TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$58,350
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$56,967

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,350 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x22f7…b205backed Over62c8,500$5,268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,267.75250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under44c4,062$1,805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,256.954,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Over30c3,332$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.6523926.4%63 W · 176 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under44c3,175$1,393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,782.722,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under62c2,179$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$829.26,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Over36c2,100$753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752.989055.6%50 W · 40 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Over11c1,915$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.636520%13 W · 52 L+5.8wins+0.09per pick11cpaid+165.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under64c1,756$1,117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$638.652,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa128…8d4bbacked Over58c1,728$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002070%14 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick69cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08ba…2a30backed Under69c1,358$937 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.9814166.7%94 W · 47 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over36c1,334$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.531,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b3c…0de9backed Under64c1,300$832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4685154.9%28 W · 23 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x219e…14d9backed Under67c1,200$804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39613565.2%88 W · 47 L-0.3wins0.00per pick65cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Over36c1,070$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.7214128.4%40 W · 101 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-30.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed Over36c1,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3603231.3%10 W · 22 L-4.1wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-29.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x197b…818ebacked Under66c999$659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.664854.2%26 W · 22 L-0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under61c992.31$605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38785048.4%411 W · 439 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x74e0…af4bbacked Over37c950.41$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.6519426.3%51 W · 143 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick24cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1ef…9fadbacked Over68c902.59$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$610.254355.8%24 W · 19 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid+18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6084…e875backed Under63c759.73$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.1580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+29.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Under73c748$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.9645751.2%234 W · 223 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf42d…b35cbacked Over53c697.2$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3704738.3%18 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x21bf…3a84backed Under73c684.93$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.932100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8afe…aec0backed Over48c621.71$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe95…1c9fbacked Over17c595$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-31.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0775…eca8backed Over36c555.56$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20017428.2%49 W · 125 L-11.3wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-19.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Over38c526.32$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20019826.3%52 W · 146 L-14.0wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-22.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under56c515.57$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.121,93442.4%820 W · 1,114 L-43.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2bdf…56f5backed Over39c512.82$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006041.7%25 W · 35 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid+6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0d7…f9fabacked Over39c466.51$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.811846.6%55 W · 63 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under75c448.42$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.8374156.8%421 W · 320 L+46.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa445…6711backed Over65c416.96$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.024850%24 W · 24 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Under65c400$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1406150.8%31 W · 30 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d24…9661backed Over56c357.14$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.16per pick59cpaid-31.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under59c344.92$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.9343241.9%181 W · 251 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over21c332$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.1635134.8%122 W · 229 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31d8…a9cebacked Over39c320$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.84129.3%12 W · 29 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick24cpaid+39%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under64c312.5$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.527748.7%135 W · 142 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49ba…7f3cbacked Under73c259$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.77742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-30.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked Over35c255.64$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.619853%105 W · 93 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f2b…d743backed Over47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007233.3%24 W · 48 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Under51c211.76$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.5821049%103 W · 107 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x03dc…132abacked Over52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1047129.6%21 W · 50 L-12.8wins-0.18per pick48cpaid-38.9%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Over52c199.99$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.9915740.8%64 W · 93 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Over37c193.76$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.6923435.9%84 W · 150 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a76…b30fbacked Over56c180.36$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1016437.5%24 W · 40 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-4.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd8b2…c24ebacked Over55c180$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9919259.4%114 W · 78 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22b9…0a0dbacked Under46c177.67$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.01633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-33.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f19…f012backed Under70c177.16$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.152867.9%19 W · 9 L+3.0wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+19%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf830…c2dbbacked Over57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005147.1%24 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8996…15efbacked Over35c175.35$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.619627.1%26 W · 70 L-8.7wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-37.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2e27…9967backed Over59c165.02$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.362657.7%15 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick65cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ee7…0ba8backed Under61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.936743.3%29 W · 38 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-18%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Under61c150$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.511443.9%50 W · 64 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over51c147.06$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7535347.6%168 W · 185 L-15.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over68c147.06$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020864.9%135 W · 73 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3146…34a4backed Over67c144.93$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick66cpaid-58.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Over40c142$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.2611549.6%57 W · 58 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over66c139.48$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.3425550.2%128 W · 127 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d73…be4fbacked Over38c131.58$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5022244.1%98 W · 124 L+19.0wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+36.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over31c125.63$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.518648.8%42 W · 44 L+6.5wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Over32c121.96$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.0345936.2%166 W · 293 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Under72c114.37$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.3813760.6%83 W · 54 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over35c110$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.481559%481 W · 334 L+32.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over29c109.98$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.737958%220 W · 159 L+24.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Over37c108.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4035328.6%101 W · 252 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick30cpaid+0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b90…c258backed Under72c107$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.964173.2%30 W · 11 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4c9…98b9backed Under68c103.46$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.461662.5%10 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick75cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xda4f…65babacked Under66c101.5$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.554146.3%19 W · 22 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc906…6e03backed Over37c100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbd16…07bbbacked Over44c99.99$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.53259.4%19 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over52c80.04$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.6240841.9%171 W · 237 L-8.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over39c80$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.1930143.9%132 W · 169 L-16.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe109…8ec3backed Over38c78.95$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305848.3%28 W · 30 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc34…799dbacked Over34c75.29$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.61942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5ba…960fbacked Under68c74.03$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.0315558.1%90 W · 65 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb18c…df51backed Over37c67.57$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2511053.6%59 W · 51 L+11.1wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+17.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over40c64.86$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.1396645.4%439 W · 527 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over49c60.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.166749.3%33 W · 34 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Over34c58.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2014431.9%46 W · 98 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Over37c54.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2025057.6%144 W · 106 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc758…8574backed Over47c53.19$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2518444.6%82 W · 102 L+0.8wins0.00per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over60c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3011839.8%47 W · 71 L-6.7wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-21%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7f03…dc32backed Over30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154327.9%12 W · 31 L-5.1wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-38.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xbf07…4a12backed Over36c50$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1813531.1%42 W · 93 L-12.3wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-21.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5588…a32bbacked Over37c46.81$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.32250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17bd…d81ebacked Over55c45.45$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick61cpaid-55.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed Under62c45.16$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.1624844.4%110 W · 138 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Over45c44.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2021143.1%91 W · 120 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa12c…b9ecbacked Over34c44.12$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153339.4%13 W · 20 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d54…81a1backed Over57c43.95$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.056735.8%24 W · 43 L-6.1wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-18.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x28ad…0614backed Over65c43.6$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.344949%24 W · 25 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a4a…0561backed Over39c43.23$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.86757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50f4…b728backed Over37c40.54$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under63c39$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4315347.1%72 W · 81 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x81bb…8544backed Over37c39$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.43742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-31.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Under65c38$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.341,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64c7…ffd7backed Under69c36.23$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.231650%8 W · 8 L-3.6wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-30.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5c06…dd56backed Over33c35$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.555158.8%30 W · 21 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under67c34.26$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.1518139.2%71 W · 110 L-7.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.