TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf028…c587

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
29
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Ligue 1, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Ligue 1 at 53 out of 100; worst NHL at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rockets vs. Sunsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,285Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$1,234.63
Spread: Clippers (-1.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.25
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+39.1%+$40.25
Celtics vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.14
Spread: Knicks (-3.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+100%+$12.43
Mavericks vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+42.9%+$6.04
Pistons vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$13.57
Spread: Raptors (-8.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+88.7%+$17.02
Pacers vs. Bucksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$14.12
Pelicans vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+38.9%+$39
All 10 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-32.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.16
Ducks vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.75
Senators vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$65.91
Avalanche vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$15.69
Penguins vs. Sabresbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+122.2%+$14.44
Capitals vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+81.8%+$83.89
All 6 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Everton FC win on 2026-02-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$114.98
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+75.4%+$11.9
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.76per pick24cpaid+316.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique de Marseille vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+316.7%+$48.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Australian Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+100%+$67.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Top Esports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,345Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$724.07
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-02-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+47.1%+$5.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Santos Laguna vs. Mazatlán FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+33.3%+$4.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+31.8%+$17.81
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$280
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.2
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.