TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-01-29?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$298,418
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$315,852

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $298,418 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 178 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8b32…5950backed No20c55,154$10,976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,975.658545.9%39 W · 46 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes79c52,078$41,292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,785.9444952.6%236 W · 213 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed No21c45,356$9,434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,434.315259.6%31 W · 21 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd0b4…fed6backed No21c43,102$8,996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,996.061338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes79c33,244$26,363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,881.243,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes79c30,000$23,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,30015947.8%76 W · 83 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed No23c24,478$5,630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,629.995536.4%20 W · 35 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes80c12,783$10,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,577.8691950.9%468 W · 451 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e73…c4ecbacked No0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101421.4%3 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick15cpaid-58.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4818…bf0bbacked No19c7,200$1,401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,400.972420.8%5 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-57.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes80c5,415$4,318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,096.7113149.6%65 W · 66 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes46c5,043$2,304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,738.979532.2%256 W · 539 L-16.9wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-27.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No20c5,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010960.6%66 W · 43 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes78c4,633$3,636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$997.5935158.1%204 W · 147 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6fb…ee11backed Yes79c4,151$3,296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$855.23458.8%20 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes79c3,886$3,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$816.0543344.6%193 W · 240 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed No20c3,100$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62026022.3%58 W · 202 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Yes80c3,000$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6006858.8%40 W · 28 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Yes79c3,000$2,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6302152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No12c2,834$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.1176941.9%322 W · 447 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-24.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes79c2,503$1,972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.7812955.8%72 W · 57 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-2.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Yes61c2,286$1,404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$881.944337.2%16 W · 27 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2fd5…ef85backed No1c1,938$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.842161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x13d6…926ebacked No21c1,900$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3991435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-24.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3102…187cbacked Yes80c1,750$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3502161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes79c1,500$1,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31527939.8%111 W · 168 L-15.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked No20c1,500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30021925.6%56 W · 163 L+0.7wins0.00per pick25cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes79c1,479$1,172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.6631849.4%157 W · 161 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed No22c1,000$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2234537.8%17 W · 28 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-23.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Yes60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4008747.1%41 W · 46 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes56c899$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.3710061%61 W · 39 L+8.3wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+10.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc1c4…bbfbbacked No23c790$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.73240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-28.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x84e5…6d71backed Yes52c746$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.08450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Yes73c650.38$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.64647.8%22 W · 24 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Yes79c611.42$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.920050%100 W · 100 L-1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69e7…7cb7backed Yes74c610.92$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.654575.6%34 W · 11 L+7.3wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+22.4%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xd785…0d7ebacked Yes56c590$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.89837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-40.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x70b0…cfbebacked Yes80c500$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1005100%5 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x12c6…0691backed Yes77c500$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed Yes77c500$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1154639.1%18 W · 28 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-28.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed No23c434.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005048%24 W · 26 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30ce…a631backed Yes76c412.66$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.251369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a26…0498backed Yes57c402.27$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32cb…2087backed Yes75c400$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.16per pick57cpaid+35.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed No24c400$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$969444.7%42 W · 52 L-7.2wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x741c…bf80backed No26c400$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1045616.1%9 W · 47 L-0.2wins0.00per pick16cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No23c397.7$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.471,02247.5%485 W · 537 L-2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94a5…9838backed Yes80c367$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.46145.9%28 W · 33 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b40…8ab4backed Yes56c349$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.423154.8%17 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed No52c300$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15620132.3%65 W · 136 L-9.9wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked No23c300$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.58949.4%44 W · 45 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5316…1d07backed No20c300$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602941.4%12 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed No24c300$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$728953.9%48 W · 41 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7018…290abacked Yes55c300$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1351080%8 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+48.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa0f6…4892backed Yes58c299.97$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.292147.6%10 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x85a1…a640backed Yes74c277$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.021877.8%14 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.15per pick62cpaid+25.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Yes79c266.73$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.018345.8%38 W · 45 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf2d…54cfbacked No17c262.14$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452437.5%9 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked No4c252.97$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1027437.2%102 W · 172 L-1.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a09…76e9backed No20c250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502532%8 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-28.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa89e…4ab4backed Yes80c250$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501675%12 W · 4 L+3.4wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+68.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Yes31c247.87$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.83625%9 W · 27 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-29.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Yes77c244$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.124955.1%27 W · 22 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa5c…be69backed No48c213.95$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.3850%4 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+18.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Yes72c210.86$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.0421243.9%93 W · 119 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd3a…9993backed Yes80c192.37$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.476656.1%37 W · 29 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4be7…8e91backed No26c189.6$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.3540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-20%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd76…b935backed Yes58c180$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.61163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.24per pick40cpaid+72.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x239b…f8bfbacked Yes80c179.08$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.183857.9%22 W · 16 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe6c…4f6fbacked Yes59c169.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed No25c150$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.57540%30 W · 45 L-7.8wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-24.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked No28c146.43$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416513.8%9 W · 56 L-6.3wins-0.10per pick23cpaid-50.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x802f…e008backed Yes78c128.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.218369.9%58 W · 25 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick71cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed No21c126.32$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263066.7%20 W · 10 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+15.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8bf3…a5cebacked Yes80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25850%4 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-30.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe02…80f9backed Yes11c125$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.25837.5%3 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.27per pick11cpaid+264.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No38c117.1$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.3542844.9%192 W · 236 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3036…15c2backed Yes55c109.79$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.798037.5%30 W · 50 L-5.1wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-8.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5d40…f95abacked Yes74c105.66$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.471040%4 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe41b…321dbacked No19c105.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202450%12 W · 12 L+2.7wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+28.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc18f…bb01backed Yes53c102.67$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.43100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+106.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfd85…6a32backed Yes80c101.16$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.279056.7%51 W · 39 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xabb2…5a2dbacked No42c100.43$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.282548%12 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Yes60c100.24$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.249920.2%20 W · 79 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed No19c100$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1911419.3%22 W · 92 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-34.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6aa…3746backed No19c100$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193737.8%14 W · 23 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…87cfbacked Yes78c100$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-57.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bcf…402abacked Yes58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428229.3%24 W · 58 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick26cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc906…6e03backed Yes80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fac…f0dcbacked Yes78c100$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-16.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabe5…d99abacked No19c100$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-31%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8e8…2c0ebacked No19c100$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193636.1%13 W · 23 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0269…783bbacked No21c100$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick26cpaid-48.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x49bb…4d4cbacked No20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202035%7 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-30.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fbc…bdfbbacked No19c100$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193834.2%13 W · 25 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a76…51b7backed No13c100$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133452.9%18 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24ca…5829backed No20c99.95$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.993243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-27.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ef1…d333backed Yes31c96.77$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.77714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick9cpaid-53.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64fd…f7aebacked No65c95$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.51266.7%8 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05f9…f351backed No20c92$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.41931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.9wins-0.15per pick47cpaid-40.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.