South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-03-12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb05b3a3a3a6897e30cafddf0431ad63a7b64445f451fdb0e7e5c6906cdc41ae3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $165,115
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $165,115 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 169 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes | 44c | 27,268$11,973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,973.06 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 44c | 23,905$10,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,559.19 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 56c | 9,992$5,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,371.17 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a92…6941backed Yes | 66c | 9,970$6,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,583.34 | 144 | 43.1%62 W · 82 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 43c | 9,900$4,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,257 | 198 | 46%91 W · 107 L | +13.5wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 56c | 9,238$5,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,064.85 | 378 | 51.3%194 W · 184 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 48c | 7,046$3,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,666.63 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea00…c1f1backed No | 56c | 7,000$3,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,080 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 57c | 6,500$3,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,795 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed No | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 53c | 4,157$2,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,210.09 | 313 | 49.8%156 W · 157 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 66c | 3,013$1,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,985.01 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 57c | 3,000$1,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,290 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 39c | 2,757$1,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,673.14 | 211 | 32.7%69 W · 142 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 50c | 2,285$1,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,147.05 | 286 | 51.7%148 W · 138 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 47c | 2,282$1,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,208.05 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfec2…08afbacked Yes | 43c | 2,080$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.99 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 71c | 2,000$1,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.06 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 54c | 1,572$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.26 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 50c | 1,187$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.03 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 49c | 1,153$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.19 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 22c | 1,106$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.07 | 282 | 31.6%89 W · 193 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 55c | 1,082$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.43 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 64c | 1,026$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.67 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…f6a3backed No | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc39…1564backed No | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Yes | 11c | 917.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 116 | 18.1%21 W · 95 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfec0…aeb9backed No | 35c | 832$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.8 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked No | 56c | 800$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 56c | 769.09$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.49 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 56c | 750$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f9a…3f4bbacked No | 57c | 701.75$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 57c | 700$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed No | 36c | 693.9$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.91 | 151 | 28.5%43 W · 108 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda70…66b3backed Yes | 45c | 634.55$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.55 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 46c | 574.71$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.12 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d91…df18backed Yes | 53c | 561.9$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 52c | 502.11$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.74 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 56c | 469$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.36 | 307 | 54.7%168 W · 139 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 21c | 447.62$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7753…cf56backed Yes | 38c | 425.39$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.16 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca93…df79backed Yes | 44c | 396.06$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked No | 57c | 360$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.8 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0687…77bfbacked Yes | 22c | 337.46$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.4 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 56c | 300$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 194 | 60.3%117 W · 77 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No | 56c | 300$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 56c | 300$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 56c | 300$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.56 | 127 | 61.4%78 W · 49 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed No | 56c | 282.68$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.38 | 127 | 41.7%53 W · 74 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked Yes | 56c | 267.48$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed No | 56c | 250$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 56c | 240$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.63 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 12c | 238.82$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.21 | 391 | 27.1%106 W · 285 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2f…febcbacked Yes | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeed1…c6fbbacked Yes | 64c | 226.31$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 51c | 204.11$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.85 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed No | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed No | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe013…1ddcbacked No | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 179 | 60.3%108 W · 71 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 54c | 188.91$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.02 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4922…34a7backed No | 42c | 186.15$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.97 | 58 | 19%11 W · 47 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed No | 56c | 180$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3541…78debacked No | 34c | 178.97$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.38 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed No | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 99 | 56.6%56 W · 43 L | +12.3wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd6…05cbbacked No | 57c | 176.54$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.54 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed No | 57c | 173.91$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.78 | 94 | 54.3%51 W · 43 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe07c…eedfbacked Yes | 44c | 166.88$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 44c | 160.63$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.57 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 56c | 159$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.96 | 233 | 54.9%128 W · 105 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Yes | 65c | 155$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.05 | 232 | 54.7%127 W · 105 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa179…258ebacked Yes | 65c | 154.79$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 42c | 154.22$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.08 | 274 | 42%115 W · 159 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 56c | 150$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 135 | 57%77 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed No | 56c | 150$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed No | 56c | 140$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.6 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe68d…a292backed Yes | 44c | 136.84$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.21 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98cb…6bf1backed Yes | 67c | 135$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x363e…ae45backed Yes | 59c | 123$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.2 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked No | 56c | 120$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked No | 56c | 120$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked No | 56c | 120$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed No | 56c | 120$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed No | 56c | 120$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed No | 56c | 120$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 69 | 62.3%43 W · 26 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b82…2d2abacked No | 56c | 120$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.2 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed No | 56c | 120$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6330…1444backed No | 46c | 115.1$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.64 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.22per pick | 36cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2682…5141backed Yes | 44c | 109.34$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.11 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47ce…2414backed No | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.26 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.28per pick | 43cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3454…333bbacked Yes | 57c | 102.96$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.69 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 39c | 101.37$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.94 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked No | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…c47fbacked No | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed No | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 57c | 99.98$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.99 | 452 | 53.1%240 W · 212 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed No | 73c | 94$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.49 | 174 | 36.2%63 W · 111 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 43c | 92.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.02 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 457 | 46.8%214 W · 243 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-03-12?this page
- Will Grêmio FBPA vs. Red Bull Bragantino end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-03-12?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.