South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-03-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5d820c3c8ca2f64a03e71b88d29010fc95a3e6ba36ab0dd99e593a8778fb82f2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $278,073
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $278,073 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 147 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Yes | 63c | 44,271$27,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,380.14 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ee…0bd0backed Yes | 65c | 24,000$15,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,438.47 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed No | 37c | 9,890$3,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,659.3 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 36c | 6,738$2,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,429.87 | 378 | 51.3%194 W · 184 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b1…78fdbacked No | 36c | 6,240$2,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,246.4 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes | 63c | 6,176$3,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,312.76 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 20c | 5,604$1,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,098.06 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 36c | 5,460$1,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,965.59 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 36c | 5,349$1,917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,917.38 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 26c | 5,033$1,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,332.82 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 29c | 4,802$1,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,378.74 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe80…0784backed No | 37c | 4,672$1,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,717 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked No | 37c | 4,595$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700.1 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed No | 37c | 4,324$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 35c | 4,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.97 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 37c | 3,610$1,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,338.99 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 64c | 3,515$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,265.38 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed No | 37c | 2,886$1,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,068 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 63c | 2,751$1,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,017.89 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 37c | 2,141$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.19 | 233 | 54.9%128 W · 105 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d39…a4fbbacked No | 33c | 1,922$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.09 | 71 | 28.2%20 W · 51 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed No | 14c | 1,878$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.73 | 286 | 51.7%148 W · 138 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0100…f6dcbacked No | 37c | 1,622$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 37c | 1,500$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 398 | 53%211 W · 187 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfec0…aeb9backed No | 37c | 1,366$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.56 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked No | 33c | 1,306$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.67 | 196 | 30.6%60 W · 136 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed No | 36c | 1,200$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a92…6941backed No | 3c | 1,176$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 144 | 43.1%62 W · 82 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa859…fdb5backed Yes | 65c | 1,044$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.5 | 162 | 62.3%101 W · 61 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed No | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…53ebbacked Yes | 76c | 868.46$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.06 | 101 | 55.4%56 W · 45 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4922…34a7backed No | 10c | 776.99$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.7 | 58 | 19%11 W · 47 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Yes | 65c | 769.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.23 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 20c | 741.27$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.21 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 37c | 700$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked No | 38c | 599.97$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.99 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e83…4bd3backed No | 38c | 563.16$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed No | 37c | 535$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.62 | 127 | 41.7%53 W · 74 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 80c | 528.54$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.71 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No | 37c | 500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed No | 37c | 463.57$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.52 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x974e…8703backed No | 16c | 418.82$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.48 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32e5…be5bbacked Yes | 65c | 384.62$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.62 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b05…434ebacked No | 37c | 367.08$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.82 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 37c | 346.92$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.56 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd47a…4e85backed No | 21c | 341.95$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.81 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…8dbebacked Yes | 80c | 333.8$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.24 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 21c | 331.17$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.1 | 211 | 32.7%69 W · 142 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed No | 37c | 329.59$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.95 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked No | 18c | 303.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.52 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf693…995ebacked No | 23c | 300$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.99 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 65c | 290$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.5 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 65c | 271.55$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.78 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb4…90f3backed No | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed No | 36c | 266$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.65 | 135 | 45.2%61 W · 74 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked No | 20c | 266$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.26 | 151 | 43%65 W · 86 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…976abacked No | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…08bbbacked No | 19c | 258.71$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.02 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c97…fad7backed Yes | 80c | 252.15$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 65c | 250$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.5 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 15c | 221.37$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.65 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 37c | 217.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.87 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 25c | 216.94$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.25 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked Yes | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 106 | 67.9%72 W · 34 L | +15.7wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed No | 37c | 194.75$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.41 | 235 | 42.1%99 W · 136 L | -13.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No | 19c | 189$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.69 | 232 | 54.7%127 W · 105 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed No | 14c | 188$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.64 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 36c | 167.87$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.76 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4865…904dbacked Yes | 62c | 163$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.94 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 67cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 37c | 159$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.25 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc311…c154backed Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 82 | 67.1%55 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 37c | 150$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.9 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8007…4245backed No | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 13c | 131.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8441…7925backed No | 20c | 129.56$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…4469backed No | 37c | 123$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.95 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 62c | 117.98$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.5 | 282 | 31.6%89 W · 193 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05d8…31cfbacked Yes | 79c | 115.9$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.34 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 62cpaid | +38%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x631c…7bfebacked No | 25c | 112.08$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.47 | 44 | 18.2%8 W · 36 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -34%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf711…d388backed No | 37c | 110$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 22c | 108.39$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.46 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed Yes | 64c | 107.7$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 170 | 66.5%113 W · 57 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x060c…7d36backed No | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed No | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 179 | 50.8%91 W · 88 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ebf…2da0backed Yes | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 112 | 62.5%70 W · 42 L | +11.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +21%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 516 | 54.8%283 W · 233 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2273…7e01backed Yes | 66c | 95.47$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.03 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 63c | 95.18$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.37 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 18c | 92.83$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed No | 17c | 89.38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.61 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb53…c50bbacked Yes | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7812…fd68backed Yes | 61c | 79.92$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…6a05backed Yes | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked No | 37c | 77.38$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.63 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a84…c4fcbacked No | 37c | 77.11$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.53 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5370…84adbacked Yes | 62c | 75$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.20per pick | 58cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 26c | 72.84$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed No | 37c | 71.01$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.11 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 37c | 70$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 125 | 62.4%78 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-03-11?this page
- Will CR Flamengo vs. Cruzeiro EC end in a draw?No won
- Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-03-11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.