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Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-03-12?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$169,998

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $169,998 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 187 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4133…5e70backed Yes38c11,057$4,218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,839.5484850.8%431 W · 417 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No70c6,713$4,715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,714.571,04650.2%525 W · 521 L+28.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x332a…c9a2backed Yes33c6,500$2,157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,342.97540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+85.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed No72c3,500$2,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5201952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No71c3,484$2,469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,469.2938247.1%180 W · 202 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No71c3,415$2,424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,423.7613149.6%65 W · 66 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Yes30c3,400$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3805653.6%30 W · 26 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+24.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes29c3,296$969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,326.7714740.8%60 W · 87 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90e0…ff4cbacked No2c3,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60195.3%1 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick3cpaid-79.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad26…b883backed Yes32c2,607$830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,776.871100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+214.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No44c2,483$1,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,095.52,99942.4%1,273 W · 1,726 L+7.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4922…34a7backed No1c2,222$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.441216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-46.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No47c2,185$1,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,033.9277141.8%322 W · 449 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-24.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No65c1,834$1,193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,192.913,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes28c1,740$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,246.0914042.1%59 W · 81 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x105a…a152backed No69c1,646$1,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,136.12250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69dd…1964backed Yes61c1,639$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.346154.1%33 W · 28 L+4.4wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3520…1fa0backed Yes34c1,471$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$970.59616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick35cpaid-51%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x423c…25d5backed No3c1,337$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.11229.1%2 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick15cpaid-62.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefb9…e74fbacked No71c1,215$865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$865.163557.1%20 W · 15 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+31.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No37c1,083$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.3652243.9%229 W · 293 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc3fc…5176backed No71c1,035$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7355343.4%23 W · 30 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes30c1,003$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703.347354.8%40 W · 33 L+7.9wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+24.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x200d…f117backed Yes30c1,000$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$700580%4 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.36per pick44cpaid+86%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No71c881.4$623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$623.2192050.9%468 W · 452 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1fd0…93acbacked Yes32c790$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537.22334.8%8 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4676…1639backed Yes73c763.03$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.571442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Yes34c735.29$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.299748.5%47 W · 50 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No71c717.26$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.2510960.6%66 W · 43 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xebba…383cbacked No71c704.22$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+40.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked No71c704.22$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+22.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9ea…b781backed No71c701.5$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.862828.6%8 W · 20 L-7.4wins-0.26per pick55cpaid-48.2%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed No72c700$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50411153.2%59 W · 52 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No70c693.71$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.9925157%143 W · 108 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Yes31c650$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.54047.5%19 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe196…0ab5backed Yes29c636.05$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.63234.4%11 W · 21 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked No57c608$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.378023.8%19 W · 61 L-6.7wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-27.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7e3d…bf10backed Yes30c600$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.22per pick34cpaid+49.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No71c595.38$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.7255545.8%254 W · 301 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5d2…6e5dbacked Yes29c586.21$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.21728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fde…ec1dbacked No71c500$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Yes28c500$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36018049.4%89 W · 91 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Yes30c400$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28011449.1%56 W · 58 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No69c383.56$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.1735158.1%204 W · 147 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf60…79c5backed No5c358.24$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.911650%8 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+28.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x01b5…8ccfbacked Yes29c344.83$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.832100%2 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+215.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc629…5e51backed Yes29c344.83$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.834858.3%28 W · 20 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No71c320.22$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.3433349.8%166 W · 167 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15f9…607ebacked Yes31c319.98$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.79862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick42cpaid+120.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d52…f748backed Yes32c312.5$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.52142.9%9 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9186…fad1backed Yes33c300.71$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.71250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+50.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked Yes29c300$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21311843.2%51 W · 67 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-19.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed Yes28c299.99$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.999054.4%49 W · 41 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked No71c270$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.5145135.9%162 W · 289 L-19.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-6.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe857…cb6abacked Yes30c263.44$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.44450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+30.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a89…adebbacked Yes33c252.12$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.921050%5 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+45.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc73b…c3e9backed No8c231.1$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.712035%7 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-47.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3ba…e793backed Yes65c213.98$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.894555.6%25 W · 20 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b18…0390backed No71c212.74$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1511662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+34.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7841…7273backed Yes30c200$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1405034%17 W · 33 L+6.8wins+0.14per pick20cpaid+48.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2d5c…1768backed No69c200$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1383161.3%19 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+22.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6633…dcfebacked Yes30c200$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+31.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a46…ba91backed Yes31c198.65$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.625066%33 W · 17 L+4.7wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+31.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed No47c190.1$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.3614963.1%94 W · 55 L+8.7wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3865…fcbebacked No7c180.43$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.631520%3 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-55%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x203d…2b2cbacked Yes57c173.37$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.37633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-30.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76f6…21bebacked Yes29c172.41$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.411136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x211d…3ab7backed Yes29c172.41$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.41757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+34.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6fbc…bdfbbacked Yes30c166.56$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.593834.2%13 W · 25 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6a6…7971backed Yes61c164.75$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.751361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+46.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Yes30c164.08$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.0815224.3%37 W · 115 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-25.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf07a…05eabacked Yes31c161.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.29366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+59.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0ec…f7dabacked Yes60c156.65$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.85650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No66c153.1$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.7712345.5%56 W · 67 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No71c150$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.569548.9%340 W · 355 L+19.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No72c150$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10814252.1%74 W · 68 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No72c150$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10824655.7%137 W · 109 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked No72c143.91$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.629148.4%44 W · 47 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb226…e227backed No72c138.89$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0eb8…753bbacked Yes29c138.14$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.143420.6%7 W · 27 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-24.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fe3…949cbacked Yes29c137.93$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.93757.1%4 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.33per pick24cpaid+135.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed No39c137.06$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.8921835.8%78 W · 140 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked No51c129.5$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.021926.3%5 W · 14 L-3.8wins-0.20per pick46cpaid-50.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked No40c125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509431.9%30 W · 64 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick33cpaid+24.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked No35c124.55$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.115236.5%19 W · 33 L-4.4wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-27.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x01c9…4386backed Yes61c123.14$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.142646.2%12 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x90f9…e894backed No72c120$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.43050%15 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66d9…bef3backed No40c119.97$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.99250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-25.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed No72c115$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.88046.3%37 W · 43 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe214…7febbacked No55c107.92$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5930%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa53e…f9f6backed No11c106.26$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.45944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10ff…ff77backed Yes33c102.99$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6931842.1%134 W · 184 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed No72c100$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7210953.2%58 W · 51 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe013…1ddcbacked No73c100$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$731747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Yes61c100$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3913054.6%71 W · 59 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd80f…92febacked Yes30c100$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$701540%6 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick27cpaid+70.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0418…9bd3backed Yes30c100$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70825%2 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick28cpaid+4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fd3…ac03backed No71c98.59$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Yes29c98$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.54654.3%25 W · 21 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes31c98$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.9211242.9%48 W · 64 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.