TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc906…6e03

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
92
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Champions League, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 52 out of 100; worst Premier League at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT4748.9%23 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-24.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 47 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffsbacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality (BO5) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.77
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$227Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+68.5%+$155.37
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$369Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$123.12
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$351Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$351.36
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$158.19
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.91
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Bbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.12
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 3DMAX (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.03
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FUT Esports (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.1
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.16
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FOKUS - Map 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$120
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming - Map 4 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming - Map 3 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+64.3%+$78.3
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+38.2%+$55.3
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$64
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs PARIVISION - Map 3 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+33.3%+$50
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+51.5%+$85
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$34
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+170.3%+$170.1
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 - Map 1 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$110
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$195
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Astralis (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$90
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Astralis - Map 2 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+31.6%+$72
Showing 25 of 47 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST1833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$29
Aston Villa FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+400%+$40
Aston Villa FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+132.6%+$57
Aston Villa FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+53.8%+$70
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-02-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+222.6%+$138
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$114
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$37
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-02-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$48
Sunderland AFC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+130.1%+$62.2
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$150.98
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-02-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$66
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$43
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$48.1
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$140.4
Liverpool FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$85.5
Chelsea FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+85.2%+$13.8
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$26.5
AFC Bournemouth vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$19
All 18 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-01-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$49
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-01-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+25%+$20
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-01-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+63.9%+$19.5
FC Midtjylland vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$56
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+129.6%+$22.58
VfB Stuttgart vs. BSC Young Boys: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-01-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$11.2
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+203%+$67
Will Celtic FC win on 2026-01-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$11.2
All 9 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick25cpaid-74%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+73.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+56.3%+$36
Real Betis Balompié vs. Valencia CF: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$48
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
KHL: Spartak Moscow vs. Dinamo Minskbacked Dinamo Minsk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$23.09
KHL: Dinamo Minsk vs. SKA St. Petersburgbacked Dinamo Minsk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$14.25
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: GIANTX vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$62.77
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: DetonatioN FocusMe vs T1 (BO3) - VCT Pacific Kickoff Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+42.9%+$60
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$252Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$98
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.