World Politics · resolved market
Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 3-6%?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x06cbe9884935977c5b3a0f17fe15c27bddaec24212b462b6bde1aadf64616d3b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $251,018
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $180,938
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $251,018 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes | 0c | 27,655$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.64 | 89 | 2.2%2 W · 87 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -80.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc01f…cd8ebacked Yes | 5c | 11,367$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 70 | 27.1%19 W · 51 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 3c | 8,230$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.23 | 134 | 4.5%6 W · 128 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd502…c111backed Yes | 4c | 8,223$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.09 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c5…f14ebacked Yes | 4c | 8,034$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.37 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7664…2e50backed Yes | 3c | 7,623$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.01 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dfd…17e1backed Yes | 4c | 7,057$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d8…66a7backed Yes | 6c | 4,400$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.17 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d8…3c22backed Yes | 5c | 4,200$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.34 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85e9…3cb1backed Yes | 15c | 4,045$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4be5…c1b3backed Yes | 7c | 3,437$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.9 | 78 | 28.2%22 W · 56 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6b…adcebacked Yes | 5c | 3,361$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.13 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5154…245dbacked Yes | 9c | 3,340$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x414b…0d3fbacked Yes | 7c | 3,282$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.73 | 133 | 34.6%46 W · 87 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e7…af86backed Yes | 7c | 3,268$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.2 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 5c | 3,231$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.5 | 51 | 17.6%9 W · 42 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c4…26bfbacked Yes | 6c | 3,230$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.48 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6539…c379backed Yes | 7c | 3,012$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x944e…8c94backed Yes | 4c | 2,888$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.4 | 142 | 40.8%58 W · 84 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Yes | 4c | 2,797$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.37 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 5c | 2,457$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.89 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87ff…6632backed Yes | 3c | 2,100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.04 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd909…f7ecbacked Yes | 7c | 2,071$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.83 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84c1…ac22backed Yes | 5c | 2,038$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fd…fe19backed Yes | 3c | 2,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -3.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Yes | 4c | 2,000$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 253 | 37.2%94 W · 159 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x841c…2481backed Yes | 7c | 1,897$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b3…4625backed Yes | 5c | 1,875$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed Yes | 4c | 1,807$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.83 | 135 | 7.4%10 W · 125 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d0…6d0bbacked Yes | 8c | 1,755$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d7…a0bcbacked Yes | 4c | 1,618$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf460…675cbacked Yes | 7c | 1,602$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 5c | 1,594$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.24 | 234 | 4.3%10 W · 224 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6268…6031backed Yes | 3c | 1,531$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.1 | 45 | 11.1%5 W · 40 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa39b…3318backed Yes | 6c | 1,476$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.4 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3da…282cbacked Yes | 7c | 1,421$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.63 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d62…27e0backed Yes | 3c | 1,337$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.68 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac6…2c6fbacked Yes | 7c | 1,328$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2f…10c7backed Yes | 3c | 1,300$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed Yes | 4c | 1,300$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.99 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5447…9defbacked Yes | 8c | 1,155$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9160…6152backed Yes | 12c | 1,143$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 5c | 1,074$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.23 | 254 | 3.5%9 W · 245 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d3d…e96abacked Yes | 3c | 934.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e93…f5bebacked Yes | 5c | 918.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 4c | 876.69$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.62 | 88 | 21.6%19 W · 69 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Yes | 5c | 857.94$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 6c | 818.97$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.84 | 220 | 29.5%65 W · 155 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bb…594dbacked Yes | 8c | 781$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…1737backed Yes | 2c | 761$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a2…1c9bbacked Yes | 8c | 736.13$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81d9…76e6backed Yes | 7c | 734.4$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96a4…02febacked Yes | 5c | 718.2$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc76…6a4fbacked Yes | 7c | 691.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a71…8792backed Yes | 7c | 687$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.72 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 4c | 662.28$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.71 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0258…06d0backed Yes | 4c | 633.26$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.33 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda7f…2425backed Yes | 10c | 626.08$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58e3…824dbacked Yes | 10c | 615.61$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 3c | 598.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 169 | 1.8%3 W · 166 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1f…1a9fbacked Yes | 7c | 507.14$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.58 | 87 | 16.1%14 W · 73 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10eb…848bbacked Yes | 5c | 501.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b1…b35bbacked Yes | 5c | 480.87$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.20per pick | 43cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 10c | 479.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.77 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 3c | 457.71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 102 | 61.8%63 W · 39 L | +13.2wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x35d0…2ddabacked Yes | 4c | 425.1$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd85b…d467backed Yes | 4c | 421.57$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44da…6960backed Yes | 6c | 409.91$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes | 5c | 402.56$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.65 | 61 | 4.9%3 W · 58 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 9c | 383.55$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.22 | 241 | 10.8%26 W · 215 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -34%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x820c…7e43backed Yes | 7c | 378.47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e2…8862backed Yes | 4c | 365$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a17…bf47backed Yes | 5c | 362.6$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa94d…f048backed Yes | 7c | 362.51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe85a…eb12backed Yes | 4c | 354.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd19e…754ebacked Yes | 4c | 321.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf629…bda0backed Yes | 4c | 311.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15f7…a018backed Yes | 4c | 310$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62f7…0e8cbacked Yes | 5c | 302.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 28cpaid | -71.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x453a…fdb8backed Yes | 5c | 293.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 44 | 6.8%3 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…bf30backed Yes | 5c | 290.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c7b…d463backed Yes | 7c | 286.86$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.92 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a38…2224backed Yes | 11c | 278.3$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6fc1backed Yes | 7c | 268.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -5.0wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e4…471abacked Yes | 7c | 244.3$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.07 | 150 | 22.7%34 W · 116 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +43%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6165…c5c1backed Yes | 4c | 243$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf789…a812backed Yes | 6c | 236.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x401a…9e00backed Yes | 5c | 219.12$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -87.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0d…c5fdbacked Yes | 6c | 218.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c37…d40fbacked Yes | 5c | 213.27$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 42 | 11.9%5 W · 37 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 5cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2db2…4ca2backed Yes | 9c | 180$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -74.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d9b…9248backed Yes | 10c | 179.23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d6…1491backed Yes | 12c | 145.73$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x014b…6f2cbacked Yes | 10c | 125.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -6.6wins | -0.31per pick | 36cpaid | -91.3%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xbee0…aa9fbacked Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +4.5wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 22c | 68.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 563 | 14.6%82 W · 481 L | -39.3wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 3-6%?this page
- Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 0-3%?No won
- Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 6-9%?No won
- Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?No won
- Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 0-3%?No won
- Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 3-6%?No won
- Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 6-9%?No won
- Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?Yes won
- Will another outcome occur in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.