TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xfe6c…4f6f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
118
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Tennis, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 59 out of 100; worst Valorant at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT3145.2%14 W · 17 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-21.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mavericks vs. Bucksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 239.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$55
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Rockets vs. Heatbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Pistons vs. Raptorsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+100%+$150
Clippers vs. Rockets: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$134.37
Spread: Hornets (-6.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+96.1%+$94.92
Bucks vs. Celtics: O/U 217.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$99.22
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+108.3%+$151.67
Lakers vs. Wizards: O/U 228.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$176.43
Hornets vs. Grizzliesbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+85.2%+$49.44
Hawks vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$339Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$338.87
Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$148.69
Spread: Bulls (-2.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Pistons vs. Nuggetsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+66.7%+$45.32
Spread: Celtics (-7.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$250
76ers vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+85.2%+$92.22
Spread: Hawks (-5.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Pacers vs. Hawks: O/U 231.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+78.6%+$78.57
Warriors vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Celtics vs. Bullsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+138.1%+$69.05
Rockets vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$110
Suns vs. Hawksbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Hornets vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1631.3%5 W · 11 L-3.4wins-0.21per pick52cpaid-35.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Valorant — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: DetonatioN FocusMe vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Kickoff Playoffsbacked DetonatioN FocusMe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+119.9%+$71.91
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs FULL SENSE - Map 2 Winnerbacked Nongshim RedForce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+100.3%+$149.12
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Kickoff Playoffsbacked Global Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Valorant: DRX vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Pacific Kickoff Playoffsbacked FULL SENSE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+174.3%+$134.2
Valorant: DRX vs FULL SENSE - Map 2 Winnerbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Valorant: T1 vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - VCT Pacific Kickoff Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Valorant: Fnatic vs BBL Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffsbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$67.06
Valorant: Fnatic vs BBL Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$69.84
Valorant: JD Gaming vs TEC Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$87.48
Valorant: DetonatioN FocusMe vs Gen.G Esports (BO3)backed DetonatioN FocusMe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+61.3%+$117.34
Valorant: All Gamers vs Nova Esports (BO3)backed Nova Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$100.82
Valorant: VARREL vs Global Esports (BO3)backed VARREL · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Valorant: GIANTX vs Gentle Mates - Map 2 Winnerbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Valorant: GIANTX vs Gentle Mates - Map 1 Winnerbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+80%+$80
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$12
All 16 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.21per pick49cpaid+45.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
NFL — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jaxon Smith-Njigba: Anytime Touchdownbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be blue?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+159.8%+$159.81
Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 45.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+103.7%+$103.68
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+100%+$200
Cooper Kupp: Anytime Touchdownbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+251.6%+$100.63
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$336Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+78.6%+$264.29
Spread: Seahawks (-2.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+100%+$100
Rams vs. Seahawks: O/U 45.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$401Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+49.3%+$197.68
Spread: Patriots (-5.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Patriots vs. Broncos: O/U 42.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+96.1%+$48.04
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+53.8%+$10.77
All 13 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$198.59
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$398Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$398.2
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+85.6%+$85.63
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$310Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+40.8%+$126.47
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+69.5%+$160.65
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$68.97
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$229Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+65.7%+$150.64
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-01-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$117.74
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+132.6%+$265.12
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+132.6%+$93.1
FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. Hamburger SV: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 11 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST1080%8 W · 2 L+2.7wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+48.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Tennis — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dallas Open: Taylor Fritz vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+212.5%+$106.25
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovicbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+117.4%+$111.78
Alcaraz vs. Zverev: Total Sets O/U 3.5backed Over 3.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+63.9%+$114.12
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Zverevbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Australian Open Men's: Alexander Bublik vs Alex de Minaurbacked Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+66.7%+$20.89
Australian Open Men's: Lorenzo Musetti vs Tomas Machacbacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+66.7%+$33.33
Tiafoe vs. Minaur: Match O/U 36.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+92.3%+$92.31
Australian Open Men's: Frances Tiafoe vs Francisco Comesanabacked Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+44.9%+$89.52
Australian Open Men's: Hamad Medjedovic vs Alex de Minaurbacked Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+25%+$6.25
All 10 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.23per pick45cpaid-64.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$198.59
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$58.51
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$236Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+92.3%+$217.94
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+28.2%+$46.74
FC Bayern München vs. RU Saint-Gilloise: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Galatasaray SK vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$30
All 9 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-52.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+219.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+66.7%+$153.7
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+372.8%+$442.54
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+136.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+203.2%+$504.98
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+69.5%+$138.98
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+76.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$753Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+110.4%+$831.16
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$246Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+42.9%+$105.65
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-01-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+69.8%+$69.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+61.8%+$24.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Dundee FC win on 2026-02-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$415Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+58.7%+$243.73
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,120.28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$104.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$548Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$548.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Max Holloway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$333Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$333.32
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.