NBA · resolved market
Timberwolves vs. Clippers: O/U 227.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe7620f5a696d384b1efbc23eee3bdcf3447b93fcc89470d91cd3ab74fe26d4fb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,724
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,724 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0e4a…311cbacked Over | 48c | 10,417$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,416.82 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 53c | 7,000$3,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,709.58 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Under | 54c | 4,570$2,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,467.8 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 47c | 4,539$2,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,420.97 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…3653backed Under | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0940…3640backed Over | 47c | 1,882$884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.59 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Under | 53c | 1,376$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.03 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed Under | 52c | 1,070$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.4 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…0127backed Over | 48c | 1,050$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.07 | 221 | 43%95 W · 126 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97d3…8acebacked Under | 52c | 963.91$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4112…5d9dbacked Under | 53c | 871.37$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.21 | 233 | 48.9%114 W · 119 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18b2…9141backed Under | 63c | 870.62$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.52 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 37c | 846.29$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.17 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 46c | 805.45$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.4 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 52c | 528.69$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.2 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 47c | 445.93$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.78 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd73c…21f2backed Under | 53c | 435$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.55 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6597…895dbacked Over | 47c | 435$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.55 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 49c | 409.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.21 | 603 | 46.4%280 W · 323 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Over | 47c | 387.97$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.01 | 584 | 50.2%293 W · 291 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 52c | 337.29$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.59 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Over | 49c | 308.79$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.63 | 241 | 38.6%93 W · 148 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Under | 52c | 307.69$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 521 | 46.6%243 W · 278 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Under | 52c | 301.33$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.4 | 266 | 37.2%99 W · 167 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 48c | 300.01$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.13 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Over | 47c | 223.99$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.7 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 434 | 47.5%206 W · 228 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 52c | 185.45$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.37 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cc…3132backed Over | 47c | 173$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.86 | 112 | 29.5%33 W · 79 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc155…e36bbacked Over | 48c | 125$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 48c | 104.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.16 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02ab…cda4backed Under | 54c | 102.04$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 44c | 101.58$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.68 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.9 | 596 | 50.3%300 W · 296 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf60…79c5backed Over | 47c | 96.12$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.96 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Under | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Over | 46c | 89$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.06 | 239 | 46.4%111 W · 128 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 57c | 86$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.88 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Under | 54c | 85.92$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.3 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Over | 47c | 53.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.3 | 931 | 45.8%426 W · 505 L | -25.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 47c | 51.89$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 410 | 52%213 W · 197 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Under | 52c | 48.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.36 | 648 | 44.8%290 W · 358 L | -32.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Under | 52c | 47.1$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.44 | 525 | 52%273 W · 252 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1698…adbdbacked Under | 52c | 44.23$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec15…9b0cbacked Under | 54c | 44.04$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.74 | 285 | 36.8%105 W · 180 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabae…d62dbacked Under | 52c | 44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.84 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3437…1e5ebacked Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 134 | 47%63 W · 71 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8044…358ebacked Under | 52c | 39.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 549 | 51.9%285 W · 264 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 47c | 38$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.14 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x258b…270ebacked Under | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 177 | 48%85 W · 92 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Over | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc3…1e73backed Under | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb578…21bcbacked Under | 52c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb760…0be8backed Under | 52c | 28.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f1…d87bbacked Over | 47c | 27.44$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.54 | 157 | 52.2%82 W · 75 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…5453backed Under | 53c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3868…74f9backed Under | 53c | 24.57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 47c | 23.43$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 47c | 22.7$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.05 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Under | 53c | 22.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc98…b7f4backed Under | 53c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fae…0be6backed Over | 50c | 21.26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.73 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…08bbbacked Under | 53c | 21.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x117d…6542backed Under | 53c | 20.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd44d…389dbacked Under | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2d…7e16backed Under | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f02…f85fbacked Under | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Timberwolves vs. Clippers: O/U 227.5this page
- 1H Spread: Clippers (-0.5)Clippers won
- 1H Spread: Clippers (-1.5)Clippers won
- Anthony Edwards: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 27.5Yes won
- Ayo Dosunmu: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Derrick Jones Jr.: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Derrick Jones Jr.: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Julius Randle: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Julius Randle: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Kawhi Leonard: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- Kawhi Leonard: Points O/U 27.5Yes won
- Kawhi Leonard: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Kris Dunn: Points O/U 6.5No won
- Spread: Clippers (-1.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Clippers (-2.5)Clippers won
- Timberwolves vs. ClippersClippers won
- Timberwolves vs. Clippers: 1H MoneylineClippers won
- Timberwolves vs. Clippers: O/U 225.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Clippers: O/U 226.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.