Bundesliga · resolved market
Will SC Paderborn 07 win on 2026-03-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd5d850c4af37fd19b9a195e25284036192f7c5a7429f601689047ced21eb77dc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $109,842
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $109,842 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee19…555ebacked Yes | 53c | 11,000$5,829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,171.04 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5db5…1a50backed Yes | 23c | 8,761$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,760.95 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 50c | 6,923$3,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,489.56 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 51c | 6,360$3,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,224.35 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 63c | 5,488$3,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,440.44 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 14c | 5,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.99 | 332 | 44.6%148 W · 184 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 55c | 4,166$2,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,307.55 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe35b…d8d0backed Yes | 30c | 2,990$895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,094.93 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed No | 48c | 1,654$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 61 | 29.5%18 W · 43 L | -7.1wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d2…090fbacked Yes | 33c | 1,606$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,078.01 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +4.6wins | +0.29per pick | 53cpaid | +98.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 157 | 42%66 W · 91 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 46c | 1,428$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.34 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Yes | 32c | 1,247$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.01 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked No | 49c | 918.37$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e52…00f5backed Yes | 20c | 900$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +46%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked No | 48c | 781.33$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.22 | 131 | 29.8%39 W · 92 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 55c | 748$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.6 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ed…2a85backed Yes | 55c | 600$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked No | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…764ebacked Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 51c | 450.15$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.57 | 341 | 44.6%152 W · 189 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…251fbacked Yes | 20c | 401.47$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.36 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 26c | 400$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296 | 241 | 32%77 W · 164 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 53c | 375.46$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.47 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 53c | 333.65$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.01 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Yes | 28c | 239.84$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.68 | 124 | 60.5%75 W · 49 L | +19.9wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 69c | 221.09$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.64 | 337 | 37.4%126 W · 211 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 63c | 218.93$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.2 | 407 | 44.5%181 W · 226 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd983…d92dbacked Yes | 21c | 185.71$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.71 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | +4.9wins | +0.12per pick | 24cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…98b4backed No | 71c | 181.42$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.28 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 36c | 171.24$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.59 | 550 | 58.7%323 W · 227 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 37c | 162.29$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.43 | 395 | 58.7%232 W · 163 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 46c | 160.69$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.53 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 47c | 150$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 237 | 45.6%108 W · 129 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 25c | 140$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 264 | 33.3%88 W · 176 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 29c | 135.22$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.15 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6e…33d8backed Yes | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.14 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +72.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2097…8b03backed No | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 75cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 74c | 131.4$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.4 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8efb…c73ebacked Yes | 23c | 130$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.8 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 54c | 125.3$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.64 | 222 | 45.9%102 W · 120 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 35c | 115.39$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.24 | 817 | 32.8%268 W · 549 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62c0…06a0backed Yes | 26c | 111$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.14 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.32per pick | 34cpaid | +83%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 59c | 106.28$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.28 | 398 | 57.5%229 W · 169 L | +20.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed No | 47c | 103.87$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.82 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc124…1745backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 35cpaid | +150%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd785…0d7ebacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Yes | 54c | 99$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.54 | 121 | 57.9%70 W · 51 L | +8.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf15…bc03backed Yes | 36c | 92.72$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.18 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec3…22b6backed Yes | 23c | 87.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.64 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +5.8wins | +0.23per pick | 33cpaid | +70.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Yes | 25c | 83$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.42 | 52 | 67.3%35 W · 17 L | +5.7wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x461c…f74bbacked Yes | 55c | 79.07$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.63 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…7adabacked Yes | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Yes | 48c | 74.19$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.58 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed No | 48c | 70.83$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 40c | 66.21$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.61 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Yes | 47c | 65.01$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.3 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 53c | 63.67$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.67 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ef…f21dbacked No | 24c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Yes | 27c | 60$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.67 | 164 | 64%105 W · 59 L | +28.5wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 75c | 58$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 210 | 41.9%88 W · 122 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 24c | 57.83$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.95 | 160 | 46.9%75 W · 85 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf864…c210backed Yes | 55c | 52.73$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.73 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 52c | 50.18$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.08 | 147 | 56.5%83 W · 64 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 145 | 39.3%57 W · 88 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed Yes | 51c | 47.62$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 62c | 45.79$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.37 | 306 | 47.1%144 W · 162 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bab…50aabacked No | 75c | 45.31$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.98 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed No | 69c | 43.93$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.31 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Yes | 53c | 43.47$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.43 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d3…8a20backed Yes | 48c | 43.11$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.6 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes | 47c | 42.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.26 | 205 | 40%82 W · 123 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked No | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b77…1953backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Yes | 53c | 38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.86 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Yes | 53c | 38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.86 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Yes | 53c | 38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.86 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e32…449bbacked Yes | 37c | 37.55$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.81 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd67f…9da5backed Yes | 53c | 37.13$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.63 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0f…50bebacked Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 71c | 35.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.29 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 53c | 34.65$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.38 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x087f…2ebfbacked No | 77c | 34.32$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.37 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked No | 50c | 34.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.97 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdad6…0d14backed No | 58c | 33.11$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…d370backed No | 49c | 27.59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed No | 39c | 27.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 74 | 63.5%47 W · 27 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 53c | 26.28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.35 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…c638backed Yes | 46c | 24.58$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.18 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafb1…0329backed No | 48c | 23.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x700a…58a5backed No | 49c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9b…2be5backed No | 45c | 22.85$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No | 77c | 20.9$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5699…418dbacked No | 78c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eea…c01abacked Yes | 56c | 17.86$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x106e…28e5backed No | 77c | 16.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 69cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SC Paderborn 07 win on 2026-03-21?this page
- Will SC Paderborn 07 vs. SG Dynamo Dresden end in a draw?No won
- Will SG Dynamo Dresden win on 2026-03-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.