NBA · resolved market
Spread: Clippers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4e952966887c59895d1882178a2fa72e85dd582438fb59a2719bbbeab10c64d4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Clippersof Clippers, Timberwolves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $370,043
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $370,043 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 163 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Clippers | 51c | 164,175$83,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80,671.08 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Timberwolves | 48c | 69,560$33,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,673.84 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Timberwolves | 48c | 29,879$14,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,341.73 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 28,462$13,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,982.93 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Clippers | 50c | 24,949$12,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,416.93 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Timberwolves | 49c | 20,200$9,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,898 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Clippers | 50c | 19,843$9,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,963.4 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6b…23ecbacked Timberwolves | 51c | 19,526$9,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,958.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Clippers | 52c | 17,308$9,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,307.84 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…1fb9backed Timberwolves | 49c | 16,772$8,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,218.2 | 316 | 43.4%137 W · 179 L | -18.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08fc…083ebacked Timberwolves | 51c | 13,209$6,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,736.37 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Timberwolves | 49c | 12,638$6,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,185.47 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Clippers | 52c | 10,000$5,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,801.93 | 375 | 39.5%148 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 8,309$4,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,097.33 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Timberwolves | 51c | 7,151$3,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,646 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Timberwolves | 50c | 7,128$3,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,563.92 | 175 | 54.9%96 W · 79 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Clippers | 52c | 6,500$3,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,123.73 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked Clippers | 50c | 5,400$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,699.92 | 442 | 52.3%231 W · 211 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Timberwolves | 48c | 5,167$2,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500.56 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,449.99 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed Timberwolves | 51c | 4,903$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 187 | 49.2%92 W · 95 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78bb…591fbacked Timberwolves | 51c | 4,824$2,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,460.2 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…f708backed Timberwolves | 51c | 4,558$2,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,302 | 194 | 45.4%88 W · 106 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Clippers | 50c | 4,192$2,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,095.96 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8861…4c2ebacked Clippers | 52c | 4,045$2,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,941.7 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Timberwolves | 49c | 3,982$1,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,954.92 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabde…d41fbacked Clippers | 51c | 3,745$1,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,820.87 | 419 | 47.7%200 W · 219 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…a0d9backed Clippers | 51c | 3,337$1,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,627.58 | 274 | 55.5%152 W · 122 L | +15.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Clippers | 51c | 3,231$1,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,583.19 | 377 | 47.5%179 W · 198 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Timberwolves | 50c | 3,001$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed Clippers | 50c | 3,000$1,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,486.17 | 144 | 48.6%70 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Clippers | 51c | 2,941$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,441.2 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed Timberwolves | 49c | 2,748$1,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,346.52 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4112…5d9dbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 2,613$1,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,267.89 | 233 | 48.9%114 W · 119 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Timberwolves | 51c | 2,573$1,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,311.63 | 259 | 51.4%133 W · 126 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97d3…8acebacked Timberwolves | 51c | 2,397$1,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,218 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed Timberwolves | 51c | 2,343$1,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,194.72 | 171 | 44.4%76 W · 95 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Timberwolves | 51c | 2,269$1,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,157 | 348 | 54%188 W · 160 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Timberwolves | 49c | 1,808$878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$878.21 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8df3…0fb5backed Clippers | 50c | 1,800$899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901.08 | 80 | 57.5%46 W · 34 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked Timberwolves | 51c | 1,799$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$914.5 | 175 | 50.9%89 W · 86 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Clippers | 69c | 1,754$1,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.65 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9510…16dfbacked Clippers | 51c | 1,605$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.87 | 304 | 53.3%162 W · 142 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Timberwolves | 48c | 1,538$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.27 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Timberwolves | 48c | 1,447$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.44 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Timberwolves | 48c | 1,432$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.36 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Timberwolves | 51c | 1,310$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667 | 389 | 46%179 W · 210 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59dc…2a03backed Clippers | 51c | 1,219$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.63 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Clippers | 51c | 1,148$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.61 | 487 | 51.7%252 W · 235 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Timberwolves | 49c | 1,022$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 361 | 43.5%157 W · 204 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6f…014ebacked Timberwolves | 51c | 1,021$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.68 | 183 | 45.4%83 W · 100 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf05d…ac5ebacked Clippers | 51c | 981.58$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.58 | 251 | 55%138 W · 113 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Clippers | 51c | 976.86$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.86 | 576 | 50%288 W · 288 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe393…f016backed Clippers | 52c | 770.71$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.71 | 140 | 59.3%83 W · 57 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e0…d084backed Clippers | 51c | 712.8$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.8 | 224 | 47.8%107 W · 117 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Timberwolves | 49c | 690$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.41 | 544 | 43%234 W · 310 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57e5…e51ebacked Clippers | 52c | 675$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.67 | 333 | 60.4%201 W · 132 L | +17.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…c3b9backed Clippers | 51c | 652.28$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.2 | 313 | 54.6%171 W · 142 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Clippers | 50c | 600.61$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.61 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 600$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.4 | 493 | 45.2%223 W · 270 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f43…c0c2backed Clippers | 53c | 600$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.39 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Clippers | 51c | 594.06$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.19 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Clippers | 51c | 591.2$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.56 | 267 | 56.2%150 W · 117 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…ebf6backed Clippers | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4630…1968backed Clippers | 51c | 477.87$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.56 | 126 | 50%63 W · 63 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Clippers | 52c | 452.68$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.78 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd829…d60ebacked Timberwolves | 49c | 451.94$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -49%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd8…9908backed Clippers | 51c | 383.7$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.16 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1bf…f357backed Timberwolves | 50c | 370$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 169 | 53.3%90 W · 79 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9325…adafbacked Clippers | 50c | 350.7$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.7 | 117 | 54.7%64 W · 53 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Clippers | 50c | 305.78$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.89 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdae4…f1fcbacked Clippers | 51c | 296.37$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.37 | 190 | 54.7%104 W · 86 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa028…0031backed Clippers | 51c | 276.57$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.45 | 306 | 54.6%167 W · 139 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Timberwolves | 49c | 245.18$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.89 | 558 | 46.8%261 W · 297 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Timberwolves | 47c | 241.49$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.73 | 378 | 42.9%162 W · 216 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…3a5bbacked Clippers | 50c | 233.29$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.78 | 140 | 53.6%75 W · 65 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51e6…80d2backed Clippers | 52c | 210$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.01 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 207$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.22 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e55…be6fbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 204.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc155…e36bbacked Clippers | 50c | 204.38$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.98 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe23…e72bbacked Clippers | 50c | 201$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.65 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…5992backed Timberwolves | 50c | 200.4$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 378 | 52.9%200 W · 178 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Timberwolves | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Clippers | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.2 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Clippers | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.2 | 661 | 53.3%352 W · 309 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Clippers | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.2 | 619 | 57.5%356 W · 263 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa5…01b3backed Timberwolves | 51c | 196.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbecc…f560backed Clippers | 51c | 193.19$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.43 | 251 | 53.8%135 W · 116 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…62cbbacked Clippers | 51c | 193.08$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.87 | 196 | 59.7%117 W · 79 L | +17.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x93f1…b99dbacked Clippers | 52c | 191.79$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.06 | 144 | 66%95 W · 49 L | +17.1wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x71b1…29abbacked Clippers | 52c | 187.64$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.07 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.34per pick | 53cpaid | +65%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3e4a…7045backed Clippers | 51c | 178.01$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.65 | 227 | 48.9%111 W · 116 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Timberwolves | 50c | 176.26$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.64 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9094…dcabbacked Clippers | 50c | 164.16$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.16 | 236 | 55.5%131 W · 105 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8d…d46cbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 158.74$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.62 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Clippers | 53c | 149.98$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.49 | 253 | 40.3%102 W · 151 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94c4…2a41backed Clippers | 51c | 140.48$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.41 | 229 | 53.3%122 W · 107 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Timberwolves | 38c | 139.44$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.52 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Timberwolves | 50c | 139.09$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 660 | 46.4%306 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf028…c587backed Timberwolves | 49c | 137.53$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.25 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Clippers (-1.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Clippers (-0.5)Clippers won
- 1H Spread: Clippers (-1.5)Clippers won
- Anthony Edwards: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 27.5Yes won
- Ayo Dosunmu: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Derrick Jones Jr.: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Derrick Jones Jr.: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Julius Randle: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Julius Randle: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Kawhi Leonard: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- Kawhi Leonard: Points O/U 27.5Yes won
- Kawhi Leonard: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Kris Dunn: Points O/U 6.5No won
- Spread: Clippers (-2.5)Clippers won
- Timberwolves vs. ClippersClippers won
- Timberwolves vs. Clippers: 1H MoneylineClippers won
- Timberwolves vs. Clippers: O/U 225.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Clippers: O/U 226.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Clippers: O/U 227.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.