164$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.29 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | +5.4wins | +0.14per pick | 12cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x967e…2539backed Yes | 9c | 2,142$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ed…d236backed Yes | 7c | 2,090$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e7…af86backed Yes | 5c | 2,047$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a24…65c9backed Yes | 10c | 1,963$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.37 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a2…1c9bbacked Yes | 5c | 1,947$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c2…55c6backed Yes | 4c | 1,899$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87ff…6632backed Yes | 3c | 1,880$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.57 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4903…0242backed Yes | 9c | 1,846$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec25…cd6bbacked Yes | 7c | 1,834$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6251…95d7backed Yes | 9c | 1,824$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2c…0efcbacked Yes | 8c | 1,799$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f42…05e7backed Yes | 7c | 1,797$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b07…6a8abacked Yes | 9c | 1,770$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.12 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa00…acb0backed Yes | 10c | 1,769$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe178…f6debacked Yes | 8c | 1,753$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb4…751cbacked Yes | 7c | 1,751$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11c2…31eebacked Yes | 9c | 1,720$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d7…a0bcbacked Yes | 3c | 1,697$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a1…3379backed Yes | 10c | 1,678$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.41 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf065…4e37backed Yes | 9c | 1,653$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff9…0c14backed Yes | 9c | 1,651$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f17…52d0backed Yes | 7c | 1,632$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e99…0885backed Yes | 8c | 1,630$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6678…52cabacked Yes | 10c | 1,623$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1865…34f0backed Yes | 10c | 1,593$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6539…c379backed Yes | 5c | 1,582$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc934…f437backed Yes | 10c | 1,566$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.03 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b3…4625backed Yes | 5c | 1,544$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c22…3a2dbacked Yes | 10c | 1,539$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb868…a09ebacked Yes | 9c | 1,507$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38c8…cad4backed Yes | 7c | 1,503$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66fa…cdd4backed Yes | 8c | 1,501$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e67…6758backed Yes | 7c | 1,491$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb4c…c7a5backed Yes | 8c | 1,491$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c71…1a5bbacked Yes | 10c | 1,486$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86d6…572bbacked Yes | 9c | 1,470$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.42 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x807b…3a39backed Yes | 10c | 1,455$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba0…09febacked Yes | 7c | 1,449$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x331c…31bebacked Yes | 7c | 1,442$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1048…208abacked Yes | 9c | 1,432$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb47d…ed37backed Yes | 10c | 1,425$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ed…ceedbacked Yes | 7c | 1,425$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacac…ddc6backed Yes | 8c | 1,419$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d0…6d0bbacked Yes | 7c | 1,418$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…08b9backed Yes | 7c | 1,414$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x736b…8739backed Yes | 7c | 1,413$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…e7a2backed Yes | 9c | 1,411$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f5c…4b4cbacked Yes | 9c | 1,380$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e54…178dbacked Yes | 7c | 1,329$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.02 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9107…092fbacked Yes | 9c | 1,303$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.43 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd7…b803backed Yes | 7c | 1,300$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe28f…542ebacked Yes | 9c | 1,288$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97a8…9445backed Yes | 8c | 1,263$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…1d17backed Yes | 8c | 1,262$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 3c | 1,254$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.66 | 234 | 4.3%10 W · 224 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x238c…0f7abacked Yes | 10c | 1,253$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba92…ed96backed Yes | 5c | 1,253$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 3c | 1,251$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.84 | 254 | 3.5%9 W · 245 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a17…b1a9backed Yes | 7c | 1,231$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 6-9%?this page
- Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 0-3%?No won
- Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 3-6%?No won
- Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?No won
- Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 0-3%?No won
- Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 3-6%?No won
- Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 6-9%?No won
- Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?Yes won
- Will another outcome occur in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.