South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-03-12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbbf18653170b54ae2596cf8dbc5c7b21e8cb4e19c14496bb06071a7cdcc6fd41
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,327
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,327 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 15c | 4,879$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.12 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 4c | 1,410$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.89 | 391 | 27.1%106 W · 285 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 72c | 1,315$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.04 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 21c | 1,211$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.56 | 282 | 31.6%89 W · 193 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 27c | 1,182$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.3 | 271 | 33.9%92 W · 179 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 36c | 1,003$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.01 | 211 | 32.7%69 W · 142 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 71c | 879.26$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.16 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 26c | 793.95$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.24 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed No | 74c | 742$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.92 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes | 29c | 652$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.87 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4922…34a7backed Yes | 9c | 554.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.55 | 58 | 19%11 W · 47 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0687…77bfbacked Yes | 16c | 476.68$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.57 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47ce…2414backed Yes | 13c | 307.69$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.28per pick | 43cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0632…d1b7backed Yes | 13c | 249.52$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 11c | 236.82$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 256 | 25%64 W · 192 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 15c | 233.18$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.65 | 151 | 28.5%43 W · 108 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfec2…08afbacked Yes | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 78c | 221.91$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.46 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6330…1444backed Yes | 12c | 214.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.22per pick | 36cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 72c | 202.82$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.79 | 378 | 51.3%194 W · 184 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed No | 74c | 200$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 170 | 66.5%113 W · 57 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked No | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe68d…a292backed Yes | 29c | 138.1$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 24c | 133$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.83 | 174 | 36.2%63 W · 111 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3541…78debacked Yes | 13c | 122.6$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.06 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Yes | 28c | 120$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.04 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd88e…a8c6backed Yes | 21c | 110.52$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 138 | 14.5%20 W · 118 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ebf…2da0backed No | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 112 | 62.5%70 W · 42 L | +11.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +21%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4796…79fcbacked Yes | 13c | 98.19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.51 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +4.9wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 74c | 90$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 17c | 89.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Yes | 13c | 80$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 99 | 56.6%56 W · 43 L | +12.3wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc4…3479backed No | 75c | 80$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 75cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 71c | 66$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.14 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4868…c8d1backed Yes | 27c | 60.56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.35 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 28c | 59.3$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.37 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 71c | 53.5$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.52 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 28c | 45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 452 | 53.1%240 W · 212 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 72c | 42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 154 | 59.1%91 W · 63 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 26c | 41.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf320…bd1cbacked No | 74c | 37.8$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.83 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed No | 78c | 36.15$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.95 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 38c | 35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 274 | 42%115 W · 159 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…4469backed No | 74c | 34.97$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.09 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…e57fbacked No | 67c | 27.56$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.09 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 78c | 25.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…a9cabacked No | 73c | 19.73$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.33 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 73cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5004…c07bbacked No | 73c | 16.44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.44 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6404…2a20backed No | 80c | 13.76$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.78 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-03-12?this page
- Will Grêmio FBPA vs. Red Bull Bragantino end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-03-12?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.