World Politics · resolved market
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 6-9%?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0d896c47968d9e437057fc62f874f4d527abd43e91c2e5950cfead58d9c23ff6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $187,074
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $136,671
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $187,074 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 185 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes | 1c | 19,104$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.7 | 89 | 2.2%2 W · 87 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -80.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8476…5418backed Yes | 0c | 7,145$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe682…6f7dbacked Yes | 19c | 6,317$1,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170.98 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6b…adcebacked Yes | 0c | 5,800$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1f…ea7abacked Yes | 23c | 5,205$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25d4…9b17backed Yes | 23c | 5,007$1,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,127.5 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe9…8308backed Yes | 23c | 4,800$1,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,082.85 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2461…f240backed Yes | 19c | 4,734$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.88 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 18c | 4,561$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812.7 | 51 | 17.6%9 W · 42 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa80…3aa0backed Yes | 20c | 4,000$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.88 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629b…995abacked Yes | 13c | 3,364$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.15 | 432 | 43.1%186 W · 246 L | +29.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 8c | 3,044$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.24 | 88 | 21.6%19 W · 69 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f86…404ebacked Yes | 22c | 3,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37a1…dad2backed Yes | 17c | 2,843$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.52 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 77c | 2,700$2,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.78 | 549 | 34.6%190 W · 359 L | -37.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Yes | 19c | 2,625$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.03 | 148 | 34.5%51 W · 97 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Yes | 19c | 2,532$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.28 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b91…ae77backed Yes | 20c | 2,463$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.09 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 79c | 2,418$1,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.76 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e9…bdacbacked No | 78c | 2,243$1,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.47 | 77 | 61%47 W · 30 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97dc…3a10backed Yes | 2c | 1,662$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 79c | 1,650$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.17 | 322 | 55%177 W · 145 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad31…2f44backed Yes | 18c | 1,644$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.83 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 1c | 1,468$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 134 | 4.5%6 W · 128 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f31…b781backed Yes | 21c | 1,436$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 29cpaid | +43%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Yes | 15c | 1,280$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.21 | 253 | 37.2%94 W · 159 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26aa…b107backed Yes | 8c | 1,280$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38cf…1d60backed Yes | 25c | 1,205$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -86.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d7e…a7b0backed Yes | 22c | 1,170$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x270a…7b78backed Yes | 21c | 1,150$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.4 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3d…457ebacked Yes | 20c | 1,105$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x225c…40dcbacked Yes | 19c | 1,100$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.84 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed No | 79c | 1,069$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.1 | 457 | 23.2%106 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78ae…143abacked Yes | 15c | 1,006$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.6 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 19cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…535bbacked Yes | 13c | 1,004$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.94 | 284 | 30.3%86 W · 198 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc60…af79backed Yes | 20c | 999.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3594…dc58backed Yes | 21c | 945.31$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa272…71f1backed Yes | 12c | 940.55$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea43…828bbacked Yes | 19c | 923.46$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.01 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf13d…6b6ebacked Yes | 20c | 850$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 10c | 782$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.25 | 192 | 37.5%72 W · 120 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4744…e229backed No | 79c | 762$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.02 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 19c | 752.45$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.56 | 463 | 30.2%140 W · 323 L | -20.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed7…b0a5backed Yes | 21c | 735$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.35 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 19c | 706.11$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.42 | 102 | 61.8%63 W · 39 L | +13.2wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3c83…cf0abacked No | 78c | 700.36$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.12 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd58c…8954backed No | 79c | 700$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x291b…d83dbacked Yes | 21c | 700$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.94 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa756…b167backed No | 79c | 696$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.16 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd71f…fe71backed Yes | 21c | 693$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.53 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 45cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb8…ec8dbacked Yes | 21c | 692$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.32 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9169…e2dabacked Yes | 19c | 681.92$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 30cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x146c…f5ccbacked Yes | 23c | 664.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 28cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…9c76backed No | 79c | 662$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.02 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfc2…0b59backed Yes | 23c | 634.4$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.86 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d9…48a6backed Yes | 22c | 622.54$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.1 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa976…5c43backed Yes | 16c | 606.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…ad47backed Yes | 16c | 599.99$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ca…4ac0backed No | 78c | 599.98$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.98 | 41 | 75.6%31 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 69cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee82…f011backed Yes | 20c | 520.83$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.9 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…6db2backed Yes | 19c | 504.78$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df2…01afbacked Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e37…cccbbacked Yes | 24c | 499.98$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c41…133ebacked Yes | 10c | 484.2$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.42 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6149…55d6backed Yes | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47ae…ee94backed Yes | 23c | 473.99$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.02 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49e1…52febacked Yes | 16c | 473.2$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.98 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +86.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x731b…90dfbacked Yes | 13c | 467.2$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.74 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ef…8c5abacked Yes | 23c | 465.01$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +31%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cea…f32abacked Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 17.6%9 W · 42 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…6077backed Yes | 20c | 444$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Yes | 18c | 440.86$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.36 | 117 | 41%48 W · 69 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd566…3e2dbacked Yes | 11c | 440$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7f…d7a2backed Yes | 23c | 425.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x747c…e189backed Yes | 25c | 407.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18fb…ce19backed Yes | 26c | 387.69$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d9…5946backed Yes | 21c | 370.79$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.02 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48ee…008cbacked Yes | 27c | 364.8$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed No | 79c | 344$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.55 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -5.7wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc91a…6630backed Yes | 17c | 338.13$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.84 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0100…c58abacked Yes | 7c | 324.36$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Yes | 13c | 309$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.17 | 156 | 50%78 W · 78 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…197fbacked Yes | 16c | 306.66$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc97d…732bbacked Yes | 13c | 306.3$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.87 | 50 | 22%11 W · 39 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e08…3fc4backed Yes | 15c | 305.17$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc85e…5d37backed Yes | 17c | 301.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes | 23c | 300$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5885…d616backed Yes | 18c | 300$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed No | 77c | 300$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 132 | 25%33 W · 99 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b15…e32dbacked No | 78c | 300$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8797…bbbebacked Yes | 10c | 287$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 29cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1f…1a9fbacked Yes | 17c | 276.3$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.76 | 87 | 16.1%14 W · 73 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2980…2bc5backed Yes | 20c | 273.77$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81d1…4e30backed Yes | 16c | 267.66$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.18 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73b8…f6b5backed Yes | 18c | 264.78$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.95 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53a9…9e37backed Yes | 23c | 264.06$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf2…a201backed Yes | 23c | 260.87$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed Yes | 19c | 259.36$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 78 | 33.3%26 W · 52 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1836…05e4backed Yes | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb8…7b06backed Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 6-9%?this page
- Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 0-3%?No won
- Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 3-6%?No won
- Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 6-9%?No won
- Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?No won
- Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 0-3%?No won
- Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 3-6%?No won
- Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?Yes won
- Will another outcome occur in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.