TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$97,899
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$129,695

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,899 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 218 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under58c25,890$14,965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,965.46,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Over31c17,500$5,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,000.8123926.4%63 W · 176 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8bd8…f306backed Under41c7,000$2,870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,869.956248.4%30 W · 32 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Over62c4,000$2,492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,508.738939.3%35 W · 54 L-7.3wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-23.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4d3a…64b7backed Over58c2,999$1,739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,259.583452.9%18 W · 16 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+32.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under41c2,949$1,223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,223.32,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Over59c2,630$1,552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,078.2445936.2%166 W · 293 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Under39c2,500$975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97515952.2%83 W · 76 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under47c2,459$1,168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,167.542,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x422c…9840backed Over57c2,200$1,254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9464938.8%19 W · 30 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x050d…2f13backed Over59c1,695$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694.92560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under41c1,160$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.8352454.2%284 W · 240 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf21…be19backed Over61c1,000$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3905349.1%26 W · 27 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2d01…27cbbacked Over56c961.29$538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.788343.4%36 W · 47 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+21.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbd38…50c3backed Over58c947.07$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.072147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4844…32c9backed Over59c847.46$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.467847.4%37 W · 41 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Over60c816.67$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.6726344.9%118 W · 145 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Under46c800$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3689134.1%31 W · 60 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf42d…b35cbacked Over40c756.18$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.184738.3%18 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x57b9…e9b4backed Under41c688.1$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2801250%6 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under39c619$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.4172249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1ef…9fadbacked Over68c616.43$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.264355.8%24 W · 19 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid+18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Over51c590.2$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.219826.3%52 W · 146 L-14.0wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-22.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under61c543.43$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.271,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94d8…8835backed Over59c508.49$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.485752.6%30 W · 27 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06a0…5804backed Over50c502.12$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.064341.9%18 W · 25 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-9.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x25ab…6321backed Over40c500$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3004822.9%11 W · 37 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-20.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc274…6d59backed Over61c491.8$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.86144.3%27 W · 34 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under41c487.8$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20027748.7%135 W · 142 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80d2…a62dbacked Over59c450.85$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.85683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick61cpaid+38.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x43a1…2425backed Under39c443.97$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.1512324.4%30 W · 93 L-9.6wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-28.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa362…dff2backed Over59c423.73$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.73560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+22.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under48c422.93$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.924,76841.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85a1…a640backed Over57c370$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.12454.2%13 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa72e…3db9backed Over57c350.88$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.882948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc90e…7420backed Under44c345.55$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa34…b452backed Over57c337.77$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Under42c334.98$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.696150.8%31 W · 30 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Over61c327.87$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.8727955.9%156 W · 123 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb6b…b0b9backed Over68c325$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1043868.4%26 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x32fd…625fbacked Under63c317.46$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0e6…84a8backed Over56c314.81$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.528851.1%45 W · 43 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1110…0123backed Over59c311.02$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.526553.8%35 W · 30 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-4.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd179…74adbacked Under43c299.99$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1292254.5%12 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked Over59c298.78$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.7619853%105 W · 93 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa445…6711backed Over60c273.77$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.514850%24 W · 24 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over56c267.86$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.868950.6%45 W · 44 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd76…b935backed Over46c260$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1401741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab8b…87acbacked Over61c250$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.55650%28 W · 28 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde7a…737bbacked Under42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x79b6…612ebacked Over70c229.53$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.862152.4%11 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Over60c222$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.839561.3%242 W · 153 L-21.3wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-7.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under42c221.43$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.2215347.1%72 W · 81 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under35c219.56$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.911,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under43c204.32$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.3896645.4%439 W · 527 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa740…ee18backed Over59c200$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$821442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a40…afaabacked Over57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$869444.7%42 W · 52 L-7.2wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-17.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0082…e801backed Over52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.314463.6%28 W · 16 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+13.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Over54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.199244.6%41 W · 51 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Over59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.497851.3%40 W · 38 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Under47c165.98$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.7221049%103 W · 107 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over58c165.29$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.112,55847.7%1,221 W · 1,337 L+44.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08ba…2a30backed Over61c165$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.3514166.7%94 W · 47 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x602e…e237backed Over68c162.5$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick61cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fc9…58c7backed Over47c141.17$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.41450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under54c134.37$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.861,93842.5%823 W · 1,115 L-41.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f97…a9b3backed Under48c127.78$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.72035%7 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over55c126.27$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.2755955.1%308 W · 251 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over55c120$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.537958%220 W · 159 L+24.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under41c115$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.696443.7%421 W · 543 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x711a…9240backed Over51c112.3$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.614839.6%19 W · 29 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1351…bebcbacked Under42c110.38$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.365038%19 W · 31 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-10.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over58c109.81$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.2881559%481 W · 334 L+32.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d20…1f58backed Over57c108.96$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.851450%7 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-28.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcfe6…49f8backed Over59c101.69$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.6914551.7%75 W · 70 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f03…dc32backed Over48c100.37$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.374327.9%12 W · 31 L-5.1wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-38.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x3477…ea61backed Over61c100$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf830…c2dbbacked Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505147.1%24 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3279…a922backed Over49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514854.2%26 W · 22 L+4.4wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+24.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Under38c98.39$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.3914128.4%40 W · 101 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-30.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Over56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.294951%25 W · 24 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd252…2fa7backed Over57c87.72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.721145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0cf2…6373backed Under45c87.2$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.24728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick52cpaid-45.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Under42c87$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.5445751.2%234 W · 223 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd066…9eecbacked Over59c84.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.7512945.7%59 W · 70 L-9.3wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-11.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5b10…edb9backed Over59c84.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.751442.9%6 W · 8 L-3.2wins-0.23per pick66cpaid-34.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb18c…df51backed Over59c84.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.7511053.6%59 W · 51 L+11.1wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+17.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb31b…edcabacked Over59c84.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.7517048.8%83 W · 87 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+15.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf94b…94a7backed Over48c83.33$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.331457.1%8 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a52…06cbbacked Over62c80.65$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.651957.9%11 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Under49c80$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3928246.1%130 W · 152 L-12.2wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under43c76.13$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.061,63652.9%866 W · 770 L+32.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb581…1b9cbacked Over59c71.19$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.195964.4%38 W · 21 L+5.7wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+19.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xff6b…8a9ebacked Over57c70.18$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.186527.7%18 W · 47 L-6.9wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-45.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Under40c69$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.341,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over51c68.63$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.6316731.7%53 W · 114 L-18.5wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-26.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xfd9f…5a30backed Over60c67.57$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.03837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-33.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Over60c66.67$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.6725057.6%144 W · 106 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Under41c59.33$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.211,26433.7%426 W · 838 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Under38c57.54$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.8611443.9%50 W · 64 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.