TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xcf6e…33d8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
85
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Asian League, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Asian League at 58 out of 100; worst La Liga at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+72.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$92.86
Will 1. FC Köln vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$177.27
Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$61.11
FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
1. FC Nürnberg vs. 1. FC Kaiserslautern: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will SC Paderborn 07 win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$85.14
SV 07 Elversberg vs. DSC Arminia Bielefeld: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$219.12
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
RB Leipzig vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 10 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-40.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
76ers vs. Rocketsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.18
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.46
Lakers vs. Pistonsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spurs vs. Heatbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$26.92
Spread: Lakers (-3.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$300.04
Spread: Thunder (-21.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$553Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$553.47
Thunder vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 112.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$211.57
Warriors vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$29.19
Lakers vs. Heatbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$38.82
All 10 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1020%2 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-39.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
La Liga — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will CD Castellón win on 2026-03-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
CD Castellón vs. Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$22.17
CD Castellón vs. Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$197.54
Will Levante UD vs. Real Oviedo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Getafe CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will CD Leganés vs. AD Ceuta FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Elche CF vs. RCD Mallorca end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Villarreal CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.07
All 10 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.93
Will Leeds United FC vs. Brentford FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$194.12
Will Fulham FC vs. Burnley FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Middlesbrough FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$88.89
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$56.25
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.21
Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$265Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+37.2%+$98.53
All 8 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.19per pick21cpaid+25.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick26cpaid-20.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+74%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-56.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+261.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$103.03
Will Toulouse FC vs. FC Lorient end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-36.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Jakub Mensikbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.16
Miami Open: Andrey Rublev vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.