World Politics · resolved market
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 0-3%?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x12b2a643d1162782fb06bd21830af563f73bc5af1c70755c7ed0fe81d67427aa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $167,632
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $113,419
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $167,632 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes | 1c | 21,605$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.9 | 89 | 2.2%2 W · 87 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -80.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fd…fe19backed Yes | 8c | 8,343$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.69 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -3.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc01f…cd8ebacked Yes | 9c | 5,505$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 70 | 27.1%19 W · 51 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Yes | 7c | 4,815$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.95 | 253 | 37.2%94 W · 159 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7664…2e50backed Yes | 9c | 4,800$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.74 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10eb…848bbacked Yes | 7c | 4,514$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x944e…8c94backed Yes | 8c | 3,588$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.92 | 142 | 40.8%58 W · 84 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Yes | 7c | 3,434$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.98 | 148 | 34.5%51 W · 97 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6b…adcebacked Yes | 6c | 3,408$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.39 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e88…301cbacked Yes | 7c | 3,380$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.2 | 83 | 21.7%18 W · 65 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629b…995abacked Yes | 8c | 3,149$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.8 | 432 | 43.1%186 W · 246 L | +29.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe682…6f7dbacked Yes | 13c | 2,978$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.18 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 7c | 2,951$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.9 | 51 | 17.6%9 W · 42 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 6c | 2,747$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.63 | 88 | 21.6%19 W · 69 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b76…acaabacked Yes | 9c | 2,215$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25d4…9b17backed Yes | 9c | 1,812$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b3…4625backed Yes | 9c | 1,635$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78ae…143abacked Yes | 11c | 1,532$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.77 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 19cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9160…6152backed Yes | 9c | 1,515$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26aa…b107backed Yes | 7c | 1,458$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.52 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…197fbacked Yes | 6c | 1,357$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.14 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 2c | 1,343$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.89 | 134 | 4.5%6 W · 128 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 6c | 1,329$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.57 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 8c | 1,193$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.83 | 234 | 4.3%10 W · 224 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3d…457ebacked Yes | 10c | 1,105$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.14 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Yes | 6c | 1,019$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.1 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 12cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed Yes | 8c | 1,006$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.52 | 135 | 7.4%10 W · 125 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92d9…4c5ebacked Yes | 8c | 1,000$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.84 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 8c | 978.13$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.93 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fb…f24cbacked Yes | 8c | 852.51$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.02 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.26per pick | 41cpaid | -77.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f23fbacked Yes | 6c | 833.54$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.35 | 182 | 14.8%27 W · 155 L | +11.4wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +218.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37a1…dad2backed Yes | 9c | 816.26$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.2 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…1737backed Yes | 6c | 752.01$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.1 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 7c | 742.73$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.62 | 254 | 3.5%9 W · 245 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 7c | 710.71$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 211 | 7.1%15 W · 196 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed Yes | 8c | 680.35$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.47 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…535bbacked Yes | 8c | 651$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.61 | 284 | 30.3%86 W · 198 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0258…06d0backed Yes | 8c | 614.46$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.41 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b13…5957backed Yes | 7c | 599.97$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7154…6efcbacked Yes | 8c | 598.45$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.83 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…15eabacked Yes | 13c | 595.91$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.97 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x291b…d83dbacked Yes | 8c | 499.98$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.94 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed Yes | 9c | 499.64$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.7 | 78 | 33.3%26 W · 52 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d9…5946backed Yes | 8c | 489.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Yes | 8c | 484.87$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.56 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x805a…0635backed Yes | 6c | 468.35$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.1 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x731b…90dfbacked Yes | 8c | 467.2$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.38 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7627…4404backed Yes | 7c | 446.79$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.27per pick | 36cpaid | -87.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x81d9…76e6backed Yes | 10c | 435.09$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9163…82aebacked Yes | 8c | 400$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.8 | 227 | 25.1%57 W · 170 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef87…bf2bbacked Yes | 7c | 384$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcecd…c518backed Yes | 15c | 379$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.59 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 8c | 374.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.12 | 220 | 29.5%65 W · 155 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96a4…02febacked Yes | 7c | 363.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c64…8d01backed Yes | 7c | 361.66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes | 6c | 346.94$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.53 | 61 | 4.9%3 W · 58 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b8…b75ebacked Yes | 7c | 339$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9169…e2dabacked Yes | 14c | 324.57$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 30cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 4c | 321.24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.94 | 169 | 1.8%3 W · 166 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72fa…6573backed Yes | 8c | 320$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5d1…7a94backed Yes | 9c | 319.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda7d…8615backed Yes | 7c | 309$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d5…8935backed Yes | 8c | 300$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf47…e2b7backed Yes | 9c | 289.04$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa730…bd15backed Yes | 9c | 283$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2980…2bc5backed Yes | 10c | 267.48$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6fc1backed Yes | 8c | 265.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -5.0wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x73b8…f6b5backed Yes | 11c | 264.8$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.09 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5514…88f3backed Yes | 8c | 259$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb37a…f1b1backed Yes | 5c | 250.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.71 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31c5…ede4backed Yes | 9c | 249.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x014b…6f2cbacked Yes | 11c | 238.4$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.81 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -6.6wins | -0.31per pick | 36cpaid | -91.3%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x3f93…79a9backed Yes | 7c | 234$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39a5…87f2backed Yes | 5c | 228$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8f…0797backed Yes | 9c | 203.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 8c | 202.59$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.97 | 449 | 21.2%95 W · 354 L | -21.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c37…d40fbacked Yes | 8c | 200$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 42 | 11.9%5 W · 37 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 5cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfb…26a7backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06e8…1b48backed Yes | 7c | 192$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0641…e368backed Yes | 8c | 192$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.55 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c41…c2e1backed Yes | 7c | 192$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0877…6770backed Yes | 8c | 191.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1f…1a9fbacked Yes | 8c | 191.68$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 87 | 16.1%14 W · 73 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 6c | 190.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 394 | 14%55 W · 339 L | -71.9wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x1b06…da4dbacked Yes | 7c | 188$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b57…e7e8backed Yes | 7c | 188$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…b9ecbacked Yes | 7c | 181.88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd19e…754ebacked Yes | 6c | 180$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc91a…6630backed Yes | 7c | 177.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b91…982dbacked Yes | 8c | 168.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62f7…0e8cbacked Yes | 8c | 164.51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 28cpaid | -71.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc97d…732bbacked Yes | 13c | 150$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 50 | 22%11 W · 39 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2323…e4b5backed Yes | 7c | 148.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed Yes | 7c | 143.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 132 | 25%33 W · 99 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6e…33d8backed Yes | 9c | 140.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc694…509dbacked Yes | 8c | 131$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x238f…3015backed Yes | 9c | 125.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 44 | 9.1%4 W · 40 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2097…8063backed Yes | 11c | 123.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.37per pick | 52cpaid | -78%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 11c | 107.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 182 | 46.2%84 W · 98 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…0800backed Yes | 14c | 103.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.61 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 0-3%?this page
- Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 0-3%?No won
- Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 3-6%?No won
- Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 6-9%?No won
- Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?No won
- Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 3-6%?No won
- Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 6-9%?No won
- Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?Yes won
- Will another outcome occur in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.