TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Clippers (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Clippersof Clippers, Timberwolves
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$529,397

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $529,397 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 265 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x37c1…c53abacked Timberwolves52c114,276$59,627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59,627.361,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Clippers47c51,923$24,414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,509.2560351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf19d…276fbacked Clippers48c47,367$22,641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,726.1723147.6%110 W · 121 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb75…aaf9backed Clippers64c45,000$28,798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,201.757759.7%46 W · 31 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed Timberwolves52c30,115$15,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,659.8229351.5%151 W · 142 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bc0…4429backed Clippers48c28,000$13,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,660.2748343.7%211 W · 272 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Timberwolves53c24,698$13,078 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,077.6228241.1%116 W · 166 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed Clippers46c18,513$8,516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,997.0830845.8%141 W · 167 L-12.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Clippers47c14,065$6,586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,479.2572648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Timberwolves52c13,994$7,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,274.64,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Timberwolves53c13,401$7,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,047.331,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked Timberwolves55c9,278$5,102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,102.0129652.7%156 W · 140 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x78ad…45ccbacked Timberwolves55c9,100$5,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,004.28361.4%51 W · 32 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Timberwolves52c9,080$4,730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,730.364,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8738…222bbacked Timberwolves53c9,000$4,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,769.9110045%45 W · 55 L-9.4wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-20%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Clippers47c8,511$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,510.571,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f09…9312backed Clippers48c7,566$3,630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,936.049547.4%45 W · 50 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Clippers48c5,636$2,705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,931.51,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Timberwolves53c5,000$2,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,649.962,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Clippers51c4,808$2,442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,366.254,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x605d…cec3backed Timberwolves53c4,729$2,503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,502.6515450.6%78 W · 76 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69ca…9ef8backed Timberwolves54c4,369$2,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,36028554.7%156 W · 129 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+0.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x76c3…4b14backed Timberwolves37c4,341$1,595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,594.782520%5 W · 20 L-4.0wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-45.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4112…5d9dbacked Timberwolves52c3,380$1,773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,773.1223348.9%114 W · 119 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Timberwolves53c3,215$1,699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,698.599,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Clippers72c3,159$2,259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$900.052,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f24…d244backed Timberwolves52c3,099$1,611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,611.48250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5dd3…e2abbacked Timberwolves52c3,091$1,607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,607.31250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8cb…8f46backed Clippers46c3,000$1,379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,621.0314448.6%70 W · 74 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x502d…d75bbacked Clippers48c2,991$1,436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,555.32250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ae5…ead2backed Timberwolves18c2,991$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5245248.1%25 W · 27 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6414…18b5backed Clippers48c2,978$1,429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,548.56250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Clippers48c2,910$1,390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,519.553,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfac4…b111backed Clippers48c2,856$1,371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,485.012100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfccf…c4a7backed Timberwolves52c2,748$1,429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,428.9620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f71…6694backed Timberwolves52c2,743$1,426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,426.36250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19c1…0b0cbacked Clippers48c2,646$1,270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,375.922100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x144f…59d9backed Clippers48c2,635$1,265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,370.2250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34c3…eb40backed Clippers48c2,624$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,364.482100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x699b…82f7backed Timberwolves52c2,533$1,317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,317.1620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaba4…1d42backed Timberwolves52c2,516$1,308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,308.3220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Timberwolves53c2,500$1,325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,32522752%118 W · 109 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Clippers50c2,364$1,179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,184.8734851.7%180 W · 168 L+1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Clippers67c2,286$1,542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$744.578,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Clippers48c2,268$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,188.652,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd83…f676backed Clippers47c2,211$1,039 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,171.832100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8717…32c2backed Timberwolves53c2,125$1,126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,126.1341553.3%221 W · 194 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Clippers60c2,057$1,239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$817.593,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc991…abd4backed Clippers48c1,995$957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,037.2548751.7%252 W · 235 L-1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8586…4561backed Clippers47c1,911$898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,012.832100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7095…0b38backed Clippers48c1,896$910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$985.92250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Timberwolves55c1,830$998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$998.4123553.6%126 W · 109 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd4e…83b8backed Clippers48c1,788$858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$929.762100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+105.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc88d…3776backed Clippers47c1,788$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$947.64250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd80e…fe67backed Timberwolves53c1,758$933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$933.3220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe26b…4ca1backed Clippers48c1,699$816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$883.482100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+106.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xabde…d41fbacked Clippers47c1,463$691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$771.2641947.7%200 W · 219 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d95…600abacked Timberwolves53c1,401$743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$742.53250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4acf…2c2cbacked Timberwolves53c1,258$667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$666.74250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Clippers63c1,218$771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.442,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x08fe…c4debacked Timberwolves53c1,195$633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$633.3520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc5ac…2a18backed Timberwolves53c1,138$603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602.917850%89 W · 89 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbde6…e8b5backed Timberwolves50c1,100$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.3710251%52 W · 50 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc51a…a0d9backed Clippers48c1,053$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551.0727455.5%152 W · 122 L+15.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Timberwolves54c1,050$567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566.8620647.6%98 W · 108 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x67d0…73a1backed Clippers48c1,012$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.22250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c9d…c92dbacked Timberwolves52c1,011$526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.7220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8ea5…713fbacked Timberwolves52c1,010$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x49ed…fe92backed Timberwolves52c1,002$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521.0420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa182…03fabacked Clippers50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5008949.4%44 W · 45 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Clippers48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52040947.7%195 W · 214 L-13.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x993b…bfd7backed Timberwolves52c999$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.48250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d38…fd9ebacked Timberwolves52c988$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513.76250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Clippers47c977.09$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.844,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02a9…642dbacked Clippers48c951.5$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.6718143.1%78 W · 103 L-12.3wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-12.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4b81…c792backed Timberwolves53c945$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.8520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa1bf…f357backed Timberwolves50c900$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45016953.3%90 W · 79 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d01…2618backed Timberwolves52c898$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.96250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf22a…1697backed Timberwolves54c892.12$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.4722846.1%105 W · 123 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35d8…02bcbacked Timberwolves53c865$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.45250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd58c…9775backed Clippers47c835$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.552100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3b46…121dbacked Clippers48c833.33$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.3331551.7%163 W · 152 L-1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe46c…8526backed Timberwolves55c706.74$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3884139%16 W · 25 L-0.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc00…79f8backed Clippers48c669$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.8815240.8%62 W · 90 L-12.1wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-19.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa1a9…4c18backed Timberwolves52c640.99$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.311241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-33.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Timberwolves25c609.31$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.0641742%175 W · 242 L-16.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-6.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Clippers64c600$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2192,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Clippers47c576.03$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.32,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Timberwolves52c540.02$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.8180653.6%432 W · 374 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9510…16dfbacked Clippers47c508.39$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.8430453.3%162 W · 142 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Timberwolves53c502.84$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26647651.7%246 W · 230 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d82…e16abacked Timberwolves53c472.59$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.34per pick48cpaid-68.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x692e…ee58backed Timberwolves26c459.38$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.1317428.2%49 W · 125 L-10.9wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-31.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2dcc…6168backed Clippers47c435$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.55250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Clippers75c428.42$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.61,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc8c…d58cbacked Clippers47c425.53$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.538043.8%35 W · 45 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Clippers47c385.18$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.8757650%288 W · 288 L+1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Timberwolves43c342.86$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.6424138.6%93 W · 148 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Clippers48c334.67$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.1189853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x59dc…2a03backed Clippers48c331.08$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.494060%24 W · 16 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+16.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.