TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf320…bd1c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
85
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: CS2, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 55 out of 100; worst Tennis at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT1844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami Open, Qualification: Kimberly Birrell vs Yue Yuanbacked Yue Yuan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.25
Miami Open, Qualification: Arthur Fery vs Yunchaokete Bubacked Arthur Fery · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+80.7%+$14.92
Zadar: Stefano Travaglia vs Mili Poljicakbacked Mili Poljicak · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.23
Zadar: Nerman Fatic vs Tiago Pereirabacked Tiago Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.82
Miami Open, Qualification: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Dalibor Svrcinabacked Dalibor Svrcina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.64
Miami Open, Qualification: Renata Zarazua vs Martina Trevisanbacked Renata Zarazua · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+59.2%+$7.11
Miami Open, Qualification: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Leolia Jeanjeanbacked Kamilla Rakhimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$34.68
Miami Open, Qualification: Katie Volynets vs Priscilla Honbacked Katie Volynets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+34.2%+$10
Miami Open, Qualification: Madison Brengle vs Linda Fruhvirtovabacked Madison Brengle · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.54
Santiago: Adolfo Vallejo vs Thiago Monteirobacked Adolfo Vallejo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.98
Hersonissos 2: Lorenzo Giustino vs Paul Jubbbacked Lorenzo Giustino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.2
Cherbourg: Remy Bertola vs August Holmgrenbacked Remy Bertola · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+35.8%+$4.83
Cherbourg: Filippo Romano vs Patrick Bradybacked Patrick Brady · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.95
Antalya 3: Veronika Erjavec vs Teodora Kostovicbacked Teodora Kostovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.27
Kigali 2: Stefano Napolitano vs Maximilian Neuchristbacked Maximilian Neuchrist · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.6
Hersonissos 2: Tom Gentzsch vs Petr Nesterovbacked Petr Nesterov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+47.3%+$16.88
BNP Paribas Open: Novak Djokovic vs Jack Draperbacked Jack Draper · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+122.5%+$46.1
Antalya 3: Anhelina Kalinina vs Elena Pridankinabacked Anhelina Kalinina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+26.7%+$2.98
All 18 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+37.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.67
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$11.09
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.52
Sporting CP vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+97.7%+$14.99
Sporting CP vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.84
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-03-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$19.56
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.29
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.29
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$41.64
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-2.5)backed Club Atlético de Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$91.57
All 10 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. Grêmio FBPA: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+94.4%+$88.2
Will CF Monterrey win on 2026-03-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+389.8%+$46.4
Will Club Puebla win on 2026-03-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+51.8%+$5.67
Will Estudiantes de La Plata vs. CA Lanús end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.71
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.08
Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-03-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$9.83
Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-03-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.14
Clube do Remo vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.38
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-03-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.64
Will CF América win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+38.8%+$11.57
All 10 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+41.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: aimclub vs HyperSpirit (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Playoffsbacked aimclub · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.09
Counter-Strike: CSDIILIT vs Bushido Wildcats - Map 1 Winnerbacked Bushido Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+42.8%+$14.67
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs OG (BO1) - Roman Imperium Cup Group Dbacked BC.Game Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.91
Counter-Strike: Bebop vs ENCE Academy (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group Cbacked Bebop · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$5.14
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+39.3%+$7.93
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+78.9%+$26.67
Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Gaimin Gladiators (BO1) - Roman Imperium Cup Group Cbacked Gaimin Gladiators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+336.3%+$33.69
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+128.4%+$25.53
Counter-Strike: Bebop vs The Last Resort (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group Cbacked Bebop · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.53
All 9 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-15.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lehigh Mountain Hawks vs. Prairie View A&M Panthersbacked Lehigh Mountain Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.8
UNLV Runnin' Rebels vs. UC Irvine Anteatersbacked UC Irvine Anteaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.3
Howard Bison vs. UMBC Retrieversbacked Howard Bison · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+73%+$8.05
Iowa State Cyclones vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Iowa State Cyclones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.68
George Washington Revolutionaries vs. Saint Louis Billikensbacked Saint Louis Billikens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+61.7%+$7.49
Idaho Vandals vs. Eastern Washington Eaglesbacked Eastern Washington Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.3
Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros vs. McNeese State Cowboysbacked McNeese State Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+96.7%+$13.04
Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs. Virginia Tech Hokiesbacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+47.5%+$9.51
All 8 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid+29.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-26.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+68%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$21.21
Will 1. FC Magdeburg win on 2026-03-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+66.6%+$12.37
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-36.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Penguins vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$2.86
Ducks vs. Maple Leafsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.44
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.98
West Ham United FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.03
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-03-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.87
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.