Australian A League · resolved market
Will Auckland FC win on 2026-03-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb9cf5ec92f705d5f7564010dad39e5b89dcdea63b395bf18bd816ebdc97718bf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,342
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,342 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x08e0…6f89backed Yes | 69c | 4,288$2,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,953.54 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfabc…2134backed Yes | 68c | 1,500$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.9 | 140 | 60.7%85 W · 55 L | +19.7wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +31%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x712d…b55fbacked Yes | 22c | 1,490$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.85 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 41c | 1,215$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.28 | 466 | 44.8%209 W · 257 L | -23.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 33c | 1,035$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.28 | 226 | 52.7%119 W · 107 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 67c | 940.99$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.46 | 147 | 55.1%81 W · 66 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 62c | 913.86$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.56 | 286 | 59.4%170 W · 116 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed No | 33c | 606.06$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.06 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked No | 45c | 554.99$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.25 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 39cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 66c | 549$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.66 | 300 | 55.3%166 W · 134 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Yes | 68c | 504.41$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Yes | 46c | 435.76$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 56c | 429.69$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.17 | 478 | 50.8%243 W · 235 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 24c | 337.35$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.39 | 235 | 51.5%121 W · 114 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…5775backed Yes | 25c | 300$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 34c | 280.26$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.28 | 149 | 55.7%83 W · 66 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0632…d1b7backed Yes | 35c | 257.43$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed No | 32c | 240.96$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.96 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.45per pick | 38cpaid | +118.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed No | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce8…63febacked Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 29c | 177.36$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.02 | 247 | 32.4%80 W · 167 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa785…acb6backed Yes | 71c | 170$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d3…8a20backed No | 51c | 166.35$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.18 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 67c | 161.38$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.12 | 437 | 48.3%211 W · 226 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 36c | 150.83$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.59 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4a…5ba6backed Yes | 43c | 149.99$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 30c | 149.42$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.71 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.8wins | +0.27per pick | 44cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 37c | 145.97$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.45 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Yes | 22c | 136.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa93e…0a8cbacked Yes | 49c | 98.35$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.48 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes | 38c | 95$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.9 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 70c | 94.03$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.4 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Yes | 44c | 82$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +11.6wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x976b…cf45backed Yes | 68c | 81.75$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a3…3823backed Yes | 67c | 80.75$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8745…4658backed Yes | 26c | 74.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Yes | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Yes | 30c | 70$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.85 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 58c | 67.67$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.98 | 108 | 57.4%62 W · 46 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cae…fdc1backed No | 35c | 56.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.94 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdc…2234backed Yes | 60c | 55$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 40c | 51.88$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.82 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 32c | 51.46$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 110 | 57.3%63 W · 47 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Yes | 47c | 47$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.32 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Yes | 28c | 47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe579…ba5ebacked No | 33c | 41.78$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.99 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +84%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…f50dbacked Yes | 67c | 40$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Yes | 66c | 38$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c78…aad1backed Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes | 37c | 35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 69c | 32.49$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.42 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 64cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 48c | 30.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.23 | 68 | 23.5%16 W · 52 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26f2…1761backed Yes | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Yes | 68c | 25.7$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.48 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x571d…a673backed Yes | 67c | 24.34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…20dfbacked Yes | 56c | 24.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 53c | 20.87$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 110 | 50%55 W · 55 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e09…f00bbacked Yes | 53c | 20.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Yes | 68c | 20.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…f05dbacked Yes | 55c | 18.58$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf877…77e1backed Yes | 68c | 18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed Yes | 67c | 17.47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -7.7wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc253…5800backed Yes | 68c | 16.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Auckland FC win on 2026-03-07?this page
- Will Auckland FC vs. Perth Glory FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Perth Glory FC win on 2026-03-07?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.