South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CF América win on 2026-03-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd3a3bc9ba2bd4d832dec07c0e49745f30d444d929cc1c10232f9412ec6374622
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,752
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,752 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 48c | 5,425$2,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,581.49 | 297 | 47.1%140 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,349.99 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 48c | 4,251$2,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,021.41 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 53c | 4,003$2,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,881.52 | 198 | 46%91 W · 107 L | +13.5wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8488…588cbacked Yes | 54c | 4,000$2,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,860 | 83 | 21.7%18 W · 65 L | -12.7wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 54c | 3,676$2,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,674.58 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 50c | 3,000$1,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,496.95 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ee…0bd0backed Yes | 52c | 2,985$1,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,432.66 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x036c…178dbacked No | 46c | 2,390$1,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.41 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 40c | 1,604$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.72 | 378 | 51.3%194 W · 184 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 49c | 1,264$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.42 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Yes | 58c | 951.98$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.93 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a6…8529backed Yes | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.4 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 25c | 743.74$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.68 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54d0…8e20backed Yes | 48c | 621.78$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.78 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 47c | 602.48$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 68 | 23.5%16 W · 52 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked Yes | 47c | 487.53$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.39 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 44c | 447.68$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.07 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Yes | 54c | 370$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.2 | 171 | 43.9%75 W · 96 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 12c | 300.81$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.24 | 58 | 0%0 W · 58 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed No | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 124 | 43.5%54 W · 70 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb91…0cacbacked Yes | 57c | 247.37$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.37 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +154.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 41c | 224.14$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.7 | 200 | 55%110 W · 90 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 50c | 223.74$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.47 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…12cebacked Yes | 46c | 220$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.8 | 94 | 28.7%27 W · 67 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 59c | 211.63$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.67 | 274 | 42%115 W · 159 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 80c | 190.12$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.02 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbefe…2d45backed Yes | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed No | 40c | 179.25$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.11 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 57c | 176.05$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.05 | 256 | 25%64 W · 192 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…f05dbacked Yes | 50c | 167.18$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.95 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +27%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d7e…0b15backed Yes | 43c | 166$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked No | 17c | 147.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 47c | 135.5$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.69 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed No | 17c | 116.23$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 17c | 108.72$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.64 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 56c | 108.67$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.97 | 165 | 34.5%57 W · 108 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 59c | 101.58$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.72 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked Yes | 60c | 91.91$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.76 | 106 | 67.9%72 W · 34 L | +15.7wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed Yes | 64c | 89.99$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.7 | 170 | 66.5%113 W · 57 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 21c | 88.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.52 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed No | 23c | 73.01$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dec…3302backed Yes | 54c | 64.81$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.81 | 103 | 31.1%32 W · 71 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x670b…2c75backed Yes | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcc…031ebacked No | 56c | 58.5$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.47 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad91…91bdbacked Yes | 53c | 55.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.19 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…2391backed Yes | 42c | 54.76$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.76 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe339…1ba6backed No | 57c | 53$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2c…9d16backed Yes | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 51c | 52$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.52 | 154 | 59.1%91 W · 63 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Yes | 54c | 49.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.99 | 93 | 63.4%59 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 30c | 47.77$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 133 | 35.3%47 W · 86 L | -14.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf320…bd1cbacked Yes | 72c | 41.36$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.57 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc3…6656backed No | 57c | 41$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 47c | 38.62$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +9.0wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xafeb…5cd2backed Yes | 58c | 37.49$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.67 | 85 | 60%51 W · 34 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 46c | 36.41$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Yes | 52c | 35.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.34 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 138 | 14.5%20 W · 118 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb53e…1aa3backed Yes | 54c | 33.28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.31 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked No | 35c | 31.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c45…f924backed No | 57c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Yes | 68c | 29.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7f…7aecbacked Yes | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe18b…f404backed No | 57c | 26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Yes | 59c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.95 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CF América win on 2026-03-08?this page
- Will Querétaro FC vs. CF América end in a draw?No won
- Will Querétaro FC win on 2026-03-08?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.