South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Grêmio FBPA vs. Red Bull Bragantino end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0162a0a1d2ee0dfe0a32e75b123619137152811ba6f4b0d64266f8e504744bdd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,851
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,851 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcddb…0d22backed No | 73c | 6,212$4,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,534.73 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 64c | 5,821$3,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,719.05 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 50c | 4,996$2,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,482.43 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x702b…dedebacked Yes | 29c | 4,136$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,936.17 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc4…803dbacked Yes | 28c | 2,857$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,057.14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 27c | 2,718$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,983.96 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 27c | 2,170$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.78 | 211 | 32.7%69 W · 142 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 72c | 1,540$1,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110.83 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd98…6c49backed Yes | 78c | 1,100$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa52e…453fbacked No | 73c | 1,060$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.86 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 58c | 1,054$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.2 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 27c | 938.99$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.46 | 233 | 54.9%128 W · 105 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe49…9c28backed No | 73c | 851.64$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.7 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 72c | 700$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 62c | 684.62$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.83 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 27c | 679$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.67 | 378 | 51.3%194 W · 184 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 25c | 550.09$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.95 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 71c | 500$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf49…e7f4backed No | 73c | 423.29$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a11…ef8ebacked No | 73c | 422.97$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.77 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfec2…08afbacked Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.37 | 99 | 56.6%56 W · 43 L | +12.3wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes | 27c | 345$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.85 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74bb…1759backed Yes | 22c | 331.82$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.82 | 88 | 31.8%28 W · 60 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 76c | 329.49$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.98 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 24c | 312.5$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.5 | 391 | 27.1%106 W · 285 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa580…a6febacked Yes | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 74c | 249.99$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.99 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 37c | 245.97$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.29 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 72c | 240$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.7 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a6…7971backed Yes | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.27 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 27c | 224.64$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.08 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…251fbacked Yes | 26c | 215.52$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.06 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 58cpaid | +78.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 25c | 212.52$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.76 | 151 | 28.5%43 W · 108 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f13…6a96backed No | 73c | 212.12$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.85 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39b…eb0dbacked No | 73c | 211.84$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.65 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 23c | 199.78$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.23 | 282 | 31.6%89 W · 193 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaae6…095ebacked Yes | 26c | 192.88$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2f…febcbacked Yes | 54c | 185.74$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.74 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 72c | 167.86$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2f…c5d0backed No | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 46 | 76.1%35 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 72cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Yes | 27c | 132.51$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.73 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 26c | 132.41$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.49 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 29c | 123.41$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 74c | 122.36$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.89 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x076e…a6a4backed Yes | 51c | 117.14$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.1 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -7.0wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed No | 26c | 99.49$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41ad…8dddbacked No | 26c | 99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.68 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfccd…02d6backed No | 72c | 98.65$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.03 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 66c | 88.39$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.74 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.96 | 132 | 28%37 W · 95 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 22c | 86.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.26 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 71c | 85.52$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.85 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd782…6ebbbacked Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 54c | 80.77$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.65 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 27c | 76$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.48 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Yes | 28c | 73.68$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.15 | 270 | 53%143 W · 127 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3570…3e6fbacked Yes | 32c | 71.69$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x452f…b277backed Yes | 28c | 69.64$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.14 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13cd…c599backed Yes | 22c | 59.59$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +47%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1052…67d0backed Yes | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7753…cf56backed No | 34c | 55.04$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.79 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…05ddbacked Yes | 22c | 54.55$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.55 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 72c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe856…4711backed Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.8wins | +0.27per pick | 52cpaid | +91.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcd37…e117backed Yes | 70c | 45.41$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.62 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 52c | 44.57$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.34 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 26c | 40.53$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.84 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0b…f954backed Yes | 77c | 34.05$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.88 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +308.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Yes | 34c | 32.14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.21 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 74c | 24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed No | 59c | 21.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07d9…9397backed Yes | 62c | 20.97$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 69cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59fe…14fdbacked No | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Yes | 51c | 19.81$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 101 | 60.4%61 W · 40 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52b3…3a58backed No | 71c | 16.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -4.0wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Grêmio FBPA vs. Red Bull Bragantino end in a draw?this page
- Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-03-12?No won
- Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-03-12?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.