TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Timberwolves vs. Clippers: O/U 226.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$285,604

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $285,604 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 213 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1bc0…4429backed Over49c100,000$48,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51,000.8648343.7%211 W · 272 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under51c60,705$30,958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,957.624,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf19d…276fbacked Under51c57,660$29,363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,362.5123147.6%110 W · 121 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Over49c25,000$12,249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,750.471,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under51c19,098$9,716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,716.419,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Over50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,00043148.7%210 W · 221 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over49c9,330$4,574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,756.234,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb75…aaf9backed Under51c7,718$3,936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,936.167759.7%46 W · 31 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00021653.7%116 W · 100 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x705f…f5e7backed Over49c2,998$1,469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,528.98250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe160…37b0backed Under49c2,991$1,466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,465.59250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbff6…ab82backed Under51c2,954$1,507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,506.5420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaed3…e855backed Over51c2,953$1,507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,446.48250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ea…0d39backed Over49c2,943$1,442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,500.932100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x111e…8674backed Over51c2,935$1,497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,438.15250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ca4…7193backed Under51c2,933$1,496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,495.83250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52bf…6f75backed Over49c2,932$1,437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,495.322100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+106.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d95…600abacked Over49c2,896$1,419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,476.96250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe304…70abbacked Under51c2,876$1,467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,466.76250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0717…7dabbacked Under51c2,865$1,461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,461.15250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ff0…1dbabacked Over51c2,860$1,459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,401.4250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2071…8a3ebacked Over49c2,856$1,399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,456.562100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb83…8c5fbacked Under49c2,835$1,389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,389.15250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f21…b31dbacked Under50c2,829$1,415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,414.5425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-51%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x64c1…1e9cbacked Under51c2,824$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,440.24250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3836…3a6cbacked Over51c2,823$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,383.272100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+94.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd83…f676backed Over49c2,821$1,382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,438.712100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa754…87b3backed Over49c2,810$1,377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,433.12100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+98.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x12e9…5bc5backed Over49c2,789$1,367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,422.392100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+106.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf784…40c6backed Under51c2,789$1,422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,422.39250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x271a…71d0backed Under51c2,776$1,416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,415.7620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xce00…8dfdbacked Over49c2,765$1,355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,410.15250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b81…c792backed Under51c2,762$1,409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,408.6220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6bf7…9ce3backed Under49c2,754$1,349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,349.46250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2916…df2abacked Under51c2,754$1,405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,404.5420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x35d8…02bcbacked Over49c2,750$1,348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,402.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94b6…d2c8backed Under51c2,732$1,393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,393.32250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f58…c96cbacked Under49c2,703$1,324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,324.4720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf0eb…6719backed Under51c2,701$1,378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,377.5120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x474c…17e7backed Under49c2,692$1,319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,319.0820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd114…1160backed Over49c2,687$1,317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,369.622100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+106.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc376…db2abacked Under49c2,681$1,314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,313.6920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe3b1…0d3cbacked Under51c2,669$1,361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,361.1920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf6e9…a5e7backed Under51c2,658$1,356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,355.58250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2dcc…6168backed Under51c2,657$1,355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,355.07250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x846e…8db8backed Under51c2,643$1,348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,347.9320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc88d…3776backed Under51c2,635$1,344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,343.85250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a25…79d4backed Under51c2,622$1,337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,337.2220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf09d…b07bbacked Over51c2,617$1,335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,282.332100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+94.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd80e…fe67backed Under51c2,616$1,334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,334.1620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x45b8…1e0ebacked Over49c2,602$1,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,327.02250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9f5…7c76backed Over49c2,591$1,270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,321.41250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d33…f2afbacked Over49c2,589$1,269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,320.392100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b2d…7046backed Over49c2,578$1,263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,314.782100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb9e5…b6b6backed Over49c2,567$1,258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,309.172100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xedc7…cabbbacked Over49c2,556$1,252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,303.56250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb92…3c70backed Over49c2,545$1,247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,297.952100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+106.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x08fe…c4debacked Under51c2,544$1,297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,297.4420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b77…5c66backed Over49c2,534$1,242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,292.34250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8586…4561backed Over49c2,523$1,236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,286.732100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4acf…2c2cbacked Over49c2,512$1,231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,281.12250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd58c…9775backed Over49c2,501$1,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,275.512100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f7f…5a7fbacked Over51c2,500$1,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2252100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+94.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c17…d23cbacked Under51c2,469$1,259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,259.1920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa76c…b514backed Under51c2,469$1,259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,259.1920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7a0…85d9backed Under51c2,397$1,222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,222.3920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x57b1…4b99backed Over50c2,000$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,001.0310847.2%51 W · 57 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over50c1,916$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$965.91,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under50c1,864$932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9321,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed Over51c1,686$860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$826.1429351.5%151 W · 142 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Under51c1,655$844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$844.0126637.2%99 W · 167 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4112…5d9dbacked Over49c1,648$809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$838.7623348.9%114 W · 119 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f66…2ee3backed Under51c1,448$738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$738.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under49c1,326$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649.792,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xea22…8a71backed Over50c1,228$614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$614475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+53.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7412…85d0backed Over51c1,152$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.6726544.9%119 W · 146 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae03…04aabacked Under51c1,132$577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over49c1,114$544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.723,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under51c1,074$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544.26,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf22a…1697backed Over49c999.98$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.0322846.1%105 W · 123 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41a8…cef8backed Over50c986$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+51.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x02a9…642dbacked Under52c942.6$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.1418143.1%78 W · 103 L-12.3wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-12.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over50c800$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40084342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over50c647$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.712,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99a7…87b6backed Under51c627.33$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.985050%25 W · 25 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1276…eb59backed Over50c615$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.5425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa793…2bb7backed Under50c601.12$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002466.7%16 W · 8 L+3.7wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+30.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x53cd…f23ebacked Over50c546.38$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.7443544.6%194 W · 241 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over47c505.68$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.622,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked Under51c500$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25535849.7%178 W · 180 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24a5…5d07backed Under51c499.99$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.495156.9%29 W · 22 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+21.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd829…d60ebacked Under52c424.5$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.74425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-49%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x97fd…9f4fbacked Under50c405.45$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95a2…0ed9backed Over51c404.2$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53f1…9800backed Under50c400.97$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.1910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd94c…3c88backed Over51c400.14$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5ac…2a18backed Over50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20017850%89 W · 89 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc00…79f8backed Under52c390$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.815240.8%62 W · 90 L-12.1wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-19.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over50c370.03$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.022,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under49c369$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.28,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.