Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Ferencvárosi TC vs. SC Braga end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x20d432dcfdcd5f8aafd9f41d89148863d1f182f662fcd95f8ab1ab093a673d03
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,047
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,047 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 70c | 8,758$6,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,628.8 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d11…c449backed Yes | 32c | 7,668$2,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,453.76 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…cd41backed No | 67c | 7,222$4,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,383.14 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 70cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1980…e6c4backed No | 70c | 1,782$1,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 26c | 1,133$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.8 | 218 | 35.8%78 W · 140 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 29c | 938.57$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.19 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 74c | 917.5$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.52 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 71c | 876.81$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.64 | 251 | 57%143 W · 108 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 29c | 847.71$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.84 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Yes | 33c | 757.58$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 97 | 48.5%47 W · 50 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 79c | 741.65$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.51 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef8…da63backed Yes | 29c | 708.54$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 70c | 641.56$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.47 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 30c | 636.05$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.82 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc490…6507backed Yes | 3c | 400$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x575f…d366backed Yes | 30c | 393.33$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd16a…aebabacked Yes | 29c | 393.1$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 70c | 390.27$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.28 | 382 | 47.1%180 W · 202 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed No | 73c | 387.45$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.54 | 149 | 63.1%94 W · 55 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe831…a42abacked Yes | 31c | 380$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.8 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 111 | 27%30 W · 81 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked No | 68c | 367$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.44 | 80 | 23.8%19 W · 61 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 68c | 307.41$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 71c | 299.99$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 451 | 35.9%162 W · 289 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69a6…7a2cbacked Yes | 31c | 250.31$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.7 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 71c | 204$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.67 | 351 | 58.1%204 W · 147 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes | 32c | 187.5$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9963…32e4backed Yes | 29c | 182$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.78 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 70c | 180$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b7…de43backed Yes | 32c | 150$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed No | 70c | 135.1$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.53 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…90f8backed Yes | 35c | 128.57$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbe…f9e5backed Yes | 27c | 118.52$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked No | 68c | 118.09$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.79 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…4469backed No | 74c | 102.26$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed No | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 56 | 76.8%43 W · 13 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 70cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 133 | 37.6%50 W · 83 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 26c | 96.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e30…5629backed Yes | 26c | 90$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 16c | 80.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 179 | 56.4%101 W · 78 L | +13.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 29c | 79.67$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.31 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8458…b67abacked Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a30…b094backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e78…70c7backed Yes | 29c | 68.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -41%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b64…72eabacked Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +39%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Yes | 29c | 65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 128 | 49.2%63 W · 65 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38c4…7c65backed No | 67c | 64$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 35 | 82.9%29 W · 6 L | +6.4wins | +0.18per pick | 64cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x60c2…8052backed Yes | 29c | 53.47$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 27c | 51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.83 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 71c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ee…8067backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51e5…da69backed Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed No | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 154 | 59.1%91 W · 63 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -9.5wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Yes | 31c | 47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf06…8cf9backed No | 68c | 44.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.11 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc85e…5d37backed Yes | 30c | 43.05$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2371…4d2dbacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd06b…0e9ebacked No | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 55cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea65…d27dbacked No | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 56 | 80.4%45 W · 11 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ferencvárosi TC vs. SC Braga end in a draw?this page
- Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-03-12?Yes won
- Will SC Braga win on 2026-03-12?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.