TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf520…f05d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
73
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Other European Leagues, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Other European Leagues at 57 out of 100; worst NHL at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT1855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+27%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-07-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.44
Spread: Deportivo Toluca FC (-1.5)backed Deportivo Toluca FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+150%+$15
Will Tigres de la UANL win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+111.7%+$34.7
Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+274.3%+$82.25
Will CF Pachuca win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$29.27
Will CF América win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+100.9%+$83.95
Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-03-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+143.9%+$15.5
Will Independiente Medellín win on 2026-03-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$10.07
Will CF América win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Will Atlas FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+112.8%+$32.7
Will Tigres de la UANL win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$49.99
Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+125.7%+$65.13
Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+99.8%+$43.9
Spread: CF Cruz Azul (-1.5)backed CF Cruz Azul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$19.32
Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$16.34
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+85.2%+$12.78
Will AA Argentinos Juniors win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$34.46
All 18 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT1811.1%2 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick15cpaid-62.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.74
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.72
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.99
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.36
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 14 to March 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.45
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.46
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.25
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.32
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.02
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 7 to March 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.9
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20.9
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$16.56
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+265.6%+$71.05
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10.03
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+210.1%+$51.56
All 18 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+53.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pelicans vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+40.8%+$36.11
Rockets vs. Wizards: 1H Moneylinebacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+58.7%+$7.27
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+73%+$7.39
Lakers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+196.5%+$27.93
Kings vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$105.85
All 5 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST50%0 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+152.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 25, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Germany leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Spread: Morocco (-1.5)backed Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$13.85
All 3 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-24.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Islanders vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.08
Senators vs. Flamesbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+127.3%+$14.37
SHL: Leksands IF vs. Luleaabacked Luleaa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 3 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+109.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will V-Varen Nagasaki win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$17.64
Will Urawa Red Diamonds win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+105.7%+$21.22
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+55.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
White Sox vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$7.78
Giants vs. Rockiesbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2025, EDT+72.8%+$10.64
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+78.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-03-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.53
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+257.1%+$38.57
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Silver (SI) Up or Down on January 16?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$33.62
Silver (SI) Up or Down on January 15?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$11.85
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-01-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+163.2%+$40.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+118.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+118.3%+$15.38
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+69.5%+$64.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$8.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
USC Trojans vs. Washington Huskiesbacked USC Trojans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$28.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump say "America / American" 35+ times during his 4th of July remarks?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$61.35
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zohran Mamdani get between 40% and 50% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$10.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Brandon Moreno vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Moreno · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$47.73
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Auckland FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.22
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.