NBA · resolved market
Timberwolves vs. Clippers: O/U 225.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x29c6c52fb843ec6a385d987ef226d96f994441eed6741d7f07a40af13b88dc26
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $183,782
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $183,782 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Over | 52c | 100,000$51,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,000.73 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 48c | 43,864$21,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,084.66 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 23,811$11,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,423.51 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Under | 48c | 15,447$7,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,414.79 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…311cbacked Under | 48c | 10,417$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000.15 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Under | 48c | 10,104$4,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,849.99 | 524 | 60.1%315 W · 209 L | +35.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Under | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32c3…f531backed Under | 49c | 6,100$2,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,989 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 52c | 5,823$3,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,795.04 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…06f8backed Over | 51c | 3,800$1,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,862 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 52c | 3,487$1,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,685.53 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 48c | 3,135$1,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,514.34 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 48c | 3,125$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 52c | 2,885$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,384.62 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 52c | 2,394$1,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,158 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 48c | 2,380$1,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,138.68 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b90…0880backed Over | 51c | 2,300$1,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…976abacked Over | 67c | 1,782$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.62 | 209 | 63.2%132 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked Under | 49c | 1,755$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.93 | 231 | 47.6%110 W · 121 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca5…73bcbacked Over | 53c | 1,278$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.35 | 404 | 51.5%208 W · 196 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Over | 51c | 1,268$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.34 | 293 | 51.5%151 W · 142 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 48c | 1,167$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.16 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Over | 52c | 1,101$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.48 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Over | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.54 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ac…2a18backed Over | 52c | 924$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.64 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4112…5d9dbacked Under | 48c | 903.73$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.18 | 233 | 48.9%114 W · 119 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 35c | 887.79$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 48c | 748.08$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.08 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6eb…5402backed Over | 52c | 574.44$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.44 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Over | 52c | 566.04$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.46 | 241 | 38.6%93 W · 148 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Over | 52c | 520.64$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.36 | 762 | 50.4%384 W · 378 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…f23ebacked Over | 53c | 499.99$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.92 | 435 | 44.6%194 W · 241 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Under | 48c | 470.61$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.89 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf22a…1697backed Over | 51c | 426.67$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.64 | 228 | 46.1%105 W · 123 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Over | 55c | 391.82$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.52 | 389 | 42.9%167 W · 222 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 53c | 389.9$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.31 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbeaa…82b0backed Under | 48c | 385$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02a9…642dbacked Under | 50c | 364.14$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.08 | 181 | 43.1%78 W · 103 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0130…37e7backed Over | 51c | 347.13$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec4…12cabacked Over | 51c | 343.88$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad49…61f4backed Under | 49c | 336$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0032…fef9backed Under | 48c | 329$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8a…f035backed Under | 49c | 326$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x404d…f8f4backed Under | 49c | 320$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff19…877dbacked Over | 51c | 318.77$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6411…6355backed Over | 51c | 314.87$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c62…5a4ebacked Under | 49c | 314$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Under | 48c | 292.35$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.3 | 281 | 47.7%134 W · 147 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e38…59dbbacked Over | 51c | 285.41$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x916e…f83ebacked Under | 49c | 284$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1200…b626backed Under | 48c | 283$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over | 52c | 279.82$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.17 | 348 | 51.7%180 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf83…2da7backed Over | 53c | 275$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.52 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0174…2008backed Under | 49c | 271$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9a…4d75backed Under | 49c | 270.98$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7ffbacked Over | 51c | 259.11$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a4…8b10backed Under | 49c | 252$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3348…c9f4backed Over | 52c | 247$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe35d…0fa9backed Over | 51c | 241.12$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb70c…3aa1backed Over | 51c | 236.21$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6694…2bd4backed Over | 51c | 234.58$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ac…bc1bbacked Over | 52c | 228$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce07…c79fbacked Over | 52c | 223$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4151…596cbacked Over | 52c | 216$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92c0…7f4abacked Under | 49c | 214$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 58c | 210.25$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.5 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7529…313cbacked Over | 51c | 206.89$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68d3…7c77backed Under | 48c | 205$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Under | 49c | 203$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.38 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed Under | 49c | 200$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.33 | 258 | 46.9%121 W · 137 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d57…2b4ebacked Over | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.2 | 539 | 45.3%244 W · 295 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21b2…fa59backed Under | 49c | 199.99$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefb9…e74fbacked Under | 48c | 197.98$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.73 | 140 | 46.4%65 W · 75 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 52c | 196.06$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.62 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 70c | 171.04$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.79 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c17…0458backed Over | 52c | 156.04$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.9 | 171 | 53.2%91 W · 80 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 54c | 150$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 428 | 53%227 W · 201 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44cb…8289backed Over | 52c | 146$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 27cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Over | 73c | 145.04$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.54 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53c4…a89fbacked Over | 52c | 142$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 65c | 129.57$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.2 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b27…7d50backed Over | 52c | 127.42$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf60…79c5backed Under | 47c | 118.52$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.7 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x599b…2253backed Over | 53c | 113.42$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.42 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc20a…9787backed Under | 49c | 111.35$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.45 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c36…9433backed Over | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.11 | 156 | 41.7%65 W · 91 L | -13.9wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca32…47f0backed Over | 53c | 106.71$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.26 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcc…031ebacked Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.9 | 233 | 49.4%115 W · 118 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed Over | 52c | 99.99$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 628 | 44.9%282 W · 346 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Over | 51c | 99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.02 | 161 | 41.6%67 W · 94 L | -11.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Over | 52c | 96.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.34 | 660 | 46.4%306 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1779…eef2backed Over | 52c | 96.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.34 | 109 | 36.7%40 W · 69 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f1…d87bbacked Under | 48c | 93.85$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.63 | 157 | 52.2%82 W · 75 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb87…4611backed Over | 52c | 93.68$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.06 | 121 | 51.2%62 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Under | 49c | 88.88$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.55 | 765 | 52.9%405 W · 360 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d1…c15ebacked Over | 53c | 87.52$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.22 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over | 52c | 87.35$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.93 | 1,003 | 51%512 W · 491 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 48c | 84.96$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.68 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03e6…24e6backed Over | 53c | 83.21$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.27 | 98 | 41.8%41 W · 57 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Timberwolves vs. Clippers: O/U 225.5this page
- 1H Spread: Clippers (-0.5)Clippers won
- 1H Spread: Clippers (-1.5)Clippers won
- Anthony Edwards: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 27.5Yes won
- Ayo Dosunmu: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Derrick Jones Jr.: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Derrick Jones Jr.: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Julius Randle: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Julius Randle: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Kawhi Leonard: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- Kawhi Leonard: Points O/U 27.5Yes won
- Kawhi Leonard: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Kris Dunn: Points O/U 6.5No won
- Spread: Clippers (-1.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Clippers (-2.5)Clippers won
- Timberwolves vs. ClippersClippers won
- Timberwolves vs. Clippers: 1H MoneylineClippers won
- Timberwolves vs. Clippers: O/U 226.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Clippers: O/U 227.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.