TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Will Beijing Guoan FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$38,414

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,414 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4133…5e70backed No57c3,964$2,245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,244.861,09843.8%481 W · 617 L-14.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No36c2,031$738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$738.032,52242.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L+54.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes28c1,737$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,250.6362349.1%306 W · 317 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fcf…056bbacked No72c1,523$1,097 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,096.720%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes26c1,371$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,009.1314037.1%52 W · 88 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No74c1,146$853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$853.025,94646.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L+50.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes77c1,035$801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.3162652.6%329 W · 297 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Yes22c1,016$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$795.044528.9%13 W · 32 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7bc5…4626backed Yes23c1,000$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$770666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.31per pick36cpaid+106.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed No30c999.98$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.9916350.9%83 W · 80 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf232…858fbacked No75c986.67$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74020%0 W · 2 L-1.5wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x94c1…8036backed Yes63c623.73$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.782657.7%15 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No6c594.36$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.9592835%325 W · 603 L-22.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-33.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes26c500$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3701,11746.2%516 W · 601 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc367…a0b4backed Yes65c461.54$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.549542.1%40 W · 55 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No74c411$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.1430049.7%149 W · 151 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0556…132abacked Yes25c400$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3003138.7%12 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d6f…7135backed Yes80c348.08$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.812100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes26c328.04$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.7593446.1%431 W · 503 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Yes22c312.88$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.38814.8%13 W · 75 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick19cpaid-47%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked No46c283.62$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.1624323%56 W · 187 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No73c272.82$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.1622555.1%124 W · 101 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x64a8…7bc3backed Yes80c250$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick75cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Yes24c249.98$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.9915036.7%55 W · 95 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No28c206.23$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.4242625.8%110 W · 316 L-33.7wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-40%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x88b1…3678backed Yes28c200$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.79683.3%5 W · 1 L+3.3wins+0.55per pick28cpaid+194.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xcaf5…c50fbacked Yes56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd790…a24ebacked Yes26c173.08$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.082334.8%8 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes55c156.5$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.056434.4%22 W · 42 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes23c152.95$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.3649044.3%217 W · 273 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa782…162fbacked Yes74c144.26$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.92250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-32.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fdb…98dbbacked No72c138.89$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c95…8a0bbacked Yes74c135.53$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.531100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27d2…a66cbacked Yes67c130.38$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.381241.7%5 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.21per pick63cpaid-39.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x39d2…c802backed No24c117.88$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.06250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6b8…4bdfbacked No10c114.7$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.48955.6%5 W · 4 L+2.9wins+0.32per pick23cpaid+131.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc86e…8dfcbacked Yes59c114.55$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.11250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed No26c108.65$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.1819436.6%71 W · 123 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec5d…11d5backed Yes75c105$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.35250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-33.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf6e…33d8backed Yes50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503100%3 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+261.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc155…dc0fbacked Yes78c87.18$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.182100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+36.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e38…1b52backed No30c85$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.530%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8dec…60c2backed Yes27c83.41$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.892356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x866a…de80backed Yes24c83.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.335920.3%12 W · 47 L-0.1wins0.00per pick21cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a2d…d491backed Yes61c81.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.97475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+36.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No31c76.86$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.821,25451.4%644 W · 610 L+9.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x781d…201bbacked Yes28c71.43$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.43862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.23per pick39cpaid+102.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes32c70.22$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.442,42438%920 W · 1,504 L+0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No54c70.09$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.1273850.3%371 W · 367 L-2.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02a4…955bbacked No75c66.96$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.95977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick60cpaid+36.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked No78c66$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.2723845.8%109 W · 129 L+0.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Yes62c65$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.477357.5%42 W · 31 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbdf…b8a0backed Yes25c60.4$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.34252.4%22 W · 20 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6479…5e64backed Yes50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309652.1%50 W · 46 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d22…ec35backed Yes59c60$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f34…ed6abacked No42c58$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.314238.1%16 W · 26 L-5.0wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-28.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes25c53.78$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.477338.4%28 W · 45 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41ad…8dddbacked No30c53.5$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.063831.6%12 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e94…41b6backed Yes59c52.49$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cd5…b286backed Yes67c52.19$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.22366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No75c51.08$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.3126749.4%132 W · 135 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e10…c6cdbacked Yes26c49.99$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.99250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd985…1125backed No54c49.74$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.82540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-22.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No74c49$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.1753148.8%259 W · 272 L+2.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No62c48.36$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.8282053.8%441 W · 379 L+25.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes29c46.96$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.4379435.1%279 W · 515 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe00d…4251backed Yes65c46.15$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.151250%6 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3ce3…ff2abacked Yes53c44.42$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.96650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+43.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94b6…2be5backed Yes26c42.31$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.31450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+33.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77b5…9170backed No72c42$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.247455.4%41 W · 33 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Yes61c42$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.4313140.5%53 W · 78 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4024…4f45backed Yes25c40$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick30cpaid-55.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd074…5a54backed No65c39.99$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.81275%9 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b47…2d4bbacked Yes56c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.71862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f71…9a06backed Yes59c33.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.9560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa57…a128backed Yes75c33.33$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.33850%4 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-22.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb070…4761backed Yes65c30.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.77560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.21per pick39cpaid+41.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked No74c30$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.256445.4%256 W · 308 L-25.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa248…26a6backed Yes78c25.64$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.64366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick77cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd39f…dd38backed Yes59c25.47$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.47250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd43f…0bb0backed Yes57c24.16$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.39728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-55.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a54…9a83backed Yes49c23.88$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.24250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x571d…a673backed Yes75c20.13$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+34.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcbcc…edc9backed Yes64c15.63$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.631573.3%11 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick68cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1b7…fefdbacked No74c14.86$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112352.2%12 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.12per pick64cpaid-22.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf5dc…0f05backed No80c12.88$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.37per pick62cpaid-54.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.