TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x571d…a673

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
72
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Tennis, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 55 out of 100; worst Australian A League at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT3560%21 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$10.64
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$5.32
Spread: Thunder (-10.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LeBron James: Points O/U 21.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+54%+$28.5
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
76ers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.25
Spread: Spurs (-13.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$10.87
Spread: Celtics (-7.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$14.67
LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 7.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.55
Jayson Tatum: Assists O/U 5.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+57.8%+$8.48
VJ Edgecombe: Rebounds O/U 5.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.59
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6.31
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$5.07
Thunder vs. Clippersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$10.89
Hawks vs. Cavaliersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.37
76ers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$3.41
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.79
Pistons vs. 76ersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6
Spurs vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.33
Pistons vs. Timberwolvesbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
Pelicans vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+32.4%+$5.82
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1675%12 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hamburg European Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Ignacio Busebacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Mauthausen: Jaime Faria vs Darwin Blanchbacked Jaime Faria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$14.68
Madrid Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Anastasia Potapovabacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+37%+$7.4
Mauthausen: Timofey Skatov vs Titouan Droguetbacked Titouan Droguet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$11.02
Madrid Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Casper Ruudbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$12.04
Madrid Open: Yannick Hanfmann vs Marcos Gironbacked Yannick Hanfmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.74
Set Handicap: Fonseca (-1.5) vs Berrettini (+1.5)backed Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.27
Set Handicap: Cerundolo (-1.5) vs Machac (+1.5)backed Machac · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$11.94
Set Handicap: Medvedev (-1.5) vs Berrettini (+1.5)backed Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$11.47
Sarasota: Kei Nishikori vs Nicolas Kickerbacked Kei Nishikori · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$7.24
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Alexei Popyrin vs Casper Ruudbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$7.78
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Tomas Etcheverry vs Grigor Dimitrovbacked Tomas Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$15.2
Miyazaki: James Kent Trotter vs Dan Addedbacked Dan Added · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Miyazaki: Blake Ellis vs Naoya Hondabacked Naoya Honda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Alicante: Lloyd Harris vs Marco Cecchinatobacked Marco Cecchinato · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$4.22
Yokkaichi: James McCabe vs Andre Ilaganbacked James McCabe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$4.5
All 16 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid+38.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick73cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+48.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Flyersbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+70.8%+$21.25
Spread: Sharks (-1.5)backed Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$3.94
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Santa Clara Broncos vs. Saint Mary's Gaelsbacked Santa Clara Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+62.6%+$9.31
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. BYU Cougarsbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.87
All 2 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+40.9%+$8.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+34.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Beijing Guoan FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+34.2%+$5.13
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-03-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$14
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Big AI be out as #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Auckland FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.31
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.